FOREX PRO Weekly September 05-09, 2011

Thanks for sharing your thoughts Sive. I have no proof either way, that's why I asked you. It's a very interesting topic but it's hard to make predictions without a tangible lead.

Do you find a lot of independent traders / financial experts etc. who share your concerns that the US is secretly *intentionally* abusing its power at the expense of the rest of the world?

rubin hood

i have no proof either. let me 1st say that although i don't want to start en epic discussion re. this topic on this thread since obviously this is probably not the place, i feel compelled nonetheless to observe the following: isn't this a question of imputation? that is to say, is the debasement of the USD an unavoidable fact due to necessity, that is, the Fed having no other choice but to turn to QE, in which case no one is holding the hand of history.

OR was the whole affair engineered since the beginning? and by beginning i mean since the days of greespan as some economists have argued that the economics of productivity increase without a fundamental manufacturing base can only be sustained in the short term by unsustainable credit inflation, hence the various bubbles we have seen popping over the past decade. some even argue that without the Fed's credit favorable policies the real economy would have, if not collapsed, at least taking a serious downturn not in 2008, but back in the 90s already. hence greespan and co.'s efforts to boost it artificially. and now we are facing the end game.

if i may recommend a good book that helps frame this topic in a more articulate way, read cambridge economics scholar ha-joon chang's book '23 Things They Don't Tell You About Capitalism'. also joseph stiglitz, paul krugman, and nouriel roubini will help fill in the picture.

but personally, i believe necessity was a convenient accomplice. ;-)

Guys, Rubin, I also do not have 100 prove for that - this is just a theory, although wise theory that makes us to think. I just have shared with you with my thoughts.
Rubin has asked - I just put basic thoughts on that... This is still interesting.
 
EUR/USD Daily Update, Tue 06, September 2011

Good morning,
so, market has shown real downmove yesterday with gap down open. This gap has not been closed yet.

On daily time frame market is not at oversold yet, that for today stands at 1.3995 and has reached weekly pivot support 1. Also it has shown W&R of previous lows on daily chart and broken 0.618 major Fib support. That is very bearish.
We need to come aboard but it's not so simple task, since we do not know will market show retracement or not.

On 4 hour chart we see excellent thrust and I will be happy if market will show retracement as B&B "Sell" pattern, since thrust down is good and very suitable for that. My area to watch for 1.4160-1.4190 - Confluence resistance and gap area. IF market will show retracement to it - this will be great.
Since this could be B&B trade - it will allow you to move stop to b/e and you will either possess yourself right to our target at 1.38 or loose nothing, if market will intend to retrace a bit higher.

On hourly time frame there are some hints on possible retracement as MACD Divergence, Stop grabber and W&R but all of them are not very safe and reliable. Still this is better than nothing. Anyway, you do not take any risk - if market will show retracement - we will enter, if not - we will start to find other possibilities.
 

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Primary reaction number changed place

Good morning Sive,

I have noticed that our primary reaction number for yesterday at 1.4530 has moved to 1,4470. Why is that?

I can see that 1,4470 is the beggining of an excellent trhust down but still I can't help myself wonder why we don't take into account anymore the thrust bars at 1,4530.

Thank you for todays analysis.
 
Good morning Sive,

I have noticed that our primary reaction number for yesterday at 1.4530 has moved to 1,4470. Why is that?

I can see that 1,4470 is the beggining of an excellent trhust down but still I can't help myself wonder why we don't take into account anymore the thrust bars at 1,4530.

Thank you for todays analysis.

Hi Damian,
the point from which thrust directly has started has a priority. Besides, if you will use major reaction - you will get almost the same Fib levels.
 
The Markets Have Gone Crazy

THE MARKETS HAVE GONE CRAZY! WHAT THE HECK! EUR/USD UP 140 PIPS IN 10 MINUTES.

USD/CHF UP 730 PIPS!!!

SIVE?:mad:
 
i think because of this news;
Swiss Central Bank Sets Minimum Exchange Rate Target at 1.20 for Euro
 
News

Sive,

Where do you recommend we can get our news for forex that is fast and effective. For example, how did you find out about this SNB news about pegging the CHF to EUR??
 
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