AceTraderFx: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today

AceTraderFx AceTraderFx Jul 14: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views GBP/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
14 Jul 2016
01:19GMT

GBP/USD - ..... Sterling was the biggest mover in hectic Wednesday's trading as market attention turned to BoE's 'super Thur'.
Reuters reported the Bank of England is set to cut interest rates for the first time in more than seven years as it tries to cushion the economy from the shock decision by voters to pull Britain out of the European Union.
Governor Mark Carney sent a clear signal two weeks ago that stimulus was on the way in an attempt to show the economy was in safe hands while the country's political leadership crumbled after the EU vote.

The central bank is expected to halve its benchmark interest rate to a new record low of 0.25 percent when its makes a monthly policy statement at 1100 GMT on Thursday.
Then, at its following meeting in three weeks' time, the BoE is likely to revive its massive bond-buying programme, according to a Reuters poll of economists.
Carney has warned that the financial risks of Brexit were materialising after a slump in the value of the pound and the freezing of some commercial property funds by investment funds.

Data released early on Thursday showed interest among buyers in Britain's housing market tumbled to its lowest level since mid-2008, adding to early signs of the Brexit hit to the economy.

The BoE has held its Bank Rate at 0.5 percent since March 2009, when the global financial crisis was hammering Britain. Before the referendum, it was widely expected to raise rates later this year or in early 2017, following the lead of the U.S. Federal Reserve as the economy picked up.

Now the question economists are asking is whether Britain can avoid falling back into recession.
The BoE has little hard evidence so far of how hard the referendum result has hit the economy.

The quicker-than-expected appointment on Wednesday of Theresa May as Britain's new prime minister has helped settle nerves in financial markets and reversed some of the pound's 13 percent slump against the dollar after the referendum.
But surveys and comments from retailers have shown a slide in confidence among consumers who drove Britain's recovery from the 2007-09 financial crisis. Hard data covering the post-referendum period is not expected until late July.

Nonetheless, the Bank has already lowered a capital requirement for banks in the hope of encouraging more lending.

Carney has expressed opposition to following the lead of the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan by cutting rates below zero. Many economists say the BoE will instead revive its quantitative easing programme of buying bonds to help the economy as it faces the prospect of years of uncertainty about its trading relationship with the EU and the rest of the world.

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AceTraderFx AceTraderFx Jul 15: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
15 Jul 2016
03:00GMT

EUR/USD - ..... Although one will be forgiven to expect very narrow move to take place in Asian morning following euro's trendless trading in New York afternoon, intra-day rally in cable forced traders to buy the euro in sympathy (rally in eur/yen also triggered euro buying too), price ratcheted higher from 1.1102 to 1.1140.

Despite yesterday's intra-day retreat from 1.1165 to 1.1098 in New York morning following upbeat U.S. data, intra-day sterling-led rebound suggests consolidation with upside bias would be seen until European open. Having said that, traders are also mindful of 1.1186/90 being the res or top of recent trading range, so a break of this res is unlikely in the absence of supporting fundamental factors.

Bids are noted at 1.1110-00 and more below with stops below 1.1080, more stops are touted below 1.1040.
Offers are tipped at 1.1140/50 n at 1.1160/65 and more above with fairly large stops rumoured above 1.1200.

Italy will release trade data at 08:30GMT n EZ will release by the same together with inflation data afterwards.
Pay attention to release of a slew of U.S. eco. data later today with key U.S. CPI, retail sales, New York Fed mfg index at 12:30GMT, then we have industrial and manufacturer output, capacity utilization, bus. inventories, University of Michigan consumer confidence.
Last but not least, FOMC members Williams and Bullard will be speaking in New York afternoon.

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AceTraderFx Jul 18: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
18 Jul 2016
02:15GMT

USD/JPY - ..... The Japanese yen took centre stage in hectic trading on Monday despite closure of Japanese financial markets for Marine Day holiday.

Market volatility accelerated near New York close on Friday following breaking news of a military coup in Turkey, causing the pair to tank from around 105.70 to session lows of 104.64.
However, dlr opened higher in New Zealand on Monday following Bloomberg's report ahead of Asian open of early dovish comments by Japan's Chief Govt. spokesman Suga (see 00:00GMT update).
Price climbed from 105.07 to as high as 106.02 in Australia before retreating briefly to 105.31 at Asian open.

Dlr's aforesaid retreat from 106.02 suggests further choppy trading below Friday's 3-week peak of 106.32 would continue ahead of European open and in the absence of comments by Japanese official, the pair may drift lower.

Offers are tipped at 106.00/30 area from Japanese exporters) with stop above 106.50, however, more stops are touted above pre-Brexit high of 106.84.
Bids are noted are 105.40-30 and more below with some stops below 105.00.

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AceTraderFx Jul 19: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
19 Jul 2016
02:29GMT

USD/JPY - 105.77.. Dlr erased intra-day gain in Asia as despite initial rise to a fresh 3-week peak of 106.33 in Australia due to return of risk sentiment following gains in the S&P and the Dow hitting record highs overnight, selloff in the antipodean currencies (aud & nzd) ahead of Asian open dampened risk appetite, leading to a broad-based liquidation of near term short yen positions, dlr fell to 105.70 before stabilising.

Looks like the daily high print is here to stay as choppy trading with downside bias is expected to take place.
Offers are tipped at 106.00/10 and more above with some stops above 106.35.
Initial bids are note at 105.70 and more below with stops touted below 105.20.

Later today, U.S. will release June housing starts and redbook retail sales data.

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AceTraderFx Jul 19: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
19 Jul 2016
06:46GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Dlr swung wildly in volatile Tuesday's Asian session. Despite intra-day strg retreat from 106.33 (Australia) to 106.66 at Asian midday, price rebounded ahead of European open.

Reuters reported BoJ is expected to ease policy later this month, a combination of measures would be used in another attempt to boost anaemic inflation. If that happens, it would come just a few weeks after Prime Minister Shinzo Abe ordered a fresh round of fiscal stimulus following a sweeping election victory in the Upper House, and would underscore the deep malaise rooted in Japan's economy.

The yen has already weakened some 5 percent in the past week on speculation of a combination of more monetary stimulus by the BOJ and the government's big economic package.
The government is expected to compile the stimulus package focused on public works projects and payouts to households, and lawmakers are calling for spending of at least 10 trillion yen ($94.50 billion).
More than three years of "Abenomics" - policies that rely on aggressive monetary easing, spending and reforms - have so far failed to generate a sustainable return to inflation and growth.

One economist expects a central bank easing will come at the September policy meeting, two project the BOJ will ease in October and one said it would be some time next year.
That would take the BOJ's minus 0.1 percent interest rate to minus 0.2 percent in the current quarter and boost its monetary base target to 90 trillion yen from the current 80 trillion yen, the poll showed.

The BOJ's aggressive monetary stimulus has already pushed down Japan's sovereign bond yields to record lows and many analysts in the survey expect the benchmark 10-year JGB yield to fall as low as minus 0.350 percent this year.
But the yen, which tends to strengthen against the U.S. dollar on investor demand for safehaven assets, is expected to be crucial for the BOJ's and government's policies.

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AceTraderFx Jul 20: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views EUR/USD

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
20 Jul 2016
05:27GMT

EUR/USD - .... Euro came under broad-based selling pressure and penetrated Monday's 1.1038 low after European midday yesterday on news report of an explosion in Ankara (Turkey), price remained under pressure and hit session low of 1.1000 on the back of robust U.S. housing data.
However, short-covering later lifted euro in New York afternoon and price edged back to 1.1027 in Australia before coming down to 1.1004 Asian trading.

The fact that euro is trading near said yesterday's low, suggesting market is very much eager to test euro's downside where stops are touted below there, therefore, selling the single currency is favoured as market is expecting a weak readng in EZ July consumer confidence following market woe in the wake of U.K. 'Brexit' vote outcome.

Offers are tipped at 1.1025/30 and more above with stops above 1.1050.
A mixture of bids and stops is touted near 1.1000 with more stops below 1.0970, there is market chatter of large stops building below June's post-'Brexit' bottom at 1.0912.

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AceTraderFx Jul 22: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
22 Jul 2016
02:18GMT

USD/JPY - ..... It is relatively "all quiet on the eastern front" in Asia on this Friday morning after yesterday's intra-day big swings.

Although dlr nosed dived to 105.42 in European morning after Reuters news report quoting BoJ Governor Kuroda's remarks in an interview with BBC Radio 4 and dismissed the prospect of "helicopter money', short-covering swiftly took place when traders realised his comment/interview was made before 'Brexit', price ratcheted back to 106.49 in New York morning before moving back down again to 105.57 in Asia today.

Looks like sideways swings would continue and report of buying interest above 105.42 is likely to support dlr's downside and another rebound would be seen.
However, offers are tipped at 106.30/40 and more above with some stops above 107.00.
There is market chatter of good buying interest at 105.10-00 area, so buying dlr on dips is still recommended.

Economic calendar is very light on this last trading day of the week with U.S. Markit July mfg PMI being the only data traders can chew on, so so not expect big move to occur even the reading deviates sharply from street forecast of 51.6 vs previous reading of 51.3.

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AceTraderFx Jul 25: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
25 Jul 2016
01:42GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Dlr climbed to intra-day high of 106.73 following comments by BoJ Governor over the weekend who reiterated the central bank is not mulling so-called 'helicopter money'. Price opened higher at 106.19 (vs Friday's close at 106.09) and the pair then ratcheted higher in Australia, then in Asia on steady cross-selling in yen before easing.

Looks like another day of broad sideways swings would be seen following dlr's selloff from last Thursday's 6-week high of 107.49 to 105.42 and bids have been raised to 106.30-20 and more below with some stops reported below 106.00, however, good buying interest is touted above 105.50.

On the up side, offers are tipped at 106.70/80 and more above with stops above 107.00.
However, more selling interest is noted at 107.20/30, suggesting choppy range trading may well prevail today.

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AceTraderFx Jul 26: Yen jumped broadly ahead of Tokyo open after a massive stimulus measure

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
26 Jul 2016
01:18GMT

USD/JPY - ...... The Japanese yen jumped broadly ahead of Tokyo open after Nikkei newspaper of a massive stimulus measure, dlr tumbled from 105.89 (Australia) to as low as 104.77.
To fund part of the package, the government will compile a supplementary budget for the current fiscal year of around 2 trillion yen, according to Nikkei newspaper. The rest will be funded in the budget for the next fiscal year beginning in April 2017 next year.

The Finance Ministry had initially earmarked 3 trillion yen for direct spending from national and local governments under its draft fiscal stimulus plan. But the amount was doubled on requests for bigger spending by government officials and ruling party lawmakers, the Nikkei said without citing sources.
The size of spending could increase further as the government presents the draft stimulus plan for negotiations with ruling party lawmakers from Tuesday, the paper said.

The direct spending would be part of a massive stimulus package to bolster the economy, which would also consist of state subsidies to private companies and lending programmes from quasi-government financial institutions.
The total size of the package, which could be announced as soon as Aug. 2, could exceed 20 trillion yen, reported Nikkei newspaper.

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US Dollar pared day's heavy loss and climbed ahead of Tokyo open

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
27 Jul 2016
01:40GMT

USD/JPY - .... Dlr pared day's heavy loss and climbed ahead of Tokyo open, price penetrated o/n New York top of 104.98 to 105.19 in early Asian trading. Traders cited Reuters report for this intra-day broad-based yen's weakness.
Reuters reported in Australia Support is growing within the Bank of Japan for additional monetary easing on Friday with several options being floated as possibilities, the Nikkei newspaper reported on Wednesday.

But some in the nine-member board feel the central bank has done enough for now and thus are expected to dissent to any proposal for expanding monetary stimulus, it said. Advocates of further monetary easing point to diminishing prospects of Japan hitting the BOJ's 2 percent inflation target and the need to match monetary easing with an anticipated fiscal stimulus package due out early next week, the paper said.

The BOJ bureaucrats have internally laid out several options including deepening negative interest rates, expanding government bond purchases and topping up buying of exchange-traded funds (ETF), the Nikkei newspaper said without citing sources.
The BOJ governor and deputy governors will consider these options, though there has been little progress on narrowing down the options. BOJ will meet for a two-day policy meeting that ends this Friday.

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