Sive Morten
Special Consultant to the FPA
- Messages
- 18,635
Morning guys,
Now we have to switch between EUR and GBP every time, as we have setups at both currencies. As on EUR overall picture is still the same, I hope that recent momentum should be enough to push EUR at least to 1.10 and complete our 1H XOP target. Currently it seems that optimism starts to fade. On daily GBP we have bullish pattern, but it doesn't mean that we definitely get the reversal - it might be just a retracement inside of bearish trend. That's why we've said - keep watching on how stable the effect of the news will be. Not it seems that it is not too stable...
Anyway, if even we get just upside AB=CD, it also has not bad potential. Here is two things to mention. Market now is dropping out from K-resistance area. First - we've got upside bullish reversal swing, that is positive. Second - usually, after reversal swing retracement should be deep. Thus, chances to get 50-60% pullback are significant:
On 1 H chart we consider two levels. They are the levels where we could try to go long. But at the same time they are indicators of sentiment. If GBP breaks them both - we're going to 1.1880 daily support area.
Manage entry in a way that is better to you. You could wait for XOP to enter, you could split position into parts, or you could enter after upward action will start, using DiNapoli "Minesweeper" entry technique.
And don't forget to manage your stops, move them to breakeven as market moves 15-20 pips in your favor. Background is bullish, but it is fragile now.
Now we have to switch between EUR and GBP every time, as we have setups at both currencies. As on EUR overall picture is still the same, I hope that recent momentum should be enough to push EUR at least to 1.10 and complete our 1H XOP target. Currently it seems that optimism starts to fade. On daily GBP we have bullish pattern, but it doesn't mean that we definitely get the reversal - it might be just a retracement inside of bearish trend. That's why we've said - keep watching on how stable the effect of the news will be. Not it seems that it is not too stable...
Anyway, if even we get just upside AB=CD, it also has not bad potential. Here is two things to mention. Market now is dropping out from K-resistance area. First - we've got upside bullish reversal swing, that is positive. Second - usually, after reversal swing retracement should be deep. Thus, chances to get 50-60% pullback are significant:
On 1 H chart we consider two levels. They are the levels where we could try to go long. But at the same time they are indicators of sentiment. If GBP breaks them both - we're going to 1.1880 daily support area.
Manage entry in a way that is better to you. You could wait for XOP to enter, you could split position into parts, or you could enter after upward action will start, using DiNapoli "Minesweeper" entry technique.
And don't forget to manage your stops, move them to breakeven as market moves 15-20 pips in your favor. Background is bullish, but it is fragile now.