The second week of the New Year did not offer much in terms of breakouts from the recent
consolidation ranges. Fundamentals reflect a slow recovery and risk appetite also remained subdued this week after some initial rally. Let's take a look at some major currency pairs.
EUR/USD Stalking Consolidation
Daily and 4H: The EUR/USD is heading back to the support of its consolidation. The stochastic in the daily has crossed and today’s price action seems to be very aggressive, though we still have a few hours to go.
Looking at the 4H time-frame, it will be interesting to see if the 78.6% retracement level at 1.4330 can hold. This may give way to a throwback scenario, which does not have to reach 1.4450, but it is a preferred scenario as this will make this previous support into resistance.
If the decline then continues a swing, it is projected to the 1.4200 area. If 1.4200 breaks, this is the decline to start the continuation towards the 1.37-1.38 area (61.8% retracement in the daily time-frame).[Written by CMS Forex]
"P&F
EURUSD1440 Box Size 75X3 or(1.6%) HI/LO
Data 1.5135 - 1.2924 ~
9 Month ~ 275 Day
Database 1050 records
1.4387 (Last Close)
2009-04-15 00~00
2010-01-15 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"
1.5150|~75|||____________________________|-0.1%|17.22%
1.5075|~15O||_______________________X_X__|0.4%|16. 64%
1.5000|~225||_____________________X_XoXo_|0.89%|16 .06%
1.4925|~3OO||_____________________XoXoXo_|1.39%|15 .48%
1.4850|~375||_____________________XoXo_o_|1.88%|14 .9%
1.4775|~45O||___________________X_XoX__o_|2.38%|14 .32%
1.4700|~525||___________________XoXoX__o_|2.87%|13 .74%
1.4625|~6OO||___________________XoXo___o_|3.37%|13 .16%
1.4550|~675||===================Xo=====oX|3.87%|12 .58%
1.4475|~75O||___________________X______oX|4.36%|12 %
1.4400|~825||_______________X_X_X______oX|4.86%|11 .42%
1.4325|~9OO||_______X_______XoXoX______oX|5.35%|10 .84%
1.4250|~975||=======Xo====X=XoXoX======o=|5.85%|10 .26%
1.4175|~1O5O|_______XoX_X_XoXoXo_________|6.34%|9. 68%
1.4100|~1125|_______XoXoXoXoXo___________|6.84%|9. 1%
1.4025|~12OO|_____X_XoXoXoXo_____________|7.33%|8. 52%
1.3950|~1275|_____XoXoXoXoX______________|7.83%|7. 94%
1.3875|~135O|_____XoXo_oXo_______________|8.33%|7. 36%
1.3800|~1425|_____Xo___o_________________|8.82%|6. 78%
1.3725|~15OO|_____X______________________|9.32%|6. 2%
1.3650|~1575|___X_X______________________|9.81%|5. 62%
1.3575|~165O|___XoX______________________|10.31%|5 .04%
1.3500|~1725|___XoX______________________|10.8%|4. 46%
1.3425|~18OO|___Xo_______________________|11.3%|3. 88%
1.3350|~1875|___X________________________|11.79%|3 .3%
1.3275|~195O|_X_X________________________|12.29%|2 .72%
1.3200|~2O25|_XoX________________________|12.78%|2 .14%
1.3125|~21OO|_XoX________________________|13.28%|1 .56%
1.3050|~2175|oXoX________________________|13.78%|0 .97%
1.2975|~225O|oXo_________________________|14.27%|0 .39%
1.2900|~2325|o___________________________|14.77%|-0.19%
Column|||||||3549383764554535443836563314|
Count||||||||__________________________1_|
