Forex Signal (Tuesday December 6, 2011 – 9:00am EDT) – CA BOC Rate Decision

Stavro D'Amore

Former FPA Special Consultant
Messages
547
Hello

Please see my trade plan below.


CA BOC Rate Decision
Forecast 1.00%
Previous 1.00%
Pair to trade: USD/CAD

Numbers we need:
BUY USD/CAD 0.75%
SELL USD/CAD 1.25%

Economical Impact: High
Typical Result: Hawkish is Good for Currency
Occurrence: Scheduled 8 times per year
Spike Probability: Good, we can see 60 pips on initial spike

About our Triggers:
CA GDP m/m is forecasted to arrive at 1.00%
We are looking for a deviation of 0.25% either way on this trade.
If we get 1.25% or better I will look to enter a SHORT position on USD/CAD and if we get
0.75% or lower I will go LONG on USD/CAD.
Should this report be triggered, we can expect to see about 60 pips on the initial spike.
We have no known conflict for this release. This trade will have a good chance of a 30% retrace on the initial spike

What is it? And why does the market care?
The Bank of Canada (BOC) decision on short term interest rate. The decision on where to set interest rates depends mostly on growth outlook and inflation. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increases demand for the nation's currency.

A higher than expected rate is positive/bullish for the CAD.
A lower than expected rate is negative/bearish for the CAD.

Method I use to trade this:
Stavro D’Amore Trading Method

Felix Descriptions:
Indicator Descriptions

I will look for a 30-50% retracement in the original spike before entering a trade; I will sell half my position as soon as I hit the original high point of the first initial spike and place a SL at entry price. My TP level would be just before a resistance level or if the chart decides to form a support level, looking at a 15 minute chart time frame.

I do recommend spike trading as an option when there is great uncertainty in the markets; also the liquidity is very good at the moment if you are using an ECN broker.

Historical Chart and Data for CA BOC Rate Decision

All the best

Stavro D’Amore
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Spiked at unchanged

Thanks Stavro !!

The triggers were not hit but the USDCAD spiked down about 50 pips still..

Is there any way we can / could of predicted this to trade it?

Also, what to do next time, just not trade it to be safe? Because i didn't trade it to be safe.. But I see I just missed about 50-60 pips. (missed but also didnt loose!)

Thanks again for the great news signals they help a lot !!!

Louis
 
Thanks Stavro !!

The triggers were not hit but the USDCAD spiked down about 50 pips still..

Is there any way we can / could of predicted this to trade it?

Also, what to do next time, just not trade it to be safe? Because i didn't trade it to be safe.. But I see I just missed about 50-60 pips. (missed but also didnt loose!)

Thanks again for the great news signals they help a lot !!!

Louis
A ship kept at bay is safe but that's not what ships are meant for.
However,it's better to stay and watch than go swimming without knowing how to swim.
 
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