Daily Technical and Fundamental analysis for multi pairs.

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Sell EUR/JPY
If you have read my EUR/USD analysis, you can see that EUR/USD broke support and USD/JPY is already in bearish move. We sold EUR/JPY right after support was broken following weak German Flash Manufacturing PMI. Target 117.45.

Risk: It fails if this ongoing H1 candle is erased by bullish move in next few hours.
117.45 is 61.8% support of whole swing up on daily time-frame.
 
On H1 time-frame:

Short/sell if rectangle is broken (H1 must close below the rectangle) and target 1.0950.

SL above last swing high on H1.
eurusd_h1_sep-25_2019-png.44603


On D1/daily time-frame:

It's trading below trend predictor (red line). Daily close below trend predictor will confirm downtrend. MACD cross-over will also take place with a bearish D1 closure.

eur_usd_daily_sep-25_2019-png.44604
 

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  • EURUSD_H1_Sep 25_2019.png
    EURUSD_H1_Sep 25_2019.png
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  • EUR_USD_daily_Sep 25_2019.png
    EUR_USD_daily_Sep 25_2019.png
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Sold NZDUSD below low of 'recent thrust up'. Price is more likely to erase 'whole swing up' on H1.

Risk: If it moves up and H1 closes above high of 'recent thrust up', the bearish setup will fail.
nzdusd_h1_sep-25_2019-png.44617


On daily/D1 time-frame:

The trend remain bearish and no longer oversold, so there is enough room for NZD/USD to move down.
nzd_usd_d1_sep-25_2019-png.44618
 

Attachments

  • NZDUSD_H1_Sep 25_2019.png
    NZDUSD_H1_Sep 25_2019.png
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  • NZD_USD_D1_Sep 25_2019.png
    NZD_USD_D1_Sep 25_2019.png
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Reaction from FIB38.2 made shooting star on H1 and we entered sell position in USDCHF.

On H1 time-frame:
usdchf_h1_sep-25_2019-png.44622


On D1/daily time-frame:

It closed below trend predictor (red MA like line on chart) on closure of Sep 20 and remains well below. Target 50% of whole swing up on D1.

Risk: bearish setup fails if price erases yesterday's candle.
USDCHF_D1_Sep 25_2019.png


Currency correlation: While USD-index rose today, CHF stayed stronger than all other major currencies like EUR, GBP, JPY etc.
 

Attachments

  • USDCHF_H1_Sep 25_2019.png
    USDCHF_H1_Sep 25_2019.png
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Sold NZDUSD below low of 'recent thrust up'. Price is more likely to erase 'whole swing up' on H1.

Risk: If it moves up and H1 closes above high of 'recent thrust up', the bearish setup will fail.
nzdusd_h1_sep-25_2019-png.44617


On daily/D1 time-frame:

The trend remain bearish and no longer oversold, so there is enough room for NZD/USD to move down.
nzd_usd_d1_sep-25_2019-png.44618
I had closed it on BE.
 
On H1 time-frame:

Short/sell if rectangle is broken (H1 must close below the rectangle) and target 1.0950.

SL above last swing high on H1.
eurusd_h1_sep-25_2019-png.44603


On D1/daily time-frame:

It's trading below trend predictor (red line). Daily close below trend predictor will confirm downtrend. MACD cross-over will also take place with a bearish D1 closure.

eur_usd_daily_sep-25_2019-png.44604
Target was hit.
 
USD/JPY is more likely to touch 107.00 again.

Trade-talks hope is fading after 'Trump Officials Considering Delisting Chinese Companies from U.S. Stock Exchanges' and 'U.S.-China trade deal won't happen before 2020 vote -JPMorgan CEO'.
I will not be surprised if we see USDJPY trading at 107.00 again.
USD_JPY_Sep 27_2019.png
 
EUR/USD | Sep 30, 2019
EURUSD_Sep 30_2019.png

ABCD100 is gonna be completed soon. D is at 1.0865.

Butterfly xabcd161.8 has already been completed, the crimson line (value 1.08901) is 161.8% of xa.

RSI's value is now 34.5 and will become 30 (oversold) by the time ABCD100 will be completed.

Month's ending today, so retail sell positions will be closed to book profit by many traders and fund managers.

Therefore, we will be looking for any bullish candle pattern on H1.
 
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