Daily Market Report by GulfBrokers 2020-2021

Status
Not open for further replies.
shutterstock_1316012033 (1).jpg

After heavy Wall Street correction on Thursday, today the Investors and traders will closely monitor the US non-farm payrolls report due later in the session. The market participants are anticipating a gain of 1.4 million jobs in August, the unemployment rate is expected to tick down to 9.8%. During this week, the ADP employment data showed the private sector added 428,000 jobs in August, compared to 1M expectation.

Key Technical levels to watch ahead of NFP report

DOLLAR INDEX (USD): The US dollar index (USD) trading slightly lower on Friday during the European session. Any break above 93.10 the next important level to watch 93.50 and 94.

Support: 92.50 and 92.10 Resistance: 93.10 and 93.50

euraud


GOLD(XAUUSD): The yellow metal price rebounded from the previous session losses, at the time of writing the yellow metal trading at $1937.



Support: 1920 and 1900 Resistance: 1945 and 1955

audusd


DOW JONES(DJI):
Dow Jones futures attempted to rebound during the European session after its biggest drop since early June on Thursday.



Support: 28270 and 28070 Resistance: 28640 and 28800

oil 2


EUR/USD: The currency pair ignored the less-than-expected German factory orders data and climbed to 1.1865 during the European session.



Support: 1.1820 and 1.1780 Resistance: 1.1880 and 1.1915

cruse



Read more- https://gulfbrokers.com/en/key-levels-to-watch-ahead-of-us-nfp-report
 
pexels-pixabay-259100.jpg

The Euro started last week with a positive note. On September 1, the EUR/USD reached to 1.2010 -level against the greenback for the first time since May 2018 but later the currency pair retreated from the top and closed below 1.1850 on Friday. The currency pair has come under pressure following comments from ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane and weaker-than-expected economic data including Eurozone retail sales and the German factory orders.

"If there are forces moving the euro-dollar rate around, that feeds into our global and European forecasts and that in turn does feed into our monetary policy setting." Philip Lane, ECB chief economist said.


During the last week, the dollar rebounded from more than 2 -year lows and ended in positive territory driven by positive economic data includes strong jobless claims figures, new factory orders, and manufacturing data. On Friday, the US NFP report showed the economy added 1.371 million jobs in August while the unemployment rate dropped to 8.4%, beating market forecasts of 9.8%.

Fundamental and Technical outlook:

In this week, investors have become increasingly concerned about the Eurozone economic health going forward. On the other hand, the traders and investors will also pay attention to the important events for EURO this week, Eurozone GDP numbers and ECB monetary policy meeting on Thursday. The market participants expecting no major changes in the current policy stance but looking for the clues on when more stimulus will be added through the emergency purchase program. While on Monday will be a quiet day in terms of data due to the US markets are closed.


cruse


Technically the overall momentum remained bearish for the EUR/USD after the bulls failed to extend the rally. At the time of writing the currency pair hovers near the 1.1830. In the short term if the price breaks below 1.1810 which would open doors towards to last week low of 1.1780 and below that 1.1750/1.1710 is next. On the upper side, the first immediate resistance can be found at 1.1880 and then 1.1915/40.

In the long term, watch for trendline breakout at 1.1770 and 1.2030, that will give a larger confirmation of direction in the long term.

Read more- https://gulfbrokers.com/en/euro-capped-at-120-watch-for-a-breakout
 
Dollar Index
Support: 92.55 and 92 Resistance: 93.55 and 94.
audusd.PNG

EURUSD
Support: 1.1770 and 1.1700 Resistance: 1.1880 and 1.1940.
cruse.PNG

GBPUSD
Support: 1.3100 and 1.3040 Resistance: 1.3260 and 1.3320
euraud.PNG

GOLD
Support: 1920 and 1900 Resistance: 1955 and 1980
oil 2.PNG
 

Attachments

  • cruse.PNG
    cruse.PNG
    150.4 KB · Views: 6
Important economic events this week: ECB and BOC interest rate decision, US CPI and jobless claims, UK GDP.

Earnings to watch: Lululemon Athletica, Slack, Chewy and Oracle

image002.jpg
 
Ima put tp on gbp usd so it will break level 1.3178. And gbp broke it. And Ima take my peanuts. But as Ima see now, it's returnin' to the same level. Alas it didn't catch the bear.
 
shutterstock_463766687 (1).jpg

British pound trading at fresh monthly low ahead of Tuesday’s talks between UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s chief negotiator, David Frost, and the EU’s Michel Barnier in London.

“We need to see more realism from the EU about our status as an independent country”, “If they can’t do that in the very limited time we have left, then we will be trading on terms like those the EU has with Australia, and we are ramping up our preparations for the end of the year.” Boris Johnson's chief Brexit negotiator said. Meanwhile, UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson said that Britain was not afraid of a no-deal Brexit at all. If that happens, the UK will just move on, the PM said.

EQUITIES

Australian shares climbed for a second straight session after Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced that Australia will buy about 85 million doses of two potential COVID-19 vaccines if trials prove successful. U.S. S&P500 futures erased their Monday losses to trade 0.6% higher and Nasdaq futures standing flat after having lost more than 6% late last week.

OIL

Crude Oil prices trading lower after Saudi Arabia’s Aramco, the world’s top oil exporter, cut the October official selling prices for its Arab light crude. On the other hand, the number of coronavirus infections is continuing to climb higher across the US, Britain, and India, raising fears that governments could reimpose lockdowns which could further impede recovery in oil demand.

CURRENCIES

In the currency market, the EUR/USD trading unchanged on Tuesday after the Eurozone GDP contracted 11.8% on quarter in the three months to June of 2020, slightly less than initial estimates of a 12.1% fall.

GOLD


Gold price retreated from the early session highs, during the Asian session the yellow metal price rose to near $1935. Overall, the movement remained bearish throughout the European session.

Economic Outlook

On the data front, the Japanese economy shrank 7.9% on quarter in Q2, posting third straight quarter of contraction and the economy contracted an annualised 28.1% in April-June, worse than the 27.8% figure given last month.

On the US-China front, the New York Times reported that the US is considering banning some or all products made with cotton from China’s Xinjiang province. While US president Trump indicated that in the future, his administration would prohibit federal contracts with companies that outsource to China. “Whether it’s decoupling or putting in massive tariffs like I’ve been doing already, we will end our reliance in China, because we can’t rely on China,” Trump said.

Coronavirus update:

The number of people infected with the coronavirus across the world hit 27.3 million, of which at least 892 thousand people have died and 18.3 million have recovered, according to data released by the Johns Hopkins University. The United States has passed 6.2 million confirmed cases, with over 188,000 deaths from COVID-19, the highest numbers in the world. India has recorded the highest number of coronavirus deaths in a month. The Ministry of Health says 1,133 people have died from COVID-19 in the past 24 hours, bringing the total death toll to 72,775.

Technical Outlook

XAU/USD:
The gold price hovers near the support zone of $1920 during the European session, any break below the level the next downside to watching $1900.

cruse


The important levels to watch for today: Support- 1910 and 1900 Resistance- 1940 and 1955.



EUR/USD: The currency pair testing 1.3100 zones, any break below this level the next level to watch at 1.3080 and 1.3040. On the upper side, the immediate resistance at 1.3160/80.

audusd


The important levels to watch for today: Support- 1.3100 and 1.3080 Resistance- 1.3160 and 1.32.

Quote of the day: If you are going to invest in an internet stock, you must be a long-term investor, Jeff Bezos.

Read more- https://gulfbrokers.com/en/daily-market-report-161
 
zbynek-burival-GrmwVnVSSdU-unsplash (1).jpg

On Tuesday, crude oil prices ended at their lowest since June and Brent closed at $39.78 per barrel, while WTI futures ended at $36.76 per barrel. Oil slipped amid fears that rising COVID-19 cases and fears OPEC will begin picking up production soon after an output cut put in place to support the market earlier in the year.

EQUITIES

Asian stocks traded lower on Wednesday following the big tech sell-off in the US overnight. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index, which slumped more than 4%, the S&P 500 fell 2.8%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 2.3%. Tesla shares plunged 21.06% to suffer its biggest daily percentage drop after it was excluded from a group of companies being added to the S&P 500.

OIL

Crude Oil prices slightly recovered during the European session after the worst days sell-off on Tuesday. Investors now await the weekly API report on US crude oil stockpiles due later in the day.

CURRENCIES

In the currency market, the US dollar edges lower against a basket of six major rivals. The EURO slipped to fresh monthly lows as investors cautiously waiting for the ECB's monetary policy decision and the press conference of its president Christine Lagarde.

GOLD

The gold price trading above $1930 on Wednesday, the yellow metal price rebounded from the previous session lows supported by mounting coronavirus cases in the world and US-China tensions deepened.

Economic Outlook

On the data front, China reported on its consumer price index and the producer price index for August, which rose 2.4% and fell 2%, respectively y/y, in line with analysts’ expectations.

The British Pound trading under pressure after UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson said that Britain would accept a no-deal Brexit if negotiations make no progress by mid-October. Moving ahead to the North American session, The UK government is expected to publish updated Brexit legislation later in the day intending to ensure Northern Ireland can trade freely with Britain. The bill is expected to be published around 11:30 GMT and will be followed by UK PM Johnson's press conference at 15:00 GMT.

Moving ahead today, the important events to watch:

Canada – BOC interest rate decision and statement: GMT– 14.00

US – Jolts job openings: GMT – 14.00

Coronavirus update:

The number of people infected with the coronavirus across the world hit 27.5 million, of which at least 897 thousand people have died and 18.5 million have recovered, according to data released by the Johns Hopkins University.

Technical Outlook

XAU/USD:
Currently the gold price supported at $1910 levels, any break below this level will open the doors to $1900 and $1880. On the other upper side, the immediate resistance at $1940 and $1955.

audusd


The important levels to watch for today: Support- 1920 and 1900 Resistance- 1940 and 1955.

GBP/USD: The British pound slightly rebounded from the early session lows, at the time of writing the currency pair hovers near the 1.3150 level.

cruse


The important levels to watch for today: Support- 1.2910 and 1.2850 Resistance- 1.3000 and 1.3050.

Quote of the day: Never stop investing, never stop improving, and never stop doing something new- Bob Parsons.

Read more- https://gulfbrokers.com/en/daily-market-report-162
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top