Really Sive excellent work (as usual) on your analysis.
A little bit more wash and rinse, a spike and I reckon fundamentally it may fall as far as 1.1850. In the meantime WOW you are a Forex Rock Star so take a bow, have a beer and buy another Ferrari.
What makes you think that EUR will fall to 1.18xx ? It needs a very strong political & economical reason for this to happen, and we don't quite clearly have it yet.