Forex FOREX PRO WEEKLY, November 21 - 25, 2022

GBPUSD (weekly chart)
Cable is approaching an important resistance area on weekly chart and from next week it could be interesting to follow it on daily time frame looking for some short-term reversal pattern.

Andreas

GBPUSD (W).PNG


...harmonic pattern is possible, too!

GBPUSD (W).PNG
 
Morning guys,

So, market was thin yesterday and we have minimum changes. Still, on daily chart we've got the same grabber as on Dollar Index few days ago. It is better late than never. On DXY by the way, we've got the 2nd one also. Thus, now it is more confidence that EUR could try to re-test previous top. It is problematic to keep going higher due to weekly overbought, but re-testing is quite possible:
eur_d_25_11_22.png


On 4H chart it is nothing going on. Maybe we get minor grabber as well. The bar is not closed yet:
eur_4h_25_11_22.png


Speaking about our yesterday's trading plan, it was more or less correct, market indeed has touched only nearest 1.0390 Fib support level. Thus, if you have the position now - moves stop to breakeven. Besides, today is Friday already. If still, we get downside AB-CD pullback, then we're going to consider major K-support area that we also have discussed:
eur_1h_25_11_22.png


As I see there are a lot of interest around GBP. As we have nothing new on Gold market, we could replace it by GBP today, with update below.
 
So, let's keep up with GBP...

Indeed, GBP has very similar setup as EUR but it is closer to starting of the monthly B&B Pattern. Take a look, formally, market is already stand above 3/8 major level and just need close above 3x3 DMA. At the same time, as November becomes the 1st month above 3x3 DMA, it is not forbidden by pattern's structure to start B&B later, within 1-3 closes above 3x3. Thus, scenario also exists that it could start, say, in January and from major 5/8 level. And this is also B&B. Now we will not discuss this scenario, but keep it in mind.
gbp_m_25_11_22.png


Another reason, why it makes sense to focus by far at 1st B&B scenario is weekly overbought. Right now market just can't follow to extended levels. Besides, as EUR as DXY situation mostly hint on early start of B&B rather than more long term journey.

Thus, taking it all together, I like 1.2450 area. First is, this is AB=CD upside target, second - important 5/8 resistance level. As GBP stands at weekly overbought, now 1.2450 level seems as most probable point where B&B could start.
gbp_d_25_11_22.png


We also have XOP of initial AB-CD pattern @1.2750 and it agrees with major 5/8 monthly level. But it mostly relates to 2nd B&B scenario, mentioned above and we do not consider it by far.
 
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