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After Spike Trade Plans for Week 31, Jul 28 – Aug 3 2019

Discussion in 'Current Forex Trading Signals' started by Peter O, Jul 27, 2019.

  1. Peter O

    Peter O Special Consultant to the FPA

    Joined:
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    How does after spike forex news trading work?

    Forex News Trading can be extremely profitable if you have an understanding of fundamental analysis and have good trade plans to benefit from price action as they unfold after an economic release. Do not worry, Forex Peace Army analyst will help you to identify high-probability tradable economic news reports and advise on the trading strategy. You can find more details at Introduction to Afterspike Trading using Diamonds Trading Signals.
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    Hello Fellow Traders,

    On this week (July 28 - August 3) we have 6 tradable releases for Diamonds Trading Signals:


    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯ Wednesday, July 31 ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯

    USA ADP Nonfarm Payroll 8:15am NY time
    Canada GDP 8:30am NY time

    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯ Thursday, August 1 ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯

    UK Manufacturing PMI 4:30am NY time
    USA Manufacturing PMI 10:00am NY time
    Australia Retail Sales 9:30pm NY time

    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯ Friday, August 2 ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯

    USA Nonfarm Payroll 8:30am NY time


    Cheers,
    Peter
     
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  2. Peter O

    Peter O Special Consultant to the FPA

    Joined:
    Jan 14, 2013
    Messages:
    3,272
    Likes Received:
    1,409

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    Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan​

    USA ADP Nonfarm Payroll ⋯ 8:15am NY time (Wednesday, July 31)

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    Traded currency pair USDJPY
    Initial spike duration limit 15 seconds
    Initial spike price action threshold 15 pips
    Triggering retracement percentage 40 %
    Retracement duration limit 40 seconds
    Maximum trade hold time after release 15 minutes
    Stop loss 10 pips
    Take profit 10 pips
    Maximum spread 2 pips

    1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

      If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

    2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 08:14:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of USDJPY on your chart.

    3. If between 08:15:00am and 08:15:15am, so during the first 15 seconds after the report, you see USDJPY move up or down by 15 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 40% retracement if it occurs in 40 seconds from release time (till 08:15:40am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

      The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 40% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

      If the move either up or down was less than 15 pips during the first 15 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

    4. If by 08:30:00am, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


    Previous Example: on July 5 2012, at 8:15am, USA ADP Nonfarm Payroll number was released, so in the first 7 seconds, the price of USDJPY spiked down by 79591.1 pips from 79671.0 to 79.9. Then price started retracing, and within about 25 seconds retraced to 100% level of 79826.0. So you would Sell at 79826.0, set a stop/loss at 79836.0, and set a take/profit at 79816.0. 7 minutes after the report the take/profit was hit yielding 8.0 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


    Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

    Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

    Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

    Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


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    Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan​

    Canada GDP ⋯ 8:30am NY time (Wednesday, July 31)

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    Traded currency pair USDCAD
    Initial spike duration limit 15 seconds
    Initial spike price action threshold 12 pips
    Triggering retracement percentage 30 %
    Retracement duration limit 40 seconds
    Maximum trade hold time after release 10 minutes
    Stop loss 10 pips
    Take profit 10 pips
    Maximum spread 2 pips

    1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

      If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

    2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 08:29:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of USDCAD on your chart.

    3. If between 08:30:00am and 08:30:15am, so during the first 15 seconds after the report, you see USDCAD move up or down by 12 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 30% retracement if it occurs in 40 seconds from release time (till 08:30:40am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

      The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 30% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

      If the move either up or down was less than 12 pips during the first 15 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

    4. If by 08:40:00am, so 10 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


    Previous Example: on April 30 2012, at 8:30am, Canada GDP number was released, so in the first 7 seconds, the price of USDCAD spiked up by 20.7 pips from 0.98297 to 0.98504. Then price started retracing, and within about 11 seconds retraced to 30% level of 0.98441. So you would Buy at 0.98441, set a stop/loss at 0.98341, and set a take/profit at 0.98541. 3 minutes after the report the take/profit was hit yielding 8.0 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


    Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

    Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

    Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

    Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


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    #2 Peter O, Jul 27, 2019
    Last edited: Jul 30, 2019
  3. Peter O

    Peter O Special Consultant to the FPA

    Joined:
    Jan 14, 2013
    Messages:
    3,272
    Likes Received:
    1,409

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    Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan​

    UK Manufacturing PMI ⋯ 4:30am NY time (Thursday, August 1)

    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯​

    Traded currency pair GBPUSD
    Initial spike duration limit 20 seconds
    Initial spike price action threshold 10 pips
    Triggering retracement percentage 50 %
    Retracement duration limit 40 seconds
    Maximum trade hold time after release 10 minutes
    Stop loss 10 pips
    Take profit 10 pips
    Maximum spread 2 pips

    1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

      If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

    2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 04:29:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of GBPUSD on your chart.

    3. If between 04:30:00am and 04:30:20am, so during the first 20 seconds after the report, you see GBPUSD move up or down by 10 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 50% retracement if it occurs in 40 seconds from release time (till 04:30:40am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

      The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 50% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

      If the move either up or down was less than 10 pips during the first 20 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

    4. If by 04:40:00am, so 10 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


    Previous Example: on January 2 2013, at 4:30am, UK Manufacturing PMI number was released, so in the first 20 seconds, the price of GBPUSD spiked down by 16303.7 pips from 1632.00 to 1.63. Then price started retracing, and within about 26 seconds retraced to 0% level of 1.63. So you would Sell at 1.63, set a stop/loss at 2.63, and set a take/profit at 0.63. 10 minutes after the report neither take/profit nor stop/loss were hit so position was closed manually at -2.0 pips of loss, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


    Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

    Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

    Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

    Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯
    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯​

    Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan​

    USA Manufacturing PMI ⋯ 10:00am NY time (Thursday, August 1)

    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯​

    Traded currency pair USDJPY
    Initial spike duration limit 15 seconds
    Initial spike price action threshold 10 pips
    Triggering retracement percentage 50 %
    Retracement duration limit 60 seconds
    Maximum trade hold time after release 15 minutes
    Stop loss 10 pips
    Take profit 10 pips
    Maximum spread 2 pips

    1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

      If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

    2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 09:59:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of USDJPY on your chart.

    3. If between 10:00:00am and 10:00:15am, so during the first 15 seconds after the report, you see USDJPY move up or down by 10 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 50% retracement if it occurs in 60 seconds from release time (till 10:01:00am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

      The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 50% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

      If the move either up or down was less than 10 pips during the first 15 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

    4. If by 10:15:00am, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


    Previous Example: on February 1 2013, at 10:00am, USA Manufacturing PMI number was released, so in the first 3 seconds, the price of USDJPY spiked down by 91952.8 pips from 92045.0 to 92.2. Then price started retracing, and within about 12 seconds retraced to 100% level of 92118.0. So you would Sell at 92118.0, set a stop/loss at 92128.0, and set a take/profit at 92108.0. 12 minutes after the report the take/profit was hit yielding 8.0 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


    Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

    Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

    Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

    Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯
    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯​

    Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan​

    Australia Retail Sales ⋯ 9:30pm NY time (Thursday, August 1)

    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯​

    Traded currency pair AUDUSD
    Initial spike duration limit 15 seconds
    Initial spike price action threshold 15 pips
    Triggering retracement percentage 30 %
    Retracement duration limit 90 seconds
    Maximum trade hold time after release 15 minutes
    Stop loss 10 pips
    Take profit 10 pips
    Maximum spread 2 pips

    1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 10 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 10 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

      If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

    2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 09:29:45pm, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of AUDUSD on your chart.

    3. If between 09:30:00pm and 09:30:15pm, so during the first 15 seconds after the report, you see AUDUSD move up or down by 15 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 30% retracement if it occurs in 90 seconds from release time (till 09:31:30pm) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 2 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 10 pips, and set take/profit at 10 pips.

      The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 30% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

      If the move either up or down was less than 15 pips during the first 15 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 2 pips, then skip the trade.

    4. If by 09:45:00pm, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


    Previous Example: on May 6 2012, at 9:30pm, Australia Retail Sales number was released, so in the first 10 seconds, the price of AUDUSD spiked up by 22.2 pips from 1.01126 to 1.01348. Then price started retracing, and within about 25 seconds retraced to 30% level of 1.01281. So you would Buy at 1.01281, set a stop/loss at 1.01181, and set a take/profit at 1.01381. 15 minutes after the report neither take/profit nor stop/loss were hit so position was closed manually at 4.8 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 2 pips.


    Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

    Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

    Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

    Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯​
     
    #3 Peter O, Jul 27, 2019
    Last edited: Jul 31, 2019
  4. Peter O

    Peter O Special Consultant to the FPA

    Joined:
    Jan 14, 2013
    Messages:
    3,272
    Likes Received:
    1,409

    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯​

    Diamonds Trading Signals Trade Plan​

    USA Nonfarm Payroll ⋯ 8:30am NY time (Friday, August 2)

    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯​

    Traded currency pair USDJPY
    Initial spike duration limit 30 seconds
    Initial spike price action threshold 25 pips
    Triggering retracement percentage 30 %
    Retracement duration limit 90 seconds
    Maximum trade hold time after release 15 minutes
    Stop loss 15 pips
    Take profit 15 pips
    Maximum spread 3 pips

    1. Set up single click execution on your broker platform, and if possible, pre-determine default stop/loss and default take/profit to 15 pips, so that when you click to execute your order, your platform will automatically set your stop/loss and take/profit at 15 pips from your entry price. Do not try this with brokers that don’t offer single click execution.

      If your platform does not allow to pre-determine default stop/loss and take/profit, then after entering the trade, simply set the stop/loss and take/profit points manually.

    2. Pull up either tick, 1-second, 3-second, or 5-second chart, and at 08:29:45am, so 15 seconds before the announcement, start paying very close attention to the price action of USDJPY on your chart.

    3. If between 08:30:00am and 08:30:30am, so during the first 30 seconds after the report, you see USDJPY move up or down by 25 pips or more, then enter in the direction of the initial spike at the very first 30% retracement if it occurs in 90 seconds from release time (till 08:31:30am) – and if spread at the time of your entry is at 3 pips or less. Set stop/loss at 15 pips, and set take/profit at 15 pips.

      The retracement will happen within seconds. Don’t draw anything on your chart, and don’t try to get a perfect entry. As soon as you see approximately 30% retracement on your chart, compared to the initial spike, click to enter without any hesitation.

      If the move either up or down was less than 25 pips during the first 30 seconds, then the actual number of the report did not generate sufficient interest in the market, and you simply skip the trade. If your spread at the time of desired entry is more than 3 pips, then skip the trade.

    4. If by 08:45:00am, so 15 minutes after the report release, neither your stop/loss nor your take/profit points were hit, then close the trade automatically at market price of the time.


    Previous Example: on December 7 2012, at 8:30am, USA Nonfarm Payroll number was released, so in the first 12 seconds, the price of USDJPY spiked up by 452.0 pips from 82321.0 to 82773.0. Then price started retracing, and within about 60 seconds retraced to 30% level of 82637.0. So you would Buy at 82637.0, set a stop/loss at 82622.0, and set a take/profit at 82652.0. 3 minutes after the report the take/profit was hit yielding 12.0 pips of profit, given that your spread at the time of the entry was at exactly 3 pips.


    Be patient, and do at least 20 "second wave" trades, before getting frustrated and quitting.

    Once you become good at it, you will be able to win on average 7 to 8 out of 10 trades.

    Keep win to loss ratio at 1:1. Tweak it only after you are consistently profitable with 1:1.

    Remember, it does not matter whether you make or lose 10 pips or 100 pips on a trade. What matters is how much money you make or lose on a trade. When risking 10 pips, simply put up 10 times more lots than you would when you risk 100 pips, and at the end you will make or lose the same amount of money. Yes, spread to pips targeted ratio matters, but these news "second wave" moves have such high probability of success that they somehow make up for the very high spread to pips targeted ratio (2 to 10), which is a small miracle in itself.


    ⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯⋯​
     
    #4 Peter O, Jul 27, 2019
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2019

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