Forex Signal (Thursday December 15, 2011 NY TIME 4:30am EDT) – UK Retail Sales

Stavro D'Amore

Former FPA Special Consultant
Messages
547
Hello

Please see UK retail Sales due out today.

UK Retail Sales
Forecast -0.3%
Previous 0.6%
Pair to trade: GBP/USD
Estimated Pips: 40 pips on initial spike

The numbers we will look for:
BUY GBP/USD at 0.2%
SELL GBP/USD at -0.8%

Economic Impact: High (will bring strong volatility)
Typical Result: Good for currency
Occurrence: Released monthly, about 20 days after the month ends


About our Triggers:
We will be looking for a deviation of 0.5 % to BUY GBP or SELL GBP/USD.
If our deviation is hit, there is a strong possibility that the market will move 40 pips on spike immediately; there is a good chance that we will get a 30% retracement before entering if we miss the spike.

What is it? Why does the market care?
The Retail Sales is a monthly measurement of all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes in the UK. It is an important indicator of consumer spending and also correlated to consumer confidence and considered as a pace indicator of the UK economy.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP,
A lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

Method I use to trade this:
Stavro D’Amore Trading Method

Felix Trading Indicators:
Indicator Descriptions

Pre News
There is no pre news for this release

Spike Trading
I do recommend spike trading as an option if you have an Auto clicker.
Please use limit orders or bounds set to 15 pip entry

After Spike
I will look for a 30% retracement in the original spike before entering a trade; I will only enter spike if my triggers are hit. I will close half my position as soon as I hit the original high point of the first initial spike and place a SL at entry price. I will also look for volume and MA indicators to decide if the spike is to reverse.

My TP level would be just before a resistance level or if the chart decides to form a support level, looking at a 15 minute chart time frame. I expect to be in this trade for a total of 30 mins.

Historical Chart and Data UK Retail Sales

All the best

Stavro D’Amore
 
Thanks for another signal Stavro!!!!!!

I'm just very curious, exactly HOW do you or anyone else see these news updates live on the DOT ? Because I use forex factory and literally have to keep refreshing to see the update, but the spike has already triggered by then by normally 10+ pips.. So, is there any other way to see LIVE or FASTER news updates? I have been a client of Trade the News back when I traded with FXDD, but it was a free offer and now it costs a big bundle of cash on a monthly subscription to use.

Good luck on this trade all.
 
Unlucky guys, did not trigger.

Stavro, would you be trading the upcoming US Unemployment claims? Although if not I can see why, there is PPI m/m and core PPI conflicting
 
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