‍☠️ Jolly Roger Analysis Jolly Roger Signals Bay

We'll Get Through This, Pain Is Temporary, Perhaps Necessary

When the market falls like it has now, and portfolio values drop by xx% for members and crypto investors as a whole, I feel it deeply. You feel it. I feel it.

This is a temporary setback, yet many don't realize it. But I feel the pain through you.

I remember this Bitcoin drop in November of 2018 very clearly:

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  • I woke up to look at my Blockfolio app, only to see yet another drop from the December 2017 Bitcoin high of close to $20,000, but this one was more like a waterfall. Or a descent into the Great Chasm.
Anxiety and heart palpitations began that morning, and persisted for several weeks.

Some of you must be experiencing this same unpleasant reaction. I know it. We're all connected.

Timing

A year ago or perhaps a little bit longer than that, I was on such a perfect timing streak that I thought I was unstoppable.

Timing is such a monster. No one can tame it. Not me, not even professional soothsayers.

Timing is a behemoth that can't be completely controlled. Just when you think you've subdued it, it then lets you know that it can't be mastered.

Cryptos Are The Best Investment Class To Be In

Cryptos have and will continue to mint millionaires, but becoming a millionaire isn't easy. It shouldn't be. The Universe seems to want to test our resolve, to see if we're worthy.

From a pragmatic perspective, it's also times like these that'll create the next wave of millionaires+, because generational wealth is built after a market collapse and contraction─ we're able to accumulate much more crypto compared to a roaring and raging market.

Although it may not seem like it at the moment, good cryptos are the best investment that we'll ever see in our lifetimes. Time is all we need, and time can be our best friend but it might humble us first.
 
I would like to go through higher timeframe charts as we are nearing big levels on major markets.

Starting with indices first..

NASDAQ Yearly;

We have major F3 (0.382) fibonacci support levels at 10667-10751 and disrespected XOP (1.618) extension at 9884. Disrespected resistance act as very strong support when/if the market revisits. Hence 9800-10800 is very strong zone and I dont expect to see a yearly close below these levels.
Yearly nasdaq.PNG


NASDAQ Quarterly,

We have B&B buy in play in quarterly timeframe. Directional patterns are very strong and even stronger in higher timeframes. Target of this pattern is F5 (0.618) resistance at 14758. Looking at the support levels; we have disrespected XOP mentioned in yearly chart together with disrespected OP and F5. Cluster of Dinapoli Levels line up nicely which will make this area very strong.

Nasdaq Quarterly.PNG



SP500 Quarterly,

We need to keep an eye on the trend change and if the sell signal is good the next big support will be disrespected OP extension at 3270 that line up with K confluence at F3 (3180) and F5 (3225).

SP500 quarterly.PNG


And DOW Quarterly,

Lets note 25300 which is K confluence and quite far away for now.

Dow Quarterly.PNG


Looking at currencies;

EURUSD Yearly,

Market aproaching XOP + F5 agreement level at 0.93-0.94. We have controlling XOP lower down at 0.82 and i wont be suprised if the market wash and rinse the previous lows on the left and then make a yearly close above 0.94. I will be looking to flip my %70 of my usd cash holdings to eur from 0.94 and %30 from 0.82. Remember these are yearly levels and it will take a few years to see these trades on our side as minimum.

EURUSD Yearly.PNG




GBPUSD Yearly,

Same as EURO, very strong cluster of expansions around 0.95 level.

gbpusd yearly.PNG


Dollar Index Yearly,

We have XOP extension at 114.47 and OP resistance at 119.10. These are big levels and we shouldnt expect to see a yearly close above these levels.

Yearly Dollar ındex.PNG


Dollar İndex Quarterly,

In addition to yearly levels we have controlling OP resistance at 113 which is quite strong.


dolar ındex quarterly.PNG


And lastly GOLD Quarterly,

First strong quaterly support at 1550 k confluence and beneath that we have very strong K confluence + agrement zone at 1440. We will be watching dynamic pressure on the quaterly sell signal. if it is good market might visit the support levels and it will be good place to long the market around these levels.

Gold Quarterly.PNG


Once again, all of the above levels might trigger a strong bounce but in the short term there will lots of up and down moves before the markets finally move on their way.

Hope that helps

Regards

Roger
 
Last edited:
I would like to go through higher timeframe charts as we are nearing big levels on major markets.

Starting with indices first..

NASDAQ Yearly;

We have major F3 (0.382) fibonacci support levels at 10667-10751 and disrespected XOP (1.618) extension at 9884. Disrespected resistance act as very strong support when/if the market revisits. Hence 9800-10800 is very strong zone and I dont expect to see a yearly close below these levels.
View attachment 79834

NASDAQ Quarterly,

We have B&B buy in play in quarterly timeframe. Directional patterns are very strong and even stronger in higher timeframes. Target of this pattern is F5 (0.618) resistance at 14758. Looking at the support levels; we have disrespected XOP mentioned in yearly chart together with disrespected OP and F5. Cluster of Dinapoli Levels line up nicely which will make this area very strong.

View attachment 79835


SP500 Quarterly,

We need to keep an eye on the trend change and if the sell signal is good the next big support will be disrespected OP extension at 3270 that line up with K confluence at F3 (3180) and F5 (3225).

View attachment 79846

And DOW Quarterly,

Lets note 25300 which is K confluence and quite far away for now.

View attachment 79847

Looking at currencies;

EURUSD Yearly,

Market aproaching XOP + F5 agreement level at 0.93-0.94. We have controlling XOP lower down at 0.82 and i want be suprised if the market wash and rinse the previous lows on the left and then make a yearly close above 0.94. I will be looking to flip my %70 of my usd cash holdings to eur from 0.94 and %30 from 0.82. Remember these are yearly levels and it will take a few years to see these trades on our side as minimum.

View attachment 79849



GBPUSD Yearly,

Same as EURO, very strong cluster of expansions around 0.95 level.

View attachment 79850

Dollar Index Yearly,

We have XOP extension at 114.47 and OP resistance at 119.10. These are big levels and we shouldnt expect to see a yearly close above these levels.

View attachment 79852

Dollar ındex Quarterly,

In addition to yearly levels we have controlling OP resistance at 113 which is quite strong.


View attachment 79851

And lastly GOLD Quarterly,

First strong quaterly support at 1550 k confluence and beneath that we have very strong K confluence + agrement zone at 1440. We will watching dynamic pressure on the quaterly sell signal. if it is good market might visit the support levels and it will be good place to long the market around these levels.

View attachment 79853

Once again, all of the above levels might trigger a strong bounce but in the short term there will lots of up and down moves before the markets finally move on their way.

Hope that helps

Regards

I would like to go through higher timeframe charts as we are nearing big levels on major markets.

Starting with indices first..

NASDAQ Yearly;

We have major F3 (0.382) fibonacci support levels at 10667-10751 and disrespected XOP (1.618) extension at 9884. Disrespected resistance act as very strong support when/if the market revisits. Hence 9800-10800 is very strong zone and I dont expect to see a yearly close below these levels.
View attachment 79834

NASDAQ Quarterly,

We have B&B buy in play in quarterly timeframe. Directional patterns are very strong and even stronger in higher timeframes. Target of this pattern is F5 (0.618) resistance at 14758. Looking at the support levels; we have disrespected XOP mentioned in yearly chart together with disrespected OP and F5. Cluster of Dinapoli Levels line up nicely which will make this area very strong.

View attachment 79835


SP500 Quarterly,

We need to keep an eye on the trend change and if the sell signal is good the next big support will be disrespected OP extension at 3270 that line up with K confluence at F3 (3180) and F5 (3225).

View attachment 79846

And DOW Quarterly,

Lets note 25300 which is K confluence and quite far away for now.

View attachment 79847

Looking at currencies;

EURUSD Yearly,

Market aproaching XOP + F5 agreement level at 0.93-0.94. We have controlling XOP lower down at 0.82 and i want be suprised if the market wash and rinse the previous lows on the left and then make a yearly close above 0.94. I will be looking to flip my %70 of my usd cash holdings to eur from 0.94 and %30 from 0.82. Remember these are yearly levels and it will take a few years to see these trades on our side as minimum.

View attachment 79849



GBPUSD Yearly,

Same as EURO, very strong cluster of expansions around 0.95 level.

View attachment 79850

Dollar Index Yearly,

We have XOP extension at 114.47 and OP resistance at 119.10. These are big levels and we shouldnt expect to see a yearly close above these levels.

View attachment 79852

Dollar ındex Quarterly,

In addition to yearly levels we have controlling OP resistance at 113 which is quite strong.


View attachment 79851

And lastly GOLD Quarterly,

First strong quaterly support at 1550 k confluence and beneath that we have very strong K confluence + agrement zone at 1440. We will watching dynamic pressure on the quaterly sell signal. if it is good market might visit the support levels and it will be good place to long the market around these levels.

View attachment 79853

Once again, all of the above levels might trigger a strong bounce but in the short term there will lots of up and down moves before the markets finally move on their way.

Hope that helps

Regards

Roger
Great insight as always. Its very helpful sir. I will be glad if you do a run down on btc and other popular Cryptos. Many thanks for always sharing your wealth of experience Roger!
 
EURUSD Yearly,

Market aproaching XOP + F5 agreement level at 0.93-0.94. We have controlling XOP lower down at 0.82 and i want be suprised if the market wash and rinse the previous lows on the left and then make a yearly close above 0.94. I will be looking to flip my %70 of my usd cash holdings to eur from 0.94 and %30 from 0.82. Remember these are yearly levels and it will take a few years to see these trades on our side as minimum.
Hi mate, great insight , as usual.

The only doubts concerning EUR. Are you sure that it is correct to use 1972 chart? EUR was introduced in 1999 - 2000.
 
Hi mate, great insight , as usual.

The only doubts concerning EUR. Are you sure that it is correct to use 1972 chart? EUR was introduced in 1999 - 2000.
Hi Sive,

Good point! This is genesis data on trade navigator. I believe the previous trading is calculated at the rate the different European currencies (D-Mark, etc) got converted into Euro, so it should be fine to use, but if we disregard we will have the fibonacci expansion levels only not the F5 support.

Regards
 
There is %50 black friday sale going on at all the dinapoli and demark indicators.. fyi.

 
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