EURUSD time to retrace?


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Euro/US Dollar hits its lowest level since November 2020, amid growing concerns that the Federal Reserve will taper stimulus from November and start hiking rates next year. The US dollar index 1-year high on Thursday following the release of US GDP data and Fed Chair Powell reiterated his view that a rise in a surge in inflation is transitory.

Meanwhile, the currency pair slightly rebounded during the early session but failed to hold the bullish momentum after the release of weaker-than-expected German economic data. Germany Manufacturing PMI came slightly lower to 58.4 in September from a preliminary of 58.5.

Moving ahead to the North American session, the main attraction for EURO today:

  • US – PCE inflation: GMT – 12.30
  • US –ISM Manufacturing PMI: GMT – 14.00

EURUSD hovers near 1- year low as the US dollar index holding the previous month gains. However, considering the recent sell-off near-term pullbacks from 1.1650 support remain corrective in nature. So, in the short term, the pair may rebound towards 1.1620 and 1.1660 resistance levels. A breakdown through 1.1550 would negate that bias and suggest a test of the 1.1500 and 1.1480 support regions. In the long term, I expect 1.1500 and 1.1920 are the key technical levels to watch.

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