Bitcoin (BTC) analysis thread

The daily looks like a huge retest of the trend, looking short still for sure till it breaks above.

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Looks like a rising wedge up to the previous support. I think i'll be opening some short positions...
 
Great analysis as always mate. I think the recent revival is also geared at getting a good price ready for another sell off. Possibly at the $8500 mark.
Finding this opinion in a lot of places lately but only a time will show. If it happen again i hope it won`t be so deep.
 
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Hi all. Here`s my latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis.

First of all I`ve got to mention that this is my short term analysis and it`s going to be really short.

In the next few days i`ll present you my really long term (kind of edited) analysis too.



Now let`s get to the technicals.

The main point here is the ascending triangle at 4H chart. This pattern most of the time leads to a bullish breakout but we`ll see.

  • Pivot point for this week is $6182.09
  • We`re far above it right now which is awesome for this and the next week.
  • Resistances:
  • 1st $7100-7300 (a MAJOR one) – that`s the top of the ascending triangle and also 61.8 fibo level at weekly chart. A break above it will be a strong bullish signal.
  • 2nd $7800 (by previous PA)
  • 3rd $8500 (by 50% fibo level and previous PA) – here the resistance can be even a bit lower by VPVR indicator.
  • Supports:
  • 1st $6400 (last resistance)
  • 2nd $5600 (MAJOR support by historical PA)
One last point for today. Thanks to Glassnode we can monitor a lot of on-chain activity out there. The last thing that i`ve noticed is the enormous amount of Tether USD (USDT) which is stacking into exchanges. And now you`ll be asking: “So what?”. USDT is the easiest way to buy/sell BTC for the so called whales. But is you`re selling BTC, the you`ll cash out BTC for USDT and then for real cash. But when you want to be fast with buying BTC, then you`re staking your real cash to USDT in exchanges and just patiently wait to start buying BTC. Isn`t simple enough?

That`s from me for now.
 
I'm bringing my rejection to $7200ish and then heading lower again as mentioned before. Great to see different opinions on it.
 
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