This contest was fun because I actually learned something from it. You have to combine both past and future fundamentals with technical skills in order to successfully plot a future price. Not that I have the skills for either of these, but I'm learning
I was close on the GBP/USD only because I was able to correctly judge the long term down trend with technicals. I also saw that they had an ailing housing market just like us and they were due for a rate cut during the next meeting.
I was off on the EUR/USD simply because I misjudged its power. I looked at a medium term down trend and thought it might drop, so that's what I chose. I didn't, however, take into account that they probably wouldn't cut interest rates and that the CPI would probably continue to rise, which is why they didn't cut rates in the first place.
If I had to take something away from this contest, that would be it. If going for a long term trade, yes, you should follow the trend. However, keep in mind current fundamentals and look a bit into the future to see what fundamentals it has in store for it there.
That's my two cents, and I hope you all had fun and learned something in this contest. I know I did
GLTYA in future trades!