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USD/CHF: inflation in Switzerland dropped to 0.1% in September 04.10.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

During the Asian session, the USD/CHF pair shows ambiguous trading dynamics, consolidating near the 0.9215 and the highs of the end of March. Market volatility has noticeably decreased as investors expect the emergence of new drivers for the movement of the trading instrument.

On Thursday, American service PMI in September will be published: a slight reduction in the index from 54.5 points to 53.6 points is predicted, while a similar indicator from S&P Global will remain at 50.2 points. In addition, a report from Automatic Data Processing (ADP) on employment in the private sector, according to expert calculations, will reflect a slowdown in nonfarm payrolls from 177.0K to 153.0K.

Pressure on the franc’s position comes from Swiss inflation statistics released on Tuesday: in September, the consumer price index rose from 1.6% to 1.7%, while analysts expected it to reach 1.8%. The indicator adjusted by –0.1% MoM after 0.2% earlier, which is worse than forecasts that assumed zero dynamics. Against this background, the Swiss National Bank may abandon further tightening of monetary policy and move to lower interest rates faster.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger Bands are steadily growing: the price range is expanding from above, letting the bulls renew the highs. The MACD indicator reversed upwards, generating a buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic, having interrupted the corrective decline, began to rise: it does not contradict the further development of corrective dynamics but indicates that the American dollar may become overbought in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.9224, 0.9250, 0.9300, 0.9350.
Support levels: 0.9200, 0.9175, 0.9150, 0.9100.

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Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after a breakout of 0.9224 with the target at 0.9300. Stop loss – 0.9180. Implementation time: 2–3 days.

Short positions may be opened after a rebound from 0.9224 and a breakdown of 0.9175 with the target at 0.9100. Stop loss – 0.9224.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CHF and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
EUR/USD: the sharp rise in 10-year government bonds became an argument for continuing the pause in the ECB's "hawkish" policy 06.10.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The EUR/USD pair shows ambiguous trading dynamics, holding near 1.0540. The euro ended the last two trading sessions with moderate gains, allowing the instrument to retreat from record lows set in December 2022.

The reason for the emergence of correctional dynamics was the expectation of the publication of the September report on the labor market in the United States, which will take place today. At the moment, analysts predict a slight slowdown in the dynamics of creating new jobs outside the agricultural sector from 187.0 thousand to 170.0 thousand. Average Hourly Earnings in September could rise from 0.2% to 0.3%, while the annual rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.3% and the Unemployment Rate may correct from 3.8% to 3.7%. At the same time, trading participants have information from the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) company presented on Wednesday: in September, the Employment Change slowed down from 180.0 thousand to 89.0 thousand, which turned out to be significantly worse than the 153.0 thousand expected by experts.

More confident growth of the single currency was hampered by statistics on foreign trade in Germany, published the day before: Export volumes in August fell by 1.2% after -1.9% in the previous month, while analysts expected -0.4%, and Imports fell by 0.4% after -1.3% with a forecast of growth of 0.5%. Against this background, the country's Trade Surplus decreased from 17.7 billion euros to 16.6 billion euros, which turned out to be better than expectations of 15.0 billion euros.

Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Galhau said arguments against further increases in borrowing costs had strengthened following a sharp rise in long-term bond yields, with Germany's 10-year bond rate at 2.860%, Ireland's at 3.320% and the UK's at 4.530%. Meanwhile, the President of the German Bundesbank, Joachim Nagel, noted that inflation in the eurozone is declining, but the pace of its reduction is insufficient. The Consumer Price Index could approach 3.0% by the end of this year but is likely to remain flat over the next year before progress towards the European Central Bank's (ECB) target of 2.0% resumes, he said. Until this time, the regulator is forced to maintain a "hawkish" monetary policy.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a moderate decrease. The price range is narrowing, reflecting a change of trend in the ultra-short term. MACD has reversed to growth having formed a new buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic is showing similar dynamics being located in the middle of its area.

Resistance levels: 1.0550, 1.0600, 1.0630, 1.0660.
Support levels: 1.0500, 1.0450, 1.0400, 1.0350.

EURUSD061023-33.png


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Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a breakout of 1.0550 with the target of 1.0660. Stop-loss — 1.0500. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

A rebound from 1.0550 as from resistance, followed by a breakdown of 1.0500 may become a signal for opening of new short positions with the target at 1.0400. Stop-loss — 1.0550.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
GBP/USD: the pound develops corrective growth 09.10.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The GBP/USD pair is holding near 1.2200 amid the bank holidays in the US and Canadian markets. At the same time, trading participants continue to evaluate the September report on the American labor market, published on Friday, trying to predict the vector of the future monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve.

In September, the American economy managed to create 336.0 thousand new jobs, which turned out to be significantly better than forecasts of 170.0 thousand, while in the previous month the figure was 227.0 thousand. At the same time, the Unemployment Rate remained at 3.8%, while analysts expected 3.7%, and the Average Hourly Earnings added 0.2% in monthly terms and 4.2% in annual terms, which also turned out to be worse than the expected levels of 0.3% and 4.3%, respectively. After the publication of such heterogeneous data, the market revised its forecasts for a further increase in borrowing costs by the American regulator until the end of this year. Now about 42.0% of analysts are in favor of adjusting the interest rate by 25 basis points, while on Thursday the probability of such an outcome was estimated at 35.0%. At the same time, experts also expect that in 2024 the Fed will launch a rate reduction program somewhat later.

In turn, macroeconomic data from the UK, presented on Friday, had virtually no impact on the dynamics of the instrument. The Halifax Housing Price Index in September decreased by 0.4% after -1.8% a month earlier with a forecast of -0.8%, and in quarterly terms the indicator decreased by 4.7% after -4.5%.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands on the daily chart show a steady decline. The price range is narrowing, reflecting ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD grows, preserving a stable buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic is showing similar dynamics; however, the indicator line is already approaching its highs, indicating the risks of an overbought pound in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.2240, 1.2300, 1.2350, 1.2400.
Support levels: 1.2200, 1.2150, 1.2106, 1.2036.

GBPUSD091023-33.png


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Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 1.2200 with the target at 1.2106. Stop-loss — 1.2240. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 1.2200 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.2240 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 1.2350. Stop-loss — 1.2200.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on GBP/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
Cisco Systems Inc.: technical analysis 11.10.2023

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Cisco Systems Inc. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Cisco Systems Inc., an American manufacturer and supplier of network equipment for large holdings and telecommunications companies, are correcting at 53.60.

On the daily chart, the price remains below the support line of the global ascending channel with dynamic boundaries of 54.50–57.60.

On the four-hour chart, it is clear that the growth potential remains since the recent price gap between 55.20–53.20 has not been worked out, however, the main markers indicate that the global decline will continue soon, for which the quotes need to consolidate below the local low at 52.40.

Technical indicators maintain a stable sell signal: fast EMA on the Alligator indicator are significantly below the signal line, and the AO histogram forms corrective bars in the sell zone.

CSCO111023-22.png


Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a reversal, decline, and consolidation of the price below 52.40 with the target at 50.00. Stop loss – 53.20. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 54.30 with the target at 56.20. Stop loss – 53.20.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Cisco Systems Inc. and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
The Walt Disney Co.: technical analysis 13.10.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on The Walt Disney Co. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of The Walt Disney Co., one of the leaders in the global entertainment industry, are trading within a corrective trend at 84.00.

On the daily chart, the price is moving in a global downward channel with dynamic boundaries of 86.00–78.00, forming a growth wave.

On the four-hour chart, after reaching the previous local high of 85.00, the quotes slowed and are gaining trading volumes to test the resistance level of the global channel of 86.00.

Technical indicators reversed and gave a buy signal: fast EMA on the Alligator indicator are moving away from the signal line, and the AO histogram is forming corrective bars, rising in the buy zone.

DIS-131023-22.png


Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after a reversal, growth, and consolidation of the price above 86.00 with the target at 90.50. Stop loss – 84.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after the price declines and consolidates below 82.20 with the target at 78.50. Stop loss – 84.00.

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If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on The Walt Disney Co. and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
USD/JPY: American dollar consolidates near record highs 16.10.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The USD/JPY pair shows mixed dynamics, consolidating near 149.40. The instrument is again retreating from the psychological level of 150.00, although at the end of last week it failed to begin testing it.

In addition to technical factors, weak macroeconomic statistics put pressure on the position of the American currency. The October Consumer Confidence Index from the University of Michigan showed a decline from 68.1 points to 63.0 points, while analysts had expected 67.4 points. In addition, investors are afraid of quotes consolidating above the level of 150.00, expecting intervention from the Bank of Japan. Last year, the regulator took similar actions, which ultimately allowed the yen to recover, but for now the Bank of Japan maintains a wait-and-see attitude.

Macroeconomic data from Japan, published today, failed to support the national currency. Industrial Production volumes in August decreased by 0.7%, while experts expected the dynamics to remain at zero, and in annual terms the indicator accelerated the decline from -3.8% to -4.4%. At the same time, Capacity Utilization increased by 0.5% after -2.2% in the previous month.

Support and resistance

In the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are reversing horizontally. The price range is almost constant, remaining rather spacious for the current level of activity in the market. MACD is growing preserving a weak buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic, having approached the level of "90", reversed into the horizontal plane indicating risks of the overbought US dollar in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 149.69, 150.00, 150.50, 151.00.
Support levels: 149.30, 149.00, 148.47, 148.00.

USDJPY161023-33.png


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Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 149.30 with the target at 148.47. Stop-loss — 149.69. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 149.30 as from support followed by a breakout of 149.69 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 150.50. Stop-loss — 149.30.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
USD/CAD: the instrument develops ambiguous trading dynamics 18.10.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The USD/CAD pair is showing a moderate decline, taking a lead from the "bullish" dynamics of Tuesday, when the instrument briefly updated local highs from October 6.

The reason for the emergence of active growth the day before was the publication of inflation data in Canada: Consumer Price Index in September fell by 0.1% after growing by 0.4% a month earlier, while analysts expected an increase of 0.1%, and in annual terms the indicator adjusted from 4.0% to 3.8%. In turn, Core CPI slowed down from 3.3% to 2.8%. Further weakening of price pressures reduces the prospects for an increase in borrowing costs from the Bank of Canada until the end of this year.

The US dollar receives support from macroeconomic statistics presented the day before. Thus, Retail Sales volumes in September added 0.7% after an increase of 0.8% in the previous month with a forecast of 0.3%, and Retail Sales excluding Autos slowed down from 0.9% to 0.6% with expectations at 0.2%. Industrial Production increased by 0.3%, while experts expected zero dynamics. A month earlier, the indicator was also revised from 0.4% to 0.0%.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show moderate growth. The price range is narrowing, reflecting appearance of multi-directional dynamics in the short term. MACD is falling, keeping a relatively strong sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). Stochastic reversed downwards after quite active growth last week and is currently located approximately in the center of its working area.

Resistance levels: 1.3650, 1.3700, 1.3750, 1.3800.
Support levels: 1.3600, 1.3550, 1.3500, 1.3450.

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Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after a breakdown of 1.3600 with the target at 1.3500. Stop-loss — 1.3650. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

A rebound from 1.3600 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.3650 may become a signal for opening new long positions with the target at 1.3750. Stop-loss — 1.3600.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CAD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
Starbucks Corp.: technical analysis 20.10.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Starbucks Corp. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Starbucks Corp., one of the largest companies in the world, which owns the coffee shop chain of the same name, are moving in a corrective trend at 94.00.

On the daily chart, the price is trying to consolidate above the resistance line of the downward channel with dynamic boundaries of 94.00–89.00.

On a four-hour interval, the quotes went beyond the range, breaking the resistance level of 94.00, and now the key resistance is yesterday’s high of 95.50, consolidation above which will mean a change in the local trend and a possible increase to the level of 100.00.

Technical indicators have almost given a buy signal: fast EMAs on the Alligator indicator are approaching the signal line, narrowing the range of fluctuations, and the AO histogram is forming rising bars in the selling zone.

SBUX201023-22.png


Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the price rises and consolidates above 95.50 with the target at 99.00. Stop loss – 94.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Short positions may be opened after a reversal, decline, and consolidation below 92.50 with the target at 89.00. Stop loss – 94.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Starbucks Corp. and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
Hewlett-Packard Co.: technical analysis 23.10.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Hewlett-Packard Co. for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Shares of Hewlett-Packard Co., an American information technology giant, are moving in a corrective trend at 25.80.

On the daily chart, the price is approaching last year’s low of 23.50 as part of a global downward trend.

On the four-hour chart, the decline is developing dynamically, and a local correctional channel of 27.00–26.00 is now ending, which can act as a Flag pattern. The quotes have almost left the formation and are ready to continue moving downwards, consolidating below the year’s low of 25.00.

Technical indicators, having worked out a local correction, strengthen the sell signal: fast EMA on the Alligator indicator are at a stable distance from the signal line, and the AO histogram forms corrective bars in the sell zone.

HPQ-231023-22.png


Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after the price declines and consolidates below 25.00 with the target at 23.00. Stop loss – 26.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

Long positions may be opened after a reversal, growth, and consolidation of the price above 27.00 with the target at 29.00. Stop loss – 26.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Hewlett-Packard Co. and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
EUR/USD: the euro is recovering after a significant decline the day before 25.10.2023

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The EUR/USD pair is showing a slight corrective growth, trying to recover after a rather sharp decline the day before, which did not allow the instrument to consolidate at new local highs from September 20. Quotes are again testing 1.0600 for a breakout, but investors are in no hurry to open new positions ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting scheduled for Thursday. No new steps are expected from the regulator (as well as from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England next week) aimed at further tightening monetary policy. At the same time, inflation dynamics in the region remain far from target levels, so the rhetoric of the monetary authorities probably will not exclude a similar scenario in the future.

Meanwhile, investors are analyzing business activity statistics published in the EU and the US the day before. While long-term "hawkish" policies in the eurozone have contributed to unprecedented inflation, which has fallen to its lowest level since October 2021, the measures taken by officials have had a negative impact on the economic development dynamics of countries in the region, which are still feeling the effects of last year's sharp increases in energy prices. The German Manufacturing PMI from S&P Global in October rose from 39.6 points to 40.7 points, while analysts expected an increase to 40.0 points, and the Services PMI decreased from 50.3 points to 48.0 points with a forecast of 50.0 points. In the eurozone, the Manufacturing PMI adjusted from 43.4 points to 43.0 points, and the Services PMI went down from 48.7 points to 47.8 points. Business activity in the European economy is at a five-year low, significantly increasing the risks of an economic downturn in the eurozone as a whole, while a recession in Germany appears to have already begun.

American data turned out to be noticeably better: the Manufacturing PMI from S&P Global in October rose from 49.8 points to 50.0 points, while the market expected a decrease to 49.5 points, and the Services PMI strengthened from 50.1 points to 50.9 points, also ahead of forecasts of 49.9 points. At the same time, the Composite PMI rose from 50.2 points to 51.0 points. Thus, the national economy remains resilient to increases in borrowing costs by US Federal Reserve officials, which may convince them of the need for a new tightening of monetary policy.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate flat dynamics. the price range changes slightly, limiting further development of the "bulls" in the short term. MACD is slightly strengthening keeping a weak buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic, having retreated from the level of "80", is developing confident downward dynamics, signaling in favor of the development of a corrective trend in the near future.

Resistance levels: 1.0600, 1.0630, 1.0660, 1.0700.
Support levels: 1.0561, 1.0530, 1.0500, 1.0450.

EURUSD251023-33.png


EURUSD251023-333.png


Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a breakout of 1.0630 with the target of 1.0700. Stop-loss — 1.0600. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The return of a "bearish" trend with the breakdown of 1.0561 may become a signal for new short positions with the target at 1.0500. Stop-loss — 1.0600.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
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