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Global stock markets started the new week on a bullish note with Chinese equities the star performer after the People’s Bank of China injected more liquidity into the banking system. Last week, metals and global stocks ended higher after the data released on Thursday showed that U.S. consumer prices fell for the first time in more than two years in December. The positive inflation report gave traders confidence that the Federal Reserve will curtail its hawkish tones on inflation. However, the market will get more information about the central bank’s path ahead to digest when FOMC members Harker and Williams speak on Wednesday this week.
This week, Investors and traders should shift their emphasis from inflation risks to the Q4 earnings season. The fourth quarter earnings season is expected to be strong with sectors such as banking, entertainment and airlines likely to report the latest financial results.
On the earnings front, the companies scheduled to release their last quarter financial results this week will be American Airlines, Netflix, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and P&G.
GOLD
The precious metal hit a fresh 8-month high on Monday as easing inflation expectations sparked hopes for less aggressive interest rate hikes. The latest US CPI report showed the US Inflation rate has slowed to the lowest since October of 2021. While as of this writing the metal retreats back to below 1912 after the US dollar recovered back to above 102.50. For this week, the main drivers for the gold remain the movement of the US dollar, FED policymaker's comments and fresh inflation data from the UK and Eurozone.
Technically the overall momentum remains bullish after the strong upside move. This week, the immediate resistance for the metal near $1930/32 breaks this and closes above this resistance level then expects the market to zoom up to $1940/55. On the other hand, if it breaks below the $1900 level, will open the doors to the $1890 and $1875 levels.
DOLLAR INDEX
After having closed the last 4 trading days of the previous week in negative territory, the US Dollar Index slightly regained momentum on Monday morning. Overall, the momentum remained bearish for the last week as investors scaled back their expectations of a hawkish Fed after releasing a better-than-expected US CPI report. The crucial US retail sales figures and PPI numbers this week will be the key economic data points which could determine the next move for the currency.
From a technical perspective, USD is maintaining a negative bias according to the weekly chart. This week, If the bearish momentum continues then the next key support area to watch is 102 then 101.60 and 101.30. On the upper side, If the greenback regains upside momentum and presses back above 102.60 then the key resistance area to watch is 103 and 103.30.
EURUSD
Euro recorded solid gains in relation to the US dollar last week supported by hawkish comments from ECB policymakers and the weak US dollar. This week, European Central Bank will release the last meeting minutes on Thursday, which investors may closely scrutinize for clues on rate hike timings in the first half of 2023.
This week, good support is expected at the 1.0710/00 area, with this zone having held last week while further down, demand is also expected around 1.0660, which will act as the next area of support. On the flip side, the first immediate resistance level for the pair is 1.0870, then the stronger resistance is 1.0900/10, which is important to be stable above it for a continuing rise to 1.1000 levels.
DOW JONES
Dow jones and other US indices hit new monthly highs on Friday boosted by robust earnings results from big US banks and encouraging inflation figures. On Friday, the big US banks like JP Morgan, Citi Group and Bank of America posted the latest earnings results that topped Wall Street’s forecasts. This week the Dow traders should shift their focus from inflation and recession fears to Q4 earnings results and US retail sales numbers.
From a technical perspective, The 33,900 and 33,700 area of confluence has recently been held as a firm support, failure to defend the mentioned support levels has the potential to drag the pair further towards the 33,300 support zone. On the upper side, in case the index manages to settle above 34,000, it will continue upside momentum and head towards the next resistance level at 34,700 and 35,000.
Read more - https://gulfbrokers.com/en/weekly-review-gold-usd-eurusd-and-dow-jones-63
This week, Investors and traders should shift their emphasis from inflation risks to the Q4 earnings season. The fourth quarter earnings season is expected to be strong with sectors such as banking, entertainment and airlines likely to report the latest financial results.
On the earnings front, the companies scheduled to release their last quarter financial results this week will be American Airlines, Netflix, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and P&G.
GOLD
The precious metal hit a fresh 8-month high on Monday as easing inflation expectations sparked hopes for less aggressive interest rate hikes. The latest US CPI report showed the US Inflation rate has slowed to the lowest since October of 2021. While as of this writing the metal retreats back to below 1912 after the US dollar recovered back to above 102.50. For this week, the main drivers for the gold remain the movement of the US dollar, FED policymaker's comments and fresh inflation data from the UK and Eurozone.
Technically the overall momentum remains bullish after the strong upside move. This week, the immediate resistance for the metal near $1930/32 breaks this and closes above this resistance level then expects the market to zoom up to $1940/55. On the other hand, if it breaks below the $1900 level, will open the doors to the $1890 and $1875 levels.
DOLLAR INDEX
After having closed the last 4 trading days of the previous week in negative territory, the US Dollar Index slightly regained momentum on Monday morning. Overall, the momentum remained bearish for the last week as investors scaled back their expectations of a hawkish Fed after releasing a better-than-expected US CPI report. The crucial US retail sales figures and PPI numbers this week will be the key economic data points which could determine the next move for the currency.
From a technical perspective, USD is maintaining a negative bias according to the weekly chart. This week, If the bearish momentum continues then the next key support area to watch is 102 then 101.60 and 101.30. On the upper side, If the greenback regains upside momentum and presses back above 102.60 then the key resistance area to watch is 103 and 103.30.
EURUSD
Euro recorded solid gains in relation to the US dollar last week supported by hawkish comments from ECB policymakers and the weak US dollar. This week, European Central Bank will release the last meeting minutes on Thursday, which investors may closely scrutinize for clues on rate hike timings in the first half of 2023.
This week, good support is expected at the 1.0710/00 area, with this zone having held last week while further down, demand is also expected around 1.0660, which will act as the next area of support. On the flip side, the first immediate resistance level for the pair is 1.0870, then the stronger resistance is 1.0900/10, which is important to be stable above it for a continuing rise to 1.1000 levels.
DOW JONES
Dow jones and other US indices hit new monthly highs on Friday boosted by robust earnings results from big US banks and encouraging inflation figures. On Friday, the big US banks like JP Morgan, Citi Group and Bank of America posted the latest earnings results that topped Wall Street’s forecasts. This week the Dow traders should shift their focus from inflation and recession fears to Q4 earnings results and US retail sales numbers.
From a technical perspective, The 33,900 and 33,700 area of confluence has recently been held as a firm support, failure to defend the mentioned support levels has the potential to drag the pair further towards the 33,300 support zone. On the upper side, in case the index manages to settle above 34,000, it will continue upside momentum and head towards the next resistance level at 34,700 and 35,000.
Read more - https://gulfbrokers.com/en/weekly-review-gold-usd-eurusd-and-dow-jones-63