|
Doing the Math on Risk -
05-12-2008, 11:36 PM
Limit your risk (this was attributed to a posting by the Elliott Wave group, however, I was not able to confirm)
If you risk 50% – you will wipe out as soon as you have 2 consecutive losing trades – 1 chance in 4
If you risk 25% – you will wipe out as soon as you have 4 consecutive losing trades – 1 chance in 16
If you risk 10% – you will wipe out as soon as you have 10 consecutive losing trades – 1 chance in 1024
If you risk 5% – you will wipe out as soon as you have 20 consecutive losing trades – 1 chance in 1,048,576 (about a million)
If you risk 2% – you will wipe out as soon as you have 50 consecutive losing trades – 1 chance in 1,125,899,906,842,620 or about a BILLION!
Somewhere between 2-5% is the maximum amount you can risk
The average bank trader or hedge fund only risks 1% to 1 ½ % of the account.
If you can’t be successful trading a micro account, don’t go up to a mini account. Don’t go up to a standard account if you can’t make a micro or mini account work.
Last edited by bygolly : 05-12-2008 at 11:39 PM.
|