Daily Market Report by GulfBrokers 2020-2021

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I think that fundamental analysis is now more interesting for most traders because it provides more profitable entry points than technical analysis. This is due to the economic situation in the world and how fiercely everyone is now trying to restore their leadership positions.
 
It's true, the dollar is in the spotlight right now. Although for today the situation in the U.S. seems to stabilize a little bit and soon the dollar will cease to be so uneasy.
I always feel excited when something like this happens in the world and even sometimes I do not work these days, because I cannot always understand the logic of the market.
 
Since the situation in the U.S. is still not very stable, gold now also provides an opportunity to earn almost every day. So I've included that in my action plan too, because it seems to me very promising.
Yes. But the price retrace bit before any big move.
 
I think that fundamental analysis is now more interesting for most traders because it provides more profitable entry points than technical analysis. This is due to the economic situation in the world and how fiercely everyone is now trying to restore their leadership positions.
Technical analysis is always good. But like you said nowadays fundamentals are playing a very important role in the market.
 
It's true, the dollar is in the spotlight right now. Although for today the situation in the U.S. seems to stabilize a little bit and soon the dollar will cease to be so uneasy.
I always feel excited when something like this happens in the world and even sometimes I do not work these days, because I cannot always understand the logic of the market.
I agree. But you really focus you can find a lot of opportunities on a weekly basis. Just focus on your technical chart.
 
The EUR/USD back to above 1.1400 ahead of European Union Leaders submit, which is meeting to continue negotiations about the nature of the EUR 750 billion pandemic recovery fund. The pair currently supported at 1.1370 and the resistance around 1.1450. On Thursday, the European central bank kept the interest rate and the emergency coronavirus stimulus program unchanged.
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This week several countries released their latest positive inflation numbers. The first CPI numbers published by the U.S. Labor Department on Tuesday, the consumer price index rose 0.6% last month, the biggest gain since August 2012, after easing 0.1% in May. On Wednesday, the National Statistics (ONS) said the UK inflation rate unexpectedly climbed to 0.6% in June from a 4-year low of 0.5% in May. Meanwhile, New Zealand Annual inflation rate declined to 1.5% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2020 from 2.5% in the previous three months. On Friday, the Eurozone CPI report for June, the consumer prices rose +0.3% on a yearly basis, up from a four-year low of 0.1% in the previous month.

EQUITIES

Global stocks trading lower on Friday investors remained cautious about the ever-increasing coronavirus cases and worsening US-China relations. The Japanese stocks fell on Friday amid rising fears over the development of COVID-19 cases in metropolitan Tokyo.

OIL

Crude oil prices trading slightly lower on Friday. Overall, this week Oil prices traded sideways following a decision by the OPEC and its allies to begin trimming production cuts next month.

CURRENCIES

The EUR/USD back to above 1.1400 ahead of EU summit, which is meeting to continue negotiations about the nature of the EUR 750 billion pandemic recovery fund.

GOLD

The Gold price recovered from the previous session lows of Thursday and trading above the psychological level of $1800.

Economic Outlook

On the data front, the European central bank kept the interest rate and the emergency coronavirus stimulus program unchanged. On the US front, the US retail sales beat expectations in June – up 7.5% vs. expected 5.0% and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index also rose to 24.1 from the 20.0 that was forecast.

On the earnings calendar, Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) announced better-than-expected Q2 earnings. While the revenue of second-biggest U.S. bank dropped 5.3% from a year earlier. Netflix stock fell 9% to $480 in after-hours trade as the company signalled weaker subscriber growth and profits missed expectations.

Moving ahead to the North American session, the European Union Leaders Summit will be the important events to watch.

Coronavirus update:

The number of people infected with the coronavirus across the world rose surpassed 13.8 million, of which at least 590 thousand people have died, according to Johns Hopkins. The US, the world’s worst-affected country, now has a total of more than 3.3 million cases and 135,000 deaths. Meanwhile, Brazil, which is the second worst-hit country after the United States, crossed the 2 million mark in terms of cases on Thursday.

Technical Outlook

XAU/USD:
The yellow metal again found strong buyers around $1795 area and at the time writing the gold price trading around $1803.

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The important levels to watch for today: Support- 1795 and 1780 Resistance- 1810 and 1818.

GBP/USD: This whole week the currency pair traded in a range between from 1.2480 to 1.2660. Overall, the movement remained bearish throughout this week.

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The important levels to watch for today: Support- 1.2530 and 1.2480 Resistance- 1.2580 and 1.2620.

Quote of the day: An investor’s worst enemy is not the stock market but his own emotions.


Read more- https://gulfbrokers.com/en/daily-market-report-128
 
EUR/USD buyers still pushing higher. The pair broke the previous resistance 1.1450 and trading above 4 months high of 1.1460. The EURO boosted by after The European Council President Charles Michel put forward a new compromise proposal, which is lower than the initial proposal. On Sunday, the European Union leaders failed to agree on a plan for a 750 billion Euro ($857 billion) stimulus after 3 days meeting.

The next resistance to watch 1.15/1.1530. The sellers will likely look to enter around these areas. On the downside, if the price breaks drop below 1.1450 the next support level will be placed at 1.1420 followed by 1.1370.
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Netflix shares plunged 15% last week from the $575 level as the company signalled weaker subscriber growth and profits were weaker than expected. Meanwhile, the revenue for the last quarter reported was $70 million higher than the Wall Street estimates. The world’s largest streaming company announced the second-quarter 2020 financial results on Thursday after market close. The stock dropped by more than 10% after the results were released as the investors became worried as the company could not guarantee the performance recorded in Q2 2020.

  • Earnings per share (EPS) $1.59 vs. $1.81 expected
  • Revenue $6.15 billion vs. $6.08 billion expected

The entertainment giant reported an increase of over 10 million subscribers in the three months to July taking its overall customer level to 26 million for the year. In the first quarter, Netflix added 15.77 million new subscribers.

“Everyone is wrestling with implications both on health, on hunger, poverty, and we too are really unsure of what the future brings,” said Netflix, Reed Hastings. “Our paid net additions for the month of June also included the subscriptions we cancelled for the small percentage of members who had not used the service recently,” he added.

Netflix’s guidance for the third quarter of the year came in at $6.33 billion in revenue and earnings-per-share of $2.09, compared to analyst expectations of $6.40 billion and $2.01. The company also named Chief Content Officer Ted Sarandos as co-CEO of the company, alongside chief executive Reed Hastings, in its earnings release.

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The $NFLX currently supported at $570 and the resistance around $575. The NFLX shares have added about 61.7% since the beginning of the year. The stock closed on Friday at $490. In the short term any break below $475 the next immediate support at $458.67(50-day simple moving average). On the other side if the price break and close above $500, the next level to watch $530 and then $575(52-week high).

Read more-https://gulfbrokers.com/en/netflix-stock-closed-below-500-on-friday-can-we-expect-further-downside
 
Important economic releases this week: US home sales, UK retail sales and Oil inventories.

Earnings to watch: Tesla, Twitter, Microsoft, Intel, American Airlines and Honeywell
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