Forex Trading Signal 04/10/08

Crazy Cat

Former FPA Special Consultant
Hi my dear Trader :)

If you wish to watch the video, just click on it, and then click on "play" icon. My video version is MUCH MORE detailed so I encourage you to watch it.

HI-res.: 4-10-2008.swf

Let's first review a couple of last days.

UK Industrial Production came out a little high but not high enough to trigger a buy signal.

Australian Employment Change did not deviate too much either so another no trade there.

On Tuesday we had U.S. Pending Home Sales which came out negative but not bad enough to enter a trade.

The FOMC Minutes did not surprise either. They admitted the economy could contract in the first half of 2008 so it was a first time they officially admitted that. Other than that, there was not much to focus on - from our point of view. Please watch the video for more details.

Let's talk about Thursday.

1. Thursday, April 10th, 2008 (4:00 a.m. New York Time) NORWAY
At 4:00 a.m. we will have Underline Inflation y/y out of Norway. It is expected it will come out at 2.1%. If it comes out at 2.3% or higher, I would sell EUR/NOK and expect 300 to 400 pips move. If it comes out at 1.9% or lower, I would buy EUR/NOK and also expect 300 to 400 pips price action. We will also have CPI headline m/m which is expected to come out at 0.3%, CPI headline y/y is expected to come out at 3.5% and CPI underline m/m is expected to come out at 0.6% - watch out for conflicts then.

2. Thursday, April 10th, 2008 (4:30 a.m. New York Time) UK
At 4:30 a.m. we will have UK Trade Balance. I would skip this report. Recently it gave two signals which both failed and the other times it came pretty close to expectations. Perhaps it could be tradable with a big 1B trigger which is very unlikely to happen but even if it deviates by 1B, keep in mind we will also have UK Interest Rate statement so even such big deviation may not matter too much as the market is focused on more important stuff now.

3. Thursday, April 10th, 2008 (7:00 a.m. New York Time) UK
At 7:00 a.m. we will have UK Interest Rate decision. The market is expecting a 25 bp cut from 5.25% to 5.00% but about 16% of economists disagree and expect them to keep the rates unchanged. If they hold the rates, it would be a big, positive surprise and I would expect GBP/USD going up by at least 50 pips, if not 100, in the first hour of the report. On the other hand, if they cut the rates to 4.75%, it would be a good sell signal on GBP/USD, looking for at least 50 pips move. A good pair to trade might be EUR/GBP (which would be a buy signal on 50 bp cut) if you want to hold your position for a while.

4. Thursday, April 10th, 2008 (7:45 a.m. New York Time) EURO ZONE
At 7:45 a.m. we will have Interest Rate decision out of Euro zone. It is expected they will keep the rates at 4.00% level so it is very unlikely they would cut or hike it. They don't like to surprise the public so most likely it will be a no trade here.

5a. Thursday, April 10th, 2008 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) USA
At 8:30 a.m. we will have U.S. Jobless Claims and Trade Balance coming out. The U.S. Jobless Claims was a big mover lately. It is expected to come out at 385K. If it comes out at 408K or higher, it would be even worse number than we got last Thursday and I would enter a sell trade on USD/JPY and expect it to move around 40 pips. If it comes out at 365K or lower, it would be the lowest number in about 4 weeks, and I would buy USD/JPY and expect it to move around 40 pips too.

5b. Thursday, April 10th, 2008 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) CANADA
At 8:30 a.m. we will have Canadian Trade Balance. I will skip that one.

6. Thursday, April 10th, 2008 (~8:40 a.m. New York Time) EURO ZONE
Right after 8:30 a.m., usually around 8:40 a.m., we will have Trichet speaking. It can be a nice trade on EUR/USD but you need to know what you are doing or... be a DIamonds room member. If you don't know what you are doing, skip this report. If you feel you can do it, watch the video for my trade plan and suggestions.

That's all for tomorrow.

If you want to make some money on nice spikes, try Forex Secret News Weapon - they also offer 21 days money back policy so try it and see if you can grow your account that way. A nice thing about the SNW is it has not only the autoclick feature but it will also allow you to see other reports so you will immediately know if there are any conflicts, and therefore you would know if you should stay in the trade or get out, or maybe even reenter on the retracement. With a fast market moving I cannot imagine using websites for such informations that you need to know immediately.

If you are interested more in trading news, go to Forex Diamonds - News Trading Education as I am trading there all of mentioned indicators live. Join the room, and get a lot of education from me and other traders that are there. I post trade plans and talk about the trades as well as give entry and exit signal live while the market moves. You can try it with no risk for 21 days so if you don't like it it is free. If you find it useful, then you can stick with us and make grow you live account with us. I am pretty sure you will be satisfied but at least give a try.

Thank you and good luck with your trades.

To Our Success!
-Sir Pipsalot

The video with the signal is recorded by Sir Pipsalot.
For your convenience, this text is written based on the video by Crazy Cat

D builder


Thanks for the mail and i will be doing just what u said,yesterday was good on the news at least had about 10pips on the aud news ,thanks and i will be expecting ur signal too on friday after today's news events


Good Job !

Thank You.
For Nigeria Traders, Target the 9:00am NY will Be 12:00noon Nigeria Time and 8:00am NY will our 1:30pm....So Watch....

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nigerian timezone

just to respond to sasoforex's post....ny time is gmt -5 while nigerian time is gmt +1 so if u calculate this u'll see dt nigerian time is 6 hours ahead of ny time, so just to correct you: 9:00am ny time is nt 12:00noon nigerian time but 3:00pm pls just to clarify....