Forex Trading Signal 9-28-2009

Sir Pipsalot

Former FPA Special Consultant
Messages
511
Hey folks,

Well, the big news is that we got the further confirmation we were looking for on the EUR/USD short. I personally am adding to the EUR/USD short here near 1.4600 and am tightening my SL from 1.5000 to 1.4850. If you're short along with us from last week, feel free to do the same, and if you're not in from last week, consider a short on the EU around here with a 1.4850 SL. I can't give away all the trade parameters to you free guys out there, but I'm eyeing the lower 1.3's over the next 4 to 8 weeks for this trade (of course closing some along the way as well). I'm closing down what's left of the swing trade short on GBP/USD though here around 1.5820 since 500 pips is good enough for me. GBP/USD may see downside along with the EUR/USD, but a potential reversal lower is looming on the EUR/GBP so I'd rather wait for a sizeable 3 wave bounce to try another GBP/USD short swing trade. In general, we are getting more and more bits of confirmation everyday that we've hit a major trend shift towards USD strength, and stock/commodity weakness. One other long term USD trade we've taken is long USD/CAD to play off both USD strength and commodity weakness. We got in long at a lower price though, so whether it's worth chasing for a position trade is up to you, but keep in mind our SL is below 1.0600. Ideally I'd say wait for it to sell off

As expected, Silver is seeing more weakness than gold. A good place to take some incremental profits on a short from last week should be the $14.70 to $15.25 range as there are some different levels of support in that region. Once $14.70 (approx) is broken, the next layer of trendline/fib support lies around 13.80 to 14.15, and if that goes, I think it's pretty darn'd clear we're heading to new lows on silver below $8.46 (our ultimate target).

Stocks continue to stay under pressure, but Monday is a jewish holiday and trading is typically light on Yom Kippur, so short term anything can happen. Medium term, what I'm expecting is a run down below 1000 here over the next few weeks. Ultimately, I think we're headed to the 250-400 range on the S&P 500, but that may take 1-2 years. While I am aggressively short stocks with a position that I plan to hold and take incremental profits on for quite some time, I'm also looking to grab more medium term swings lower on stocks. Right now, I doubt we'll get anything more than 1-3 day bullish periods in this selloff over the next few weeks, so you can try to chase it down or sell on a bounce if you want. I'm in short from about 1055, but it's still plenty high enough to enter for a position trade short.

There's no significant news out Monday, so we'll preview UK GDP and US Consumer Confidence in tomorrow's signal.

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To our success,
Sir Pipsalot
 
not clear?

what is not clear guys ? we have free signals ... we can trade and win a lot of pips:)
 
hope your right

I have followed all those shorts you called over the past few months has really burned holes in my pockets.
 
Great job sir pips

your signals are grat and accurate, only those who cant analyse it wont give you the thumbs up theyre simple and easy
 
I have followed all those shorts you called over the past few months has really burned holes in my pockets.

Well, when the ultimate direction doesn't work out and you don't handle it correctly, it can be tough on your bottom line. Win or lose you've got to learn some good money management to minimize losses and extend profits. On the shorts you mentioned earlier in the summer, (I think there were 2 sets), I still made money (small amounts, but still noteworthy) on over half the ones that didn't work out ultimately. Part of the problem is you guys sometimes can get the memo a bit late unless you're on top of the message boards.
 
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