Forex Peace Army Forum http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum Free to join Forex Peace Army provide mutual trades support in barely regulated forex market. en Tue, 09 Feb 2010 12:25:31 GMT vBulletin 60 http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/images/fpaskin/misc/rss.jpg Forex Peace Army Forum http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum Forexpros Daily Analysis - 09/02/2010 http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/market-predictions-reports/8651-forexpros-daily-analysis-09-02-2010-a.html Tue, 09 Feb 2010 09:59:49 GMT ForexPros Daily Analysis February 9, 2010


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Cook will also take an inside look at dealing desks and speak frankly about the roles and responsibilities of a retail dealing desk, which will include an overview of how brokers hedge currency exposure. The goal of this Webinar is to help traders understand the nuances of the Forex market by shedding light on many of the aspects of currency trading that have previously been shrouded in mystery.

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Fundamental Analysis: Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies

US traders look forward to Ben Bernanke, US Federal Reserve Chairman, who will be testifying in Washington DC, regarding America's economic outlook and financial markets.
His comments may determine a short-term positive or negative trend.

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Euro Dollar

The Euro kept trading above the support 1.3620, and started to rise, breaking the resistance 1.3666, and reaching 1.3728 until this moment without reaching the target 1.3752. As we said yesterday, with Friday’s move taking us close to the channel bottom, and then a fast bounce reaching 1.3666, the odds of an upside correction remains present, but we need a break of 1.3745 before we can say the odds favor that. Short-term resistance is at 1.3745, and breaking it would indicate that the price is already moving higher after the drop we witnessed last week, even if that was only for a short term correction. The targets for such a correction would be 1.3805 & 1.3857. While the support is at 1.3666, and breaking it would bring back Friday’s target under the spotlight: 1.3582 & 1.3516.

Support:
• 1.3666: the rising trend line from 1.3584 on intraday charts.
• 1.3582: Apr 6th high.
• 1.3516: Apr 2nd high.

Resistance:
• 1.3745: important intraday resistance.
• 1.3805: Fibonacci 50% for the last drop from 1.4025.
• 1.3857: Fibonacci 61.8% for the last drop from 1.4025.

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USD/JPY

Dollar-yen did not break any of the important levels specified in yesterday’s report, and kept trading in a relatively tight range without any major moves that have any influence on the technical outlook, leaving the technical outlook hardly changed. What is worth mentioning is that we are getting closer to long term Fibonacci 61.8% support at 88.23 (Thursday’s low 88.53), and there is no doubt that this level is the most important support in these areas. As for the short term, the support is at 89.23, and breaking it would indicate a movement to test the most important support 88.23, and if broken the first target would be 87.35. Short term resistance is at 89.87, and breaking it would indicate that the Yen has settled for closing on 88.23 without reaching it, and that we are correcting yesterday’s drop, or may be the whole drop from 93.75, which might be over close to the Fibonacci support. Such a correction would have ideal targets at 91.14 & 91.76.

Support:
• 89.23: the rising trend line from Thursday’s low on intraday charts.
• 88.23: Fibonacci 61.8% for the whole move from 84.81 to 93.75.
• 87.35: Dec 9th low.

Resistance:
• 89.87: Fibonacci 50% for the short term.
• 91.14: Fibonacci 50% for the whole drop from 93.75.
• 91.76: Fibonacci 61.8% for the whole drop from 93.75.

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Forex Trading Analysis written by Munther Marji for ForexPros.

For information on currency trading see ForexPros.

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Disclaimer:
Trading Futures and Options on Futures and Cash Forex transactions involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. ]]> Market Predictions and Reports Forexpros2 http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/market-predictions-reports/8651-forexpros-daily-analysis-09-02-2010-a.html <![CDATA[Sir Pipsalot's Tuesday Market Update 2-9-2010]]> http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/sir-pipsalots-daily-trading-signals/8650-sir-pipsalots-tuesday-market-update-2-9-2010-a.html Tue, 09 Feb 2010 05:21:57 GMT Hey folks,

Not much change to Monday's forecast, so please check it out for a bit more detail. Essentially, the trend remains lower, and while bounces and consolidation may occur, the likelihood is that further downside momentum will resume relatively shortly thereafter. If we do bounce on EUR/USD a bit more than I thought we would yesterday, 1.3850 should be a very resistive area due to both trendline resistance and former big swing lows drawing in sell orders around that level.

Stocks should extend lower with at least one more wave down to new lows before staging a more medium term rally. Some analysis points towards a more dramatic decline (as I have been backing) below 1000 before major retracement up, and others are looking for a more modest new low, but either way you slice it... the evidence is pointed towards more downside below 1040 for now.

There was no major news out Monday, and none due out for Tuesday either; however, there are 3 tradable news reports due out Wednesday that we will preview in tomorrow's signal.

That's all for today's update. If you'd like to learn more about trading or trade along with myself and my collegues, come join us at Profit Mongers. Our subscription is very reasonable at $179 per month, and right now you can sign up for a 2 week trial to get started for only $29. This offer is for new customers only. If you have any questions, you can also email me at sirpipsalot@profitmongers.com

To our success!
Sir Pipsalot ]]> Sir Pipsalot http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/sir-pipsalots-daily-trading-signals/8650-sir-pipsalots-tuesday-market-update-2-9-2010-a.html any advice for greenhorns? http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/beginners-bootcamp/8647-any-advice-greenhorns.html Tue, 09 Feb 2010 03:08:24 GMT a friend just brought to my attention FOREX Is ther any info you could pass along helping me get started? Totally green. thanks dale a friend just brought to my attention FOREX Is ther any info you could pass along helping me get started? Totally green. thanks dale ]]> Beginners Bootcamp Dale,wi http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/beginners-bootcamp/8647-any-advice-greenhorns.html Forex Crusher by Paul Walker http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/fpa-scam-investigation-headquarters/8646-forex-crusher-paul-walker.html Tue, 09 Feb 2010 02:50:27 GMT Has anyone ever heard of this guy - he spams email and does not refund although he does offer a 30 day money back guarantee ? Has anyone ever heard of this guy - he spams email and does not refund although he does offer a 30 day money back guarantee ? ]]> FPA Scam Investigation Headquarters bill Armstrong http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/fpa-scam-investigation-headquarters/8646-forex-crusher-paul-walker.html CIT http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/market-predictions-reports/8645-cit.html Mon, 08 Feb 2010 21:33:22 GMT Daily Market Commentary for February 8, 2010

CIT

CIT Group announced Sunday that former Merrill Lynch CEO John Thain will be their new CEO. (Read more at Millennium-Traders.Com)

Economic data released today: N/A

At the NYSE closing bell on the New York Stock Exchange, here is how the major world indices and major U.S. stock indices ended the trading session on the world markets as well as the emerging markets including the stock market closing bell price:
DOW (Dow Jones Industrial Average) shed 101.12 points, EOD 9,911.11
NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) shed 68.88, EOD 6,713.87
National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) shed 15.33 points, EOD 2,125.79
S&P 500 (SPX) shed 9.57 points, EOD 1,056.62
BEL 20 (BEL20) gain 9.63 points, EOD 2,402.15
CAC 40 (CAC40) gain 43.51 points, EOD 3,607.27
FTSE100 (UKX100) gain 31.41 points, EOD 5,092.33
NIKKEI 225 (NIK/O) shed 105.27 points, EOD 9,951.82

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 1,109 declined stock prices 1,993, unchanged stock prices 80, stock prices hitting new highs 33 and stock prices hitting new lows 15. NYSE quotes for volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the New York Stock Exchange stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: HAS gain 3.91, HOD 35.19, LOD 33.53, EOD 34.71; LO shed 0.29, HOD 75.55, LOD 73.70, EOD 74.21; MA gain 5.65, HOD 228.46, LOD 220.17, EOD 226.39; FAS shed 3.68, HOD 65.97, LOD 61.70, EOD 61.82; CME shed 0.52, HOD 293.83, LOD 280.18, EOD 280.28; MON shed 2.53, HOD 76.74, LOD 74.06, EOD 74.21; POT shed 1.97, HOD 105.63, LOD 101.30, EOD 101.51; CGA shed 0.53, HOD 14.69, LOD 13.33, EOD 13.49; CNA shed 1.03, HOD 23.58, LOD 22.52, EOD 22.55.

National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 945, declined stock prices 1,723, unchanged stock prices 117, stock prices hitting new highs 27 and stock prices hitting new lows 30. NASDAQ quotes, volatile stocks and market trends, as well as stock quotes, stock prices and stock symbols of Day Trading Stock Picks on the NASDAQ stock market for Day Trading online and active Day Trading for those who are or would like to be Day Trading for a living: AAPL shed 1.34, HOD 197.38, LOD 194.06, EOD 194.12; ISRG shed 1.46, HOD 328.69, LOD 321.96, EOD 323.95; OTEX gain 1.07, HOD 46.89, LOD 45.28, EOD 46.51; DBTK gain 0.24, HOD 8.53, LOD 8.16, EOD 8.46; STLD shed 0.14, HOD 15.20, LOD 14.45, EOD 14.85; MSTR gain 2.13, HOD 81.94, LOD 78.10, EOD 81.26; AMAG shed 1.10, HOD 40.15, LOD 36.38, EOD 36.67.

Market trends on the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) and stock market indicators for the trading session today:
Advanced stock prices 226, declined stock prices 259, unchanged stock prices 55, stock prices hitting new highs 3 and stock prices hitting new lows 3.

Chicago Board of Trade Futures Market for the day, at time of this posting:
E-mini S&P 500 (ES) Mar 10: EOD 1055.75; Change -4.00
E-mini NASDAQ-100 (NQ) Mar 10: EOD 1,736.50; Change -8.50
E-mini DOW $5 (YM) Mar 10: EOD 9,898; Change -43
E-mini S&P MidCap 400 (MF) Mar 10: EOD 692.10; Change 2.00
Nikkei 225 (Yen) Mar 10: EOD 9,870; Change -105

World Currencies for the Forex Market, for Forex Trading by active Forex Traders, at time of this posting:
Euro 0.7321 U.S. Dollars 1.3659
Japanese Yen 89.3200 to U.S. Dollars 0.0112
British Pound 0.6412 to U.S. Dollars 1.5596
Canadian Dollar 1.0743 to U.S. Dollars 0.9308
Swiss Franc 1.0725 to U.S. Dollars 0.9324

COMMODITY MARKETS:
Energy Sector - Nymex:
Light Crude (March 10) gain $0.68, EOD $71.87 per barrel ($US per barrel)
Heating Oil (March 10) gain $0.01, EOD $1.89 a gallon ($US per gallon)
Natural Gas (March 10) shed $0.11 EOD $5.41 per million BTU ($US per mmbtu.)
Unleaded Gas (March 10) gain $0.01 EOD $1.89 gallon ($US per gallon)

Metals Markets - Comex:
Gold (April 10) gain $13.20, EOD $1,066.00 ($US per Troy ounce)
Silver (March 10) gain $0.27, EOD $15.10 ($US per Troy ounce)
Platinum (April 10) gain $0.40, EOD $1,475.50 ($US per Troy ounce)
Copper (March 10) gain $0.07, EOD $2.93 ($US per pound)

Livestock and Meat Markets - Chicago Mercantile Exchange (cents per lb.):
Lean Hogs (April 10) gain $2.05, EOD $68.78
Pork Bellies (May 10) gain $2.00, EOD $82.00
Live Cattle (April 10) gain $0.40, EOD $90.80
Feeder Cattle (March 10) gain $0.90, EOD $99.23

Other Commodities - Chicago Board of Trade (cents per bushel):
Corn (March 10) gain $5.00, EOD $356.50
Soybeans (March 10) gain $18.50, EOD $929.50

BOND MARKET:
2 year EOD 100 6/32, change 0, Yield 0.77, Yield change 0.01
5 year EOD 99 30/32, change -3/32, Yield 2.26 Yield change 0.03
10 year EOD 98 10/32, change -3/32, Yield 3.57 Yield change 0.01
30 year EOD 97 25/32, change 7/32, Yield 4.51, change -0.01

Access upcoming scheduled economic data anytime by viewing the Economic Calendar from Millennium-Traders, free access to visitors on our website.

Visitors may subscribe to our free Weekly Market News for a review of the previous weeks trading news plus, view upcoming economic data scheduled for the week ahead.

Review current edition as well as, archives of the News & Commentary plus, view complete details of calls made in our Trading Rooms and stock picks from our Swing Trading service. Traders should review our FREE Monthly Trading Lesson posted on our website.

Thanks for reading
Millennium-Traders.Com ]]> Market Predictions and Reports MTnews http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/market-predictions-reports/8645-cit.html My GBP/USD analysis and trades http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/personal-trade-journals/8644-my-gbp-usd-analysis-trades.html Mon, 08 Feb 2010 10:31:18 GMT My GBP/USD analysis and trades over 02/01/10 – 02/05/10 1.1 GBP/USD 60 Result +64 p.p. Image: http://www.2targetsmethod.com/images/070210/1/image001.jpg The trade is made as follows: when p.4 is hit, an order is set to open position at 1.5935, take profit at 1.5871, stop at 1.5976 (rule 6i). The ratio of planned profit to potential loss 1/(1+profit/loss)=0.39. 1.2 GBP/USD 60 Image: http://www.2targetsmethod.com/images/070210/1/image002.jpg The trade is not executed since, according to the rules, position opens after hitting p.4 and closes, in this case, at target M. According to the rules, here the stop should be set at level 4/8 (rule 6i), but in this case the ratio of potential profit to possible loss (1/(1+profit/loss)=0.65) contradicts the one stated in the rules. 1.3 GBP/USD 60 Result +102 p.p. Image: http://www.2targetsmethod.com/images/070210/1/image003.jpg The trade is made as follows: when p.4 is hit, an order is set to open position at 1.5727, take profit at 1.5625, stop at 1.5790 (rule 6i). The ratio of planned profit to potential loss 1/(1+profit/loss)=0.38. 1.4 GBP/USD 240 Result +210 p.p. Image: http://www.2targetsmethod.com/images/070210/1/image004.jpg The trade is made as follows: when p.4 is hit, an order is set to open position at 1.5846, take profit at 1.5636, stop at 1.6066 (rule 6i). The ratio of planned profit to potential loss 1/(1+profit/loss)=0.51. *Total Result: + 376 pips!* My GBP/USD analysis and trades over 02/01/10 – 02/05/10

1.1 GBP/USD 60 Result +64 p.p.


The trade is made as follows: when p.4 is hit, an order is set to open position at 1.5935, take profit at 1.5871, stop at

1.5976 (rule 6i). The ratio of planned profit to potential loss 1/(1+profit/loss)=0.39.

1.2 GBP/USD 60



The trade is not executed since, according to the rules, position opens after hitting p.4 and closes, in this case, at

target M. According to the rules, here the stop should be set at level 4/8 (rule 6i), but in this case the ratio of

potential profit to possible loss (1/(1+profit/loss)=0.65) contradicts the one stated in the rules.

1.3 GBP/USD 60 Result +102 p.p.



The trade is made as follows: when p.4 is hit, an order is set to open position at 1.5727, take profit at 1.5625, stop at

1.5790 (rule 6i). The ratio of planned profit to potential loss 1/(1+profit/loss)=0.38.

1.4 GBP/USD 240 Result +210 p.p.


The trade is made as follows: when p.4 is hit, an order is set to open position at 1.5846, take profit at 1.5636, stop at

1.6066 (rule 6i). The ratio of planned profit to potential loss 1/(1+profit/loss)=0.51.

Total Result: + 376 pips! ]]> Personal Trade Journals TraderDTS http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/personal-trade-journals/8644-my-gbp-usd-analysis-trades.html <![CDATA[Sir Pipsalot's Monday Market Update 2-8-2010]]> http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/sir-pipsalots-daily-trading-signals/8643-sir-pipsalots-monday-market-update-2-8-2010-a.html Mon, 08 Feb 2010 07:43:53 GMT Hey folks,

The EUR/USD remains in a downtrend that may take it to the 1.3100 area. 1.3000-1.3100 has many potential support levels clustered in that region, with many projections pointing to that area as well. However, we are quite oversold and past initial targets, so the move could turn around at any time. Right now I would say 1.3745 is a good level to trail SL's down to and use as a biasing point. As long as that level holds, any rallies should be considered pullbacks in a downtrend and shorted accordingly. Specifically, 1.3680-1.3700 would be a great place to try a short with trendline and fib resistance around there.

A quick note on some of the fundamental reasoning why I've been talking about in the Profit Mongers room responding to questions:
"[2:30] CM SirPipsalot: I've been calling for this big USD move for quite awhile... it's been long overdue and it has a lot further to go. The stage is still set for global deflation. USD will be one of the few currencies to benefit from that scenario as the world's reserve currency... not to mention this second leg of financial crisis is being led by Europe, not the US. The first leg we look back and blame the US Housing market. We will look back and blame Greece and Dubai in all likelihood for this one if it snowballs further. We don't need a market collapse to see major deflation... all we need is velocity of money to start slowing again, and a waning will to provide further stimulus accompanied by soveriegn default or the fear thereof will do a lot to slow down interbank lending."

Stocks continue their downwards slide. While we may see intermittent days of rallying or consolidation, the trend is most defintely down and I feel confident we'll see prices below 1000 on the S&P before March. My next levels for profit taking on shorts is the 950-960 level and 860-870 for now. As the downmove develops, I may shift those targets based on the situation. At this point I would not expect a rally above 1100-1105 resistance. I also believe the highs for the year have been set around 1150 and I have told friends and family to shift to a much more defensive stance with their investments.

Friday's NFP release saw mixed news as the Employment figures disappointed slightly and the Unemployment Rate improved to 9.7%, but did so amidsts changes to the calculation process that would have seen a worsening to 10.6% if the procedure had not been changed. All this lead to whipsaws on the currency and stock markets. CAD Employment saw a muted 32 pip USD/CAD decline on moderately better than expected figures. There's no news worth previewing for either Monday or Tuesday, so the next scheduled news we'll look at is UK Industrial Production on Wednesday morning.

That's all for today's update. If you'd like to learn more about trading or trade along with myself and my collegues, come join us at Profit Mongers. Our subscription is very reasonable at $179 per month, and right now you can sign up for a 2 week trial to get started for only $29. This offer is for new customers only. If you have any questions, you can also email me at sirpipsalot@profitmongers.com

To our success!
Sir Pipsalot ]]> Sir Pipsalot http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/sir-pipsalots-daily-trading-signals/8643-sir-pipsalots-monday-market-update-2-8-2010-a.html Forecasted Pip Range For Economic News http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/forex-trading-systems-strategies/8642-forecasted-pip-range-economic-news.html Mon, 08 Feb 2010 04:01:46 GMT Has anyone out there seen a chart that shows the estimated pip range for the various economic news releases? I thought I saw this on this web site but cannot find it now. Any help finding a chart with this info. would be greatly appreciated. Has anyone out there seen a chart that shows the estimated pip range for the various economic news releases? I thought I saw this on this web site but cannot find it now. Any help finding a chart with this info. would be greatly appreciated. ]]> Forex Trading Systems and Strategies ForexSurfr http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/forex-trading-systems-strategies/8642-forecasted-pip-range-economic-news.html Time to trade? http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/beginners-bootcamp/8632-time-trade.html Sun, 07 Feb 2010 17:50:48 GMT As we all know the forex circus rolls along 24hr/24hr. When one market closes another will open and on we go until we come back to the beginning and start all over again.

However within this 24hr merry-go-round there are times when we can find greater volume and therefore much more price action to work with due to two markets being open at the same time. When I say markets I mean Stock Exchange Markets. It pays to trade at these times and give the quieter trading hours a miss.

Many strategies are in fact based around these market opening times, and several years ago I used to trade just the London open and by 12 'o' clock my day was finished.

To help give you a reminder, I've posted below a simple graphic that shows the four main stockmarket trading times within a larger trading zone shown either side. The most important is the Asian close/European open and of course the European/American markets that are open at the same time.

Here is the timetable for my time, GMT +1 (CET)

Attachment 1145

Here is the same graphic but with the times blanked out. If you think it could help please feel free to print it off and fill in the hours that suit your location on the planet.

Attachment 1146

There is also a quite nice desktop widget that Oanda have made for Yahoo! just adjust the timezone for where you are and you'll always know which market is about to open or close.

FXMarketHours - Yahoo! Widgets
Attached Images
File Type: gif Trading times CET.gif (10.9 KB)
File Type: gif Trading times blank.gif (10.0 KB)
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Regards ]]> Spammers Hall of Shame Billionaira http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/spammers-hall-shame/8629-best-fund-management-company-wouldnt-spam-like-me.html Hers our little blog http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/forex-blogs/8627-hers-our-little-blog.html Sun, 07 Feb 2010 09:38:56 GMT Heres our free educational/Information blog, obviously we would like you to go on to take one of our courses if you like what you see, but thats your choice. AiMS - Market Analysis (http://www.aimschool.co.uk/market-analysis/) Heres our free educational/Information blog, obviously we would like you to go on to take one of our courses if you like what you see, but thats your choice.

AiMS - Market Analysis ]]> Forex Blogs Rob Lee http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/forex-blogs/8627-hers-our-little-blog.html Fx Ultimatim http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/scam-alerts-folder/8626-fx-ultimatim.html Sat, 06 Feb 2010 23:14:24 GMT Fx Ultimatim Do not buy it. The product does not work and they do not honor the money back guarantee. They just give new versions that still don't work. ]]> Scam Alerts Folder carol york http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/scam-alerts-folder/8626-fx-ultimatim.html Money Forex http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/scam-alerts-folder/8624-money-forex.html Sat, 06 Feb 2010 18:48:14 GMT Dear FPA..
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