Daily Market Report by GulfBrokers 2020-2021

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Wall Street opened slightly higher today but look like the trend is changing. In the currency market, $DXY is trying to break 97. The Dollar boosted after US Consumer Sentiment reported stronger than expected. The consumer sentiment for the US rose to 78.9 in June 2020 from 72.3 in the previous month and above market expectations of 75.
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A busy week ahead as investors keep an eye on the updates from UK-EU meeting and European council meeting. Apart from this, there are several other important events to watch.
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Commodity currencies AUD & NZD falls to fresh session low after the dollar renewed upside momentum.


The important levels to watch this week:


AUD/USD: 0.6740/0.6660 and 0.6860/0.6920


NZD/USD : 0.6350/ 0.6300 and 0.6440/0.6480

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The British pound dropped to two week low of 1.2455 on Monday due to worries Brexit negotiations between Britain and the EU making no progress. Last week, both the EU and UK announced some progress in the negotiations, but no details were presented. This week the pound traders closely monitor a new round of Brexit negotiations and the updates from Bank of England policy meeting on Thursday. As per the recent report, a “high-level” assembly on Brexit is scheduled on Monday, involving high officers from the UK and EU.

EQUITIES

Global stocks trading lower on Monday as investors worried about the new wave of coronavirus infections as cases mount in the US, Tokyo and Beijing. Chinese stocks slide after Beijing reported its second consecutive day of record new cases on Monday. On Wall Street last week Dow Jones had its worst trading day since March 15 on Thursday, last week, the Dow lost 5.5%, the S&P 500 retreated 4.7% and the NASDAQ declined 2.3%.

OIL

Crude Oil prices started this week with a bearish note as markets worry about the possibility of a second wave of coronavirus cases amid an increase in the number of infections in US and Asian countries.

CURRENCIES

Commodity currencies like the Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar fall to fresh session low on Monday after the dollar renewed upside momentum and disappointing economic data from China.

GOLD

The yellow metal price declined to fresh week low on Monday. Last week, gold prices edged higher followed by the Fed’s expectations for a slow recovery in the US economy.

Economic Outlook

On the data front, during the Asian session, the china Industrial output rose by 4.4% and retail sales fell by 2.8%, both showing the world's second-largest economy is recovering but missing expectations.

Moving ahead to the new week, the investors keep an eye on the updates from UK-EU meeting, European council meeting, and central banks meeting. Investors also monitoring a spike in coronavirus cases in the US, as fears grow that another outbreak could inflict greater damage on the global economy.

Coronavirus Update:

The number of people infected with the coronavirus across the world rose above 7.69 million, of which at least 427 thousand people have died. In the US the number of infections climbed to over 2.09 million, with states including Texas and Florida reporting record rises after reopening their economies. In India, the total number of coronavirus cases increased to 330k. Meanwhile, Europe has decided to ease restrictions and reopen borders with a number of EU nations. In Turkey, the new coronavirus cases almost doubled the level to which they had fallen in early June when the country reopened their facilities.

Technical Outlook

GOLD:
Gold price trading below $1720 during European session after climbed 2.6% last week.

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The important levels to watch for today: Support- 1708 and 1700 Resistance- 1726 and 1735.

DOLLAR INDEX: The greenback rebounded from a multi-month low of 95.80 after a three-week losing streak.

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The important levels to watch for today: Support- 96.80 and 96.40 Resistance- 97.40 and 97.90.


Quote of the day: The good speculators always wait and have patience, waiting for the market to confirm their judgement-Jesse Livermore.


Read more- https://gulfbrokers.com/en/daily-market-report-105
 
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China retail sales fell for a fourth straight month as shops, restaurants and other crowded places closed during the pandemic. Meanwhile, the industrial production data improved in last month. The National Bureau of Statistics said on Monday that industrial output in May expanded by 4.4%, a rise on April’s 3.9%, which was the first increase in 2020.

'Industrial production is on the whole getting better, but there are still quite a few difficulties and uncertainties, stated an official from the National Bureau of Statistics. China crude oil output rose 8.2 per cent in May, showing the recovery of the Chinese crude industry. The country produced 57.9 million tons of crude oil in May.

The retail sales of consumer goods fell by 2.8 per cent year-on-year in May. Sales in the restaurant and catering sector plunged 18.9 per cent. But, online sales continued to be active as consumers turned to online services when staying indoors, with an increase of 4.5 per cent year on year in the first five months.

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The Chinese stocks slide on Monday after the mixed economic data. China’s major indexes ended lower on Monday, the Shanghai Composite Index lost 1 per cent to close at 2,890.03.

Read more- https://gulfbrokers.com/en/china-retail-sales-declined-while-factory-output-rises-in-may
 
Wall Street opened slightly higher today but look like the trend is changing. In the currency market, $DXY is trying to break 97. The Dollar boosted after US Consumer Sentiment reported stronger than expected. The consumer sentiment for the US rose to 78.9 in June 2020 from 72.3 in the previous month and above market expectations of 75.
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Will watch this play out
 
AUD/USD bounced higher to 0.6963 with US stock futures. A pullback here would be nice. If the price breaks below 0.6920, it will give us a bearish signal. On the upper side, if the price break above 0.6985 will open doors to June 10 high at 0.7069.
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