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BetOnMarkets Weekly Briefing
Contents This Week:
Economic calendar for week 27th April - 1st May 2009.
Commentary: The week ahead.
Advertisement.
Economic Calendar for week 27th April - 1st May 2009

**Note: All times GMT, not DST**

Monday April 27th:

GE - 06:00 - GfK Consumer Climate.
UK - 08:30 - BBA Mortgage Approvals.
EU - 16:45 - ECB President Trichet Speaks.

Tuesday April 28th:

UK - 08:00 - CBI Realise Sales.
US - 13:00 - S&P/ CS Composite-20 HPI Y/Y.
US - 14:00 - CB Consumer Confidence.
US - 14:00 - Richmond Manufacturing Index.

Wednesday April 29th:

EU - 08:00 - M3 Money Supply Y/Y.
EU - 08:00- Private Loans Y/Y.
EU - 09:00 - Consumer Confidence.
US - 12:30 - Advance GDP Price Index Q/Q.
US - 14:30 - Crude Oil Inventories.
US - 18:15 - FOMC Statement.
US - 18:15 - Federal Funds Rate.
UK - 23:01 - GfK Consumer Confidence.

Thursday April 30th:

UK - 06:00 - Nationwide HPI M/M.
GE - 07:55 - Unemployment Change.
EU - 09:00 - CPI Flash Estimate Y/Y.
EU - 09:00 - Unemployment Rate.
US - 12:30 - Unemployment Claims.
US - 12:30 - Core PCE Price Index M/M.
US - 12:30 - Employment Cost Index M/M.
US - 12:30 - Personal Spending M/M.
US - 12:30 - Personal Income M/M.
US - 13:45 - Chicago PMI.
US - 14:30 - Natural Gas Storage.

Friday May 1st:

Bank holiday France, Switzerland, Germany & Italy.

UK - 08:30 - Manufacturing PMI.
UK - 08:30 - Net Lending to Individuals M/M.
UK - 08:30 - Mortgage Approvals.
US - 13:55 - Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment.
US - 13:55 - Revised UoM Inflation Expectations.
US - 14:00 - Revised UoM Inflation Expectations.
US - 14:00 - ISM Manufacturing PMI.
US - 14:00 - ISM Manufacturing Prices.
US - 14:00 - Factory Orders M/M.


EU - Europe wide
FR - France
UK - United Kingdom
US - United States
GE - Germany


The week ahead.
After a disastrous start to the week, financial markets rallied well on
Friday to close the week unchanged or slightly up. The CAC, DAX and FTSE
closed the week up 0.4%, 0.73% and 1.65% respectively. The S&P 500 and Down
closed the week down 0.23% and 0.65%, with the strongest performance coming
from the Nasdaq 100 which rose 3.24%, its 7th winning week on the trot. The
Nasdaq was buoyed by strong performances from Ebay, and Microsoft. Amazon
also continued its incredible run in the face of the bear market, since the
November lows it has risen 141.11%.

In keeping with the theme of the last few months, most of the movements last
week were led by sentiment concerning the banking sector. The week started
badly on fears that US banks might fail the stress test, and ended
positively when it emerged that it was likely that all had passed. However,
the release of the stress tests seemed to bring more questions than answers
with many believing that the test wasn’t particularly stressful. Some
analysts point out that the ‘adverse’ conditions tested do not go anywhere
near far enough. The suspicion is that the US treasury didn’t want any
further shocks to rock the financial sector, a decision that may come back
to haunt them.

As expected, the budget was the focus of analysis in the UK last week. The
FTSE was largely unaffected by the budget with most companies gathering
their earnings from across the globe, not just the UK. Currency markets were
the most volatile as traders reacted to the announcement that UK borrowing
will hit a peacetime record of £175bn, or 12% of GDP. Darling surprised many
by adjusting his forecast for UK growth for 2009 downwards to -3.5%. This
puts the treasury’s forecast in line with other institutions such as the
IMF, but Darling’s forecasts for 2009 and 2011 are still far more optimistic
than any other outside organisation other than the Bank of England.
Considering how inaccurate the government’s forecasts have been so far, it
is little wonder that currency traders didn’t believe a word of it, and sold
the pound aggressively against the euro, dollar and yen. The pound gave back
all the gains made against the euro last week as UK GDP figures released on
Friday showed that Darling’s projections may already be overly optimistic.

Increasingly a barometer of global economic confidence, June crude oil
contracts closed the week above $51, while curiously; natural gas futures
continued their down trend closing the week at $3.37, some 75% down from the
peak last June. Gold endured a better week, closing up significantly for the
first time in five weeks. The highlights for the coming week include the
FOMC statement on Tuesday and ISM manufacturing on Friday. The UK has a
number of economic announcements, including the UK Nationwide house price
index on Wednesday, and the Halifax House price index also expected at some
point in the week. Although questions remain over accounting tricks employed
by banks and the depth of the stress test from the US government, there
could be room for more upside next week on US markets.

A one touch trade predicting that the Dow Jones will hit 8204 in the next 7
days, could return 21% at BetOnMarkets.com.

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er

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Please find below the Afternoon Report from David Evans, market analyst
at BetOnMarkets.com

World equity markets are lower today, but only slightly. The WHO
elevating the swine flu outbreak to pandemic status has certainly hit
markets with individual sectors such as travel firms and energy stocks
selling off the most today. In a replay of the moves seen during the
outbreak of SARS virus, pharmaceutical firms are actually rallying today
as traders speculate that the sector could profit from futures
investment in finding a cure. Astrazeneca in particular is finding
support after European regulators approved the use of its drug Iressa
for certain lung cancer patients.

With further details on the results of the bank's stress test expected
soon, investors certainly don't need any excuses to sell today. Anyone
coming late to the rally may be quick to sell at the moment. The bullish
sentiment hasn't completely evaporated though and world markets are
actually recovering well as the afternoon progresses.


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Please find below the Morning Report from David Evans, market analyst at BetOnMarkets.com

The FTSE currently indicates a very weak open, as traders worry that the economy is not showing any signs of a bottom. Concern are especially elevated with the US GDP numbers due out on Wednesday of this week. Analysts are expecting for the US economy to contract by almost 5% for the first quarter. The FTSE is likely to start the day in the red.

Crude oil fell for a second day on concern that the swine-flu outbreak will curtail travel, delaying a recovery from the global recession. Oil declined as the World Health Organization raised its global pandemic alert to the highest since 2005. Slowdown in demand might cause another stockpile of inventory which will show up next week. Look for oil prices to dip lower.

Predicted opens as of 06:00 GMT
FTSE: 4131.6 (-30.2)
CAC40 3065.90 (-31.90)
DAX30 4651.4 (-51.1)
DOW: 8003 (-21)
SP500 853.83 (-6.00)
Gold: 899.70 (-7.10)
Oil: 49.56 (-0.50)
Contacts:


BetOnMarkets.com is the worlds leading fixed odds financial trading website. Since inception in 2000 it has processed over 15 million trades on financial indices, UK and US equities, gold and currencies. Over 130,000 clients have the ability to place trades from 1 to 25,000 GBP.

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Please find below the Morning Report from David Evans, market analyst at BetOnMarkets.com

The FTSE currently indicates a stronger open, as rumours that todays US GDP numbers might be stronger then expected has traders ready to press the buy button. Analysts are expecting for a reading of -4.7% however some traders are now only pricing in a -4% loss. Just a warning, that should the number come out as expected, look for the markets around the world to take a dive.
Crude oil is trading around the 49 dollars per barrel mark on concern that fuel demand will drop as the swine-flu outbreak causes delays in the recovery from the global recession. The U.S. Energy Departments supply report will be out later today, which may show another buildup, which can cause oil prices to test the 45 dollar per barrel mark.
With there being a risk for oil prices to fall, we can expect the USD/CAD to follow so a no touch on the USD/CAD for 14 days with a trigger at the 1.1900 level pays 68% ROI.


Predicted opens as of 06:00 GMT
FTSE: 4112.6 (+23.8)
CAC40 3060.70 (+12.70)
DAX30 4616.9 (+8.4)
DOW: 8056 (+45)
SP500 858.98 (+4.75)
Gold: 892.70 (-1.65)
Oil: 49.47 (-0.32)



BetOnMarkets.com is the worlds leading fixed odds financial trading website. Since inception in 2000 it has processed over 15 million trades on financial indices, UK and US equities, gold and currencies. Over 130,000 clients have the ability to place trades from 1 to 25,000 GBP.


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Please find below the Morning Report from David Evans, market analyst at BetOnMarkets.com

The FTSE currently indicates a flat open, as traders are waiting for the release of the UK Nationwide house prices. Analysts are expecting for UK homes prices to fall by 1.2% month over month, however there are some indications that the numbers might be worse then expected. The FTSE is very likely to open the day in the red.
Crude oil is trading just above the 51 dollar mark, as a surge in equity markets increased optimism that the global economy and fuel demand will recover soon. U.S. and Asian stock markets gained on better-than-expected earnings and factory output data in Japan. There is a risk that oil prices might try and test the 55 dollar per barrel mark by the end of the week.
Here is a play that has some value to it.
A 14day no touch on the EURO/USD with a 1.3700 trigger pays 21% ROI

Predicted opens as of 06:00 GMT
FTSE: 4182.5 (-4.5)
CAC40 3112.70 (+2.20)
DAX30 4696.6 (-12.4)
DOW: 8197 (+22)
SP500 875.63 (+4.25)
Gold: 895.15 (-4.70)
Oil: 51.24 (+0.27)


BetOnMarkets.com is the worlds leading fixed odds financial trading website. Since inception in 2000 it has processed over 15 million trades on financial indices, UK and US equities, gold and currencies. Over 130,000 clients have the ability to place trades from 1 to 25,000 GBP.

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BetOnMarkets Weekly Briefing
Contents This Week:
Economic calendar for week 4th -8th May
Commentary: The week ahead.
Advertisement.
Economic Calendar for week 4th - 8th May

**Note: All times GMT, not DST**

Monday May 4th:

Bank Holiday UK & Japan.

GE - 06:00 - Retail Sales M/M.
EU - 08:00 - Final Manufacturing PMI.
EU - 08:30 - Sentix Investor Confidence.
US - 14:00 - Pending Home Sales M/M.
US - 14:00 - Construction Spending M/M.
EU - 18:00 - FOMC Member Lacker Speaks.

Tuesday May 5th:

Bank Holiday Japan.

UK - 08:30 - Construction PMI.
EU - 09:00 - PPI M/M.
US - 14:00 - Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies.
US - 14:00 - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI.
UK - 23:01 - Nationwide Consumer Confidence.

Wednesday May 6th:

US - 02:30 - FOMC Member Yellen Speaks.
UK - 08:00 - Services PMI.
EU - 09:00 - Retail Sales M/M.
UK - 09:30 - BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y.
US - 12:15 - ADP Non-Farm Employment Change.
US - 14:30 - Crude Oil Inventories.
US - 21:30 - FOMC Member Yellen Speaks.

Thursday May 7th:

FR - 06:45 - Trade Balance.
GE - 10:00 - Factory Orders M/M.
UK - 11:00 - MPC Rate Statement.
UK - 11:00 - Official Bank Rate.
EU - 11:45 - Minimum Bid Rate.
EU - 12:30 - ECB Press Conference.
US - 12:30 - Unemployment Claims.
US - 12:30 - Prelim Nonfarm Productivity Q/Q.
US - 12:30 - Prelim Unit Labour Costs. Q/Q.
US - 13:15 - FOMC Member Evans Speaks.
US - 14:30 - Natural Gas Storage.
US - 19:00 - Consumer Credit M/M.

Friday May 8th:

Bank holiday France.

GE - 06:00 - Trade Balance.
UK - 08:30 - PPI Input M/M.
UK - 08:30 - PPI Output M/M.
GE - 10:00 - Industrial Production M/M.
US - 12:30 - Non Farm Employment Change.
US - 12:30 - Unemployment Rate.
US - 12:30 - Average Hourly Earnings M/M.
US - 17:00 - FOMC Member Lacker Speaks.
US - 17:15 - FOMC Member Evans Speaks.


EU - Europe wide
FR - France
UK - United Kingdom
US - United States
GE - Germany


The week ahead.
It was another good week for equity markets with the banks leading the
charge. Barclays was the front runner, rising to over £2.90 at one point and
gaining over 10% on Thursday alone. Barclays is benefiting from the so
called ‘independence’ premium, and speculation over the potential gains to
be made with the sale of its BGI unit. With today’s gains, Barclays has
overtaken Britain’s only other remaining independent bank, in terms of
returns over the last year. Barclays has lost 40.53%, while HSBC has lost
45.50% over the last 365 days. Interestingly, HSBC is the only major UK bank
which hasn’t rallied by 55% or more in the last month. Santander’s results
certainly helped sentiment in the sector across Europe. It wasn’t just the
banks enjoying some welcome interest, BSkyB posted excellent results that
showed there was some truth in the belief that people will spend more on
home entertainment in a recession. Sky’s profits were also boosted by demand
for its HD service. US markets were also strong with Nasdaq 100 making it
eight winning weeks on the trot. The rally came despite record continuing
jobless claims in the US. However, it is thought that the decline in the
four week average of weekly claims is pointing to a peak. Investors know
they aren’t out of the woods yet, but perhaps what we’re seeing at the
moment is a belief that financial Armageddon has been averted. Markets were
idle on Friday, with most of Europe enjoying a bank holiday, and UK traders
eyeing the clock ahead of their long weekend. In fact, Friday’s trading on
the FTSE 100 was the smallest since June 2008. Historically markets tend to
bottom when volatility subsides. The VIX options volatility index continues
to drop and credit markets indicate a renewed appetite for risk taking. It
appears that traders may finally believe they have a grip on things. The
world economy may continue to plummet, but at a much more predictable rate.
Whether markets are too complacent, and in for a rude awakening or not, is
another question. The coming week starts in earnest with the release of US
Pending home sales on Monday. Tuesday afternoon brings two market moving
announcements with Fed chairman Bernanke testifying alongside the release of
the latest ISM non manufacturing PMI data. Wednesday brings the ADP Non Farm
Employment Change data, with UK Services PMI in the morning. Thursday is
busy with the MPC and ECB releasing their official bank rates along with
news of any planned central bank actions. The ECB are expected to cut rates
by a quarter of 1%. The release of the bank stress test is tentatively
planned for the afternoon. Then to cap off an already busy week, we have US
Non Farm Payrolls on Friday. After rising for 8 weeks on the trot, the
Nasdaq 100 could be due a pull back.

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er

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This email is provided as a source of information only and not provided as
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or sell services in any jurisdiction where their offer or sale is not
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01 May 2009
Please find below the Morning Report from David Evans, market analyst at BetOnMarkets.com
The FTSE currently indicates a weaker open, as traders are waiting for the release of the UK Manufacturing purchasing managers index. Analysts are hoping that the numbers will show hints regarding the state of the economy. Look for the FTSE to open in the red this morning.
Crude oil is currently trading just under the 51 dollars per barrel mark after capping its third monthly gain in April on signs that the global economy and fuel demand will recover this year. Industrial output in Japan increased for the first time in six months while U.K. consumer confidence climbed to the highest level in a year. Traders are hoping that this is the start of a rebounding economy. Look for oil prices to test the 53 dollar mark.
Trade Of The Day Here is a play with some value to it: A One touch trade on the GBP/USD with a trigger at 1.43 for 14 days pays a 257% ROI

Predicted opens as of 06:00 GMT: FTSE: 4205.6 (-32.2) CAC40: 3113.80 (-32.70)) DAX30: 4739 (-46) DOW: 8164 (+3) SP500: 871.38 (+3.50) GOLD: 885.10 (-6.60) OIL: (-0.41)
This email is provided as a source of information only and not provided as investment, tax or legal advice. Not all products are available in all countries, and nothing within the email is an offer or solicitation to buy or sell services in any jurisdiction where their offer or sale is not qualified or exempt from registration. The information provided is obtained from sources deemed to be reliable. Regent Markets and its affiliated companies do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information or make any warranties, express or implied, with regard to the results obtained from its use. © COPYRIGHT 1999-2009 Regent Markets ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
 
Please find below the Morning Report from David Evans, market analyst at BetOnMarkets.com

The FTSE currently indicates a flat market open, as traders are coming back from a long weekend. With only the UK purchasing managers index being released today, we can expect a very quiet morning. Look for the FTSE to stay quiet most of the day.
Crude oil is trading around the 54 dollars per barrel level, which is around a five-month high as pending sales of U.S. existing homes jumped along with spending on construction projects, signaling energy demand may improve with the economy. Oil prices are likely to test the 56 dollars per barrel level before running into resistance
While this recent strength in the price of oil has pushed the USD/CAD lower, analysts are predicting oil prices to fall again. Should that happen, they will take the CAD with them, which is where our play comes in. a 27 day Bull bet, which pays if the USD/CAD closes on June 1st above 1.2000. The bet pays 189%, a good speculation play in my books.


Predicted opens as of 06:00 GMT
FTSE: 4316.2 (+1.3)
CAC40 3251.00 (+17.50)
DAX30 4904.3 (+15.3)
DOW: 8391 (-36)
SP500 903.28 (-2.50)
Gold: 904.00 (+2.00)
Oil: 54.00 (-0.47)
Contacts:


BetOnMarkets.com is the worlds leading fixed odds financial trading website. Since inception in 2000 it has processed over 15 million trades on financial indices, UK and US equities, gold and currencies. Over 130,000 clients have the ability to place trades from 1 to 25,000 GBP.


BetOnMarkets.com
 
Wed May 6 06:10:06 2009

Please find below the Morning Report from David Evans, market analyst at BetOnMarkets.com

The FTSE currently indicates a weak open as traders are waiting for the release of the HBOS house prices. Analysts are hoping that a rebound in home prices will signal relief for homeowners who are struggling with high unemployment, inflation and falling home prices. A better then expected HBOS number will help the FTSE open in the green.
Crude oil is trading just under the 54 dollars per barrel mark on concern that the Federal Reserve stress tests on U.S. banks may show some companies need additional capital amid the global recession. Oil will probably trade in a range until the release of the DOE inventory numbers.
With the rumors that banks might need more capital, the US dollar might be weaker against the Euro. A 26 day bull bet, that the Euro/USD will be higher then 1.3000 pays 31%.

Predicted opens as of 06:00 GMT
FTSE: 4308.2 (-23.1)
CAC40 3213.20 (-4.60)
DAX30 4828.4 (-21.1)
DOW: 8334 (-73)
SP500 894.48 (-11.50)
Gold: 898.85 (+1.35)
Oil: 53.82 (+0.08)



BetOnMarkets.com is the worlds leading fixed odds financial trading website. Since inception in 2000 it has processed over 15 million trades on financial indices, UK and US equities, gold and currencies. Over 130,000 clients have the ability to place trades from 1 to 25,000 GBP.

BetOnMarkets.com
 
Please find below the Morning Report from David Evans, market analyst at BetOnMarkets.com

The FTSE currently indicates a strong open, as traders are waiting for the release of the UK Producers Price Index. Traders are hoping to continue the latest rally, and hopefully the PPI numbers help continue the streak.
Crude oil is poised for the biggest weekly gain since March, on signs the global economy may be starting to recover. Oil has advanced this week as equity markets rose on speculation the outlook for growth is improving. Later today the US Non-Farm Payroll will be released; traders have already priced in better then expected numbers. Should the numbers disappoint look for the price of oil to crash.
Even with hints of an improving economy the EUR/USD has been climbing, and its in my opinion that the trend will continue. A 5 day Bull beat with a 1.3400 trigger pays 108% ROI


Predicted opens as of 06:00 GMT
FTSE: 4437.1 (+35.8)
CAC40 3283.20 (+34.20)
DAX30 4836.1 (+30.60)
DOW: 8469 (+65)
SP500 914.85 (+4.62)
Gold: 913.05 (+0.40)
Oil: 57.26 (+0.61)



BetOnMarkets.com is the worlds leading fixed odds financial trading website. Since inception in 2000 it has processed over 15 million trades on financial indices, UK and US equities, gold and currencies. Over 130,000 clients have the ability to place trades from 1 to 25,000 GBP.


BetOnMarkets.com
 
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