After Spike Trade Plans for Week 21, May 21 – May 27 2023

Peter O

Special Consultant to the FPA
Messages
4,744

How does after spike forex news trading work?

Forex News Trading can be extremely profitable if you have an understanding of fundamental analysis and have good trade plans to benefit from price action as they unfold after an economic release. Do not worry, Forex Peace Army analyst will help you to identify high-probability tradable economic news reports and advise on the trading strategy. You can find more details at Introduction to Afterspike Trading using Diamonds Trading Signals.
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Hi Fellow Traders,

This week (May 21 - May 27) we have 5 tradable releases for Diamonds Trading Signals:


⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯ Tuesday, May 23 ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯

USANew Home Sales10:00am NY time


⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯ Wednesday, May 24 ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯

UKCPI2:00am NY time


⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯ Thursday, May 25 ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯

USAGDP8:30am NY time
AustraliaRetail Sales9:30pm NY time


⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯ Friday, May 26 ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯

UKRetail Sales2:00am NY time



Cheers,
Peter
 

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Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan

USA New Home Sales ⋯ 10:00am NY time (Tuesday, May 23)

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Traded currency pairUSDJPY
Initial spike duration limit30 seconds
Initial spike price action threshold10 pips
Triggering retracement percentage40 %
Retracement duration limit90 seconds
Maximum trade hold time after release20 minutes
Stop loss10 pips
Take profit10 pips
Maximum spread2 pips


  1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

    If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

  2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 09:59:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of USDJPY on your chart.

  3. If between 10:00:00am and 10:00:30am, so during the first 30 seconds after the report, you see USDJPY move up or down by 10 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 40% retracement if it occurs in 90 seconds from release time (till 10:01:30am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

    The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 40% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

    If the move either up or down was less than 10 pips during the first 30 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

  4. If by 10:20:00am, so 20 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


Previous Example: on January 25 2013, at 10:00am, USA New Home Sales number was released, so in the first 30 seconds, the price of USDJPY spiked down by 104.0 pips from 90952.0 to 90848.0. Then price started retracing, and within about 60 seconds retraced to 87266% level of 90.9. So you would Sell at 90.9, set a stop/loss at 100.9, and set a take/profit at 80.9. 20 minutes after the report the take/profit was hit yielding 8.0 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


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Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan

UK CPI ⋯ 2:00am NY time (Wednesday, May 24)

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Traded currency pairGBPUSD
Initial spike duration limit20 seconds
Initial spike price action threshold15 pips
Triggering retracement percentage50 %
Retracement duration limit60 seconds
Maximum trade hold time after release15 minutes
Stop loss10 pips
Take profit10 pips
Maximum spread2 pips


  1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

    If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

  2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 01:59:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of GBPUSD on your chart.

  3. If between 02:00:00am and 02:00:20am, so during the first 20 seconds after the report, you see GBPUSD move up or down by 15 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 50% retracement if it occurs in 60 seconds from release time (till 02:01:00am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

    The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 50% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

    If the move either up or down was less than 15 pips during the first 20 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

  4. If by 02:15:00am, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


Previous Example: on January 25 2013, at 2:00am, UK CPI number was released, so in the first 20 seconds, the price of GBPUSD spiked down by 42.1 pips from 1.58097 to 1.57676. Then price started retracing, and within about 90 seconds retraced to 20% level of 1.57759 but it didn't continue retracing. This retracement was lower than trade plan's minimal 50% level so we didn't enter the market.


Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


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Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan

USA GDP ⋯ 8:30am NY time (Thursday, May 25)

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Traded currency pairUSDJPY
Initial spike duration limit30 seconds
Initial spike price action threshold10 pips
Triggering retracement percentage40 %
Retracement duration limit90 seconds
Maximum trade hold time after release15 minutes
Stop loss10 pips
Take profit10 pips
Maximum spread2 pips


  1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

    If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

  2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 08:29:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of USDJPY on your chart.

  3. If between 08:30:00am and 08:30:30am, so during the first 30 seconds after the report, you see USDJPY move up or down by 10 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 40% retracement if it occurs in 90 seconds from release time (till 08:31:30am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

    The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 40% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

    If the move either up or down was less than 10 pips during the first 30 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

  4. If by 08:45:00am, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


Previous Example: on October 26 2012, at 8:30am, USA GDP number was released, so in the first 50 seconds, the price of USDJPY spiked up by 139.0 pips from 79847.0 to 79986.0. Then price started retracing, and within about 30 seconds retraced to 29% level of 79945.0. So you would Buy at 79945.0, set a stop/loss at 79935.0, and set a take/profit at 79955.0. 3 minutes after the report the take/profit was hit yielding 8.0 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


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Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan

Australia Retail Sales ⋯ 9:30pm NY time (Thursday, May 25)

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Traded currency pairAUDUSD
Initial spike duration limit15 seconds
Initial spike price action threshold15 pips
Triggering retracement percentage30 %
Retracement duration limit90 seconds
Maximum trade hold time after release15 minutes
Stop loss10 pips
Take profit10 pips
Maximum spread2 pips


  1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

    If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

  2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 09:29:45pm, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of AUDUSD on your chart.

  3. If between 09:30:00pm and 09:30:15pm, so during the first 15 seconds after the report, you see AUDUSD move up or down by 15 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 30% retracement if it occurs in 90 seconds from release time (till 09:31:30pm) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

    The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 30% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

    If the move either up or down was less than 15 pips during the first 15 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

  4. If by 09:45:00pm, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


Previous Example: on May 6 2012, at 9:30pm, Australia Retail Sales number was released, so in the first 10 seconds, the price of AUDUSD spiked up by 22.2 pips from 1.01126 to 1.01348. Then price started retracing, and within about 25 seconds retraced to 30% level of 1.01281. So you would Buy at 1.01281, set a stop/loss at 1.01181, and set a take/profit at 1.01381. 15 minutes after the report neither take/profit nor stop/loss were hit so position was closed manually at 4.8 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


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Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan

UK Retail Sales ⋯ 2:00am NY time (Friday, May 26)

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Traded currency pairGBPUSD
Initial spike duration limit15 seconds
Initial spike price action threshold12 pips
Triggering retracement percentage35 %
Retracement duration limit40 seconds
Maximum trade hold time after release10 minutes
Stop loss10 pips
Take profit10 pips
Maximum spread2 pips


  1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

    If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

  2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 01:59:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of GBPUSD on your chart.

  3. If between 02:00:00am and 02:00:15am, so during the first 15 seconds after the report, you see GBPUSD move up or down by 12 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 35% retracement if it occurs in 40 seconds from release time (till 02:00:40am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

    The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 35% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

    If the move either up or down was less than 12 pips during the first 15 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

  4. If by 02:10:00am, so 10 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


Previous Example: on April 20 2012, at 04:30am, UK Retail Sales number was released, so in the first 10 seconds, the price of GBPUSD spiked up by 31.9 pips from 1.60822 to 1.61141. Then price started retracing, and within about 25 seconds retraced to 31% level of 1.61041 but it didn't continue retracing. This retracement was lower than trade plan's minimal 35% level so we didn't enter the market.


Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


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