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Forex Signal (Thursday November 24, 2011 NY TIME 4:30am EDT) – UK Revised GDP q/q

Discussion in 'Current Forex Trading Signals' started by Stavro D'Amore, Nov 23, 2011.

  1. Stavro D'Amore

    Stavro D'Amore Former FPA Special Consultant

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    Hello All,

    Hope you are all well, please find the news release for our last signal of the week.

    UK Revised GDP q/q
    Forecast 0.5%
    Previous 0.5%
    Pair to trade: GBP/USD

    Numbers we need:
    BUY GBP/USD 0.7%
    SELL GBP/USD 0.3%

    Economical Impact: High
    Typical Result: Good for currency
    Occurrence: Quarterly, about 55 days after the quarter ends
    Spike Probability: Good, we can see 50 pips on initial spike

    About our Triggers:
    UK Revised GDP q/q is forecasted to arrive at 0.5%.
    We are looking for a deviation of 0.2% either way on this trade.
    If we get 4.0% or better I will look to enter a LONG position on GBP/USD and if we get 0.0% or lower I will go SHORT on GBP/USD.
    Should this report be triggered, we can expect to see about 40 to 50 pips on the initial spike.

    NOTE: We have UK Index services and CBI trends due at the same time; however I do not see a risk in conflict.

    See Felix Economic Indicator Descriptions

    What is it? And why does the market care?
    It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the broadest measure of economic activity and is a key indicator for the economy's health. The quarterly percent changes in GDP shows the growth rate of the economy as a whole.

    The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart - Preliminary, Revised, and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact.

    A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP
    A lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP

    Method I use to trade this:
    Stavro D’Amore Trading Method
    I will look for a 30% to 50% retracement in the original spike before entering. I will be looking at a 5 minute chart. I will sell half my position as soon as I hit the original high point of the first initial spike and place a SL at the original spike price.

    My TP level would be just before a resistance level or if the chart decides to form a support level, looking at a 15 minute chart time frame to analyse this.

    I do recommend spike trading as an option when there is great uncertainty in the markets; also the liquidity is very good at the moment if you are using an ECN broker. Please use no more than 15 pip limit order.

    Historical Chart and Data for UK Revised GDP q/q

    All the best

    Stavro D’Amore
     
    #1 Stavro D'Amore, Nov 23, 2011
    Lasted edited by : Sep 8, 2016
  2. Stavro D'Amore

    Stavro D'Amore Former FPA Special Consultant

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    Hi Guys,

    Thanks for reading my above report and signals, should you need to contact me I'm not always around in the blogs, so I can be contacted directly stavro.damore@hotmail.co.uk with any of your questions or concerns.

    All the best
    Stavro D'Amore
     
  3. andyjames

    andyjames Recruit

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    Hi there Stavro,
    Many thanks, it's 03:25 GMT+1 and I got up especially to read thus! Very clear, cheers.
     
  4. Sylverayda

    Sylverayda Private

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    Thank you so much.

    I'm from Poland, i find your info very useful as i'm just doing baby steps with forex and lots of things seem to cloud my judgement. your posts help to focus and make things clearer.
    Thanks again.
     

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