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Forex Signal (Friday January 20, 2012 NY TIME 7:00am EDT) – CA Core CPI m/m

Discussion in 'Current Forex Trading Signals' started by Stavro D'Amore, Jan 19, 2012.

  1. Stavro D'Amore

    Stavro D'Amore Former FPA Special Consultant

    Joined:
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    Hello

    Today we have CA Core CPI please see my trade plan and special note below.

    CA Core CPI m/m
    Forecast -0.2%
    Previous 0.1%
    Pair to trade: USD/CAD

    Numbers we need: BUY USD/CAD -0.4%
    SELL USD/CAD 0.2%

    Economic Impact: Critical
    Typical Result: Good for currency
    Occurrence: monthly, about 20 days after the month ends


    About our Triggers:
    CA Core CPI is forecasted to arrive at -0.2%. We are looking for a deviation release of -0.2% on this trade. If we get -0.4% or lower I will look to enter a LONG position on USD/CAD and if we get 0.4% or greater I will go SHORT on USD/CAD. Should this report be triggered, we can expect to see about 50pips on the initial spike. We also have CPI m/m due to come out the same time and I cannot see this being a conflict.

    What is it? Why does the market care?
    The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services excluding food and energy. The CPI measures price change from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in Canada.

    IMPORTANT NOTE:
    PLEASE LOOK OUT FOR POSSIBLE BUY SPIKE BEFORE RELEASE DON’T GET CAUGHT IN THE HYPE

    Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate. The common way to fight inflation is raising rates, which may attract foreign investment.

    A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the CAD.
    A lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the CAD.

    Method I use to trade this:
    Stavro D’Amore Trading Method

    Felix Trading:
    Indicators

    I will look for a 30% retracement in the original spike before entering a trade; I will sell half my position as soon as I hit the original high point of the first initial spike and place a SL at entry price. My TP level would be just before a resistance level or if the chart decides to form a support level, looking at a 15 minute chart time frame.

    I do recommend spike trading as an option if you are using a reliable broker and an Auto clicker.

    Historical Chart and Data for CA Core CPI m/m

    All the best

    Stavro D’Amore
     
    #1 Stavro D'Amore, Jan 19, 2012
    Lasted edited by : Sep 8, 2016

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