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Forex Signal (Wednesday October 5, 2011 - 8:15am EDT) - ADP NFP Payroll Change

Discussion in 'Current Forex Trading Signals' started by Stavro D'Amore, Oct 4, 2011.

  1. Stavro D'Amore

    Stavro D'Amore Former FPA Special Consultant

    Joined:
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    Hello All,

    Please find my trade plan below for ADP NFP payroll change due for its release today.

    ADP Non-Farm Payroll Change
    Forecast 75K
    Previous 91K
    Pair to trade: USD/JPY
    Triggers we need: BUY 125K SELL 25K


    Economical Impact: High
    Typical Result: Actual forecast is good for the currency
    Occurrence: This data Released monthly

    About our Triggers:
    Today we have ADP NFP Change; it is forecasted to arrive at 75K.
    We are using triggers of 50 to buy USD/JPY If the number comes out at +125 or better we wil BUY USD/JPY

    If the news release comes out at 25K or lower I will SHORT USD/JPY We are using for -50 trigger for the short.

    We should see a spike of about 30 pips should our numbers be triggered.

    What is it? Why do we care?
    The ADP National Employment Report is a measure of the monthly change in non-farm private employment, based on the payroll data of approximately 400,000 U.S. business clients. The release, two days ahead of government data, is a good predictor of the government's non-farm payroll report. The change in this indicator can be very volatile.

    A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD.
    A lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

    Method to trade this:
    Stavro D’Amore Trading Method

    Keep in Mind
    Please keep in mind possibility of Revision number before entering any of these strategies.

    Spike
    I'd recommend spike trading as an option when there is great uncertainty in the markets and if you are using an auto clicker.

    After News trade
    I will look for a 50% retracement in the original spike before entering a trade; I will close half my position as soon as I hit the original high point of the first initial spike, and place a SL at entry price. My TP level would be Just before a resistance level or if the chart decides to form a level looking at a 15 min time frame.

    Historical Chart and Data for US ADP Payroll Change


    All the best

    Stavro D’Amore
     
    #1 Stavro D'Amore, Oct 4, 2011
    Lasted edited by : Sep 8, 2016

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