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AUD/USD: Australian dollar is strengthening 17.10.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

AUD continues growing moderately against USD, updating local highs of October 3. The reason for the development of "bullish" dynamics of the instrument is in technical factors, as well as in the overall decline in risk-taking interest of traders amid worsening US relations with China and Saudi Arabia.

On Tuesday, the RBA meeting minutes were published but they did not disclose anything new to investors. RBA officials noted the acceleration of GDP due to an increase in investment in subsoil use and consumption growth, employment growth, and a decrease in unemployment. The current policy of the regulator will continue to support the Australian economy; there are no convincing arguments for raising interest rates.

Today, the pair is trading in both directions, waiting for new drivers. The published MI Leading Index was worse than analysts' expectations and fell by 0.1% MoM against 0.0% MoM in the previous month.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a gradual decrease. The price range is narrowing, reflecting the flat dynamics of trading in the medium term. MACD indicator is growing keeping a stable buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic keeps its upward direction but is approaching its maximum levels, which reflects the overbought AUD in the ultra-short term.

Existing long positions should be kept until the situation clears up.

Resistance levels: 0.7150, 0.7175, 0.7200, 0.7234.

Support levels: 0.7130, 0.7100, 0.7068, 0.7039.

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Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 0.7150. Take profit — 0.7200 or 0.7234. Stop loss — 0.7120 or 0.7110. Implementation period: 1-3 days.

The rebound from 0.7150 as from resistance with the subsequent breakdown of 0.7130 can become a signal to begin correctional sales with target at 0.7068 or 0.7039. Stop loss — 0.7160. Implementation period: 2-3 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
EUR/USD: euro remains under pressure 19.10.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Yesterday, EUR fell significantly against USD, renewing its lows since October 10, due to the general strengthening of USD after strict Fed’s statements on further interest rate growth. USD was additionally supported by a sharp decline in the Chinese yuan, which continues today due to poor data on China's Q3 GDP.

EUR is under pressure of uncertain Brexit prospects and the tightening of the situation around the Italian budget for the next year. Yesterday, investors were focused on the summit of EU leaders in Brussels. There were no new proposals to solve the Irish border problem, and an agreement with the UK was not concluded. However, officials are developing a new mechanism to allow the UK to leave the EU as painlessly as possible. The idea is to extend the negotiations on the Irish border for a certain period after the end of the Brexit procedure itself.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands are moderately reduced. The price range is narrowing, letting the "bears" renew local lows. MACD is decreasing, keeping a moderate sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). Stochastic falls, however, is in close proximity to zero values, which reflects that EUR is oversold in the super short term.
It is better to keep current short positions until the situation is clear.

Resistance levels: 1.1460, 1.1500, 1.1522, 1.1547.

Support levels: 1.1430, 1.1400, 1.1352.

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Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a reversal near the current support levels and the breakout of 1.1460–1.1470 with the target of 1.1580 or 1.1600. Stop loss is 1.1430. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of 1.1430 with the target at 1.1352. Stop loss is 1.1460–1.1470. Implementation period: 1–2 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal:glossary.

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

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Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
GBP/USD: wave analysis 22.10.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

The pair can decrease.

On the 4-hour chart, the downward correction of the higher level developed as a wave (2), and the development of the third wave (3) began. Now the first wave of the lower level i of 1 of (3) has formed, and the local correction is developing as a wave ii of 1, within which the wave (a) of ii is forming. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the level of 1.2907. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.3236.

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Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 1.3236 with the target at 1.2907. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.3236 will let the pair grow to the level of 1.3510.

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The Financial Commission announced a successful trade execution certification of NPBFX

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The Financial Commission announced a successful trade execution certification of NPBFX. The certificate is approved by an independent service Verify My Trade (VMT). NPBFX has successfully passed all the audit procedures required by the service provider and became one of the first VMT certified brokers in the Forex market.

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NPBFX has received the highest status of A category member in the Financial Commission since 2016, which guarantees payments from the Compensation Fund up to 20’000 US dollars per one client.

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Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

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XAU/USD: technical analysis 29.10.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the XAU/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

XAU/USD, D1

On the daily chart, the instrument is trading in the upper Bollinger band. The price remains above the EMA14, EMA65 that start turning up, and on the level with the EMA130, which is horizontal. The RSI is testing its most recent resistance. The Composite is testing from above its longer MA, having formed a Bearish divergence with the price.

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XAU/USD, H4

On the 4-hour chart, the instrument is trading in the lower Bollinger band. The price remains above the EMA65, EMA130 and SMA200 that are directed up. The RSI is falling, having broken down its longer MA. The Composite is showing similar dynamics.

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Key levels

Support levels: 1212.0 (September highs), 1195.0 (local lows), 1182.0 (local lows).

Resistance levels: 1240.0 (local highs), 1246.0 (October 2016 lows), 1262.0 (local highs).

Trading tips

There is a chance of a downward correction, after which the growth will resume.

Pending buy orders can be placed at the level of 1212.0 with targets at 1240.0, 1246.0 and stop-loss at 1195.0. Validity – 3-5 days.

Short positions can be opened from the level of 1182.0 with the target at 1160.0 and stop-loss at 1195.0. Validity – 3-5 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal:trading signals. Make right trade decisions on sell or buy XAU and other popular instruments using trading signals on the NPBFX portal. All registered users have free access to signals from the top 10 trading indicators (MA10, BBands, Ichimoku, Stochastic, ZigZag, etc.) with also general recommendations on the portal.

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Use the current recommendations of analysts on XAU/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
GBP/USD: the pound remains under pressure 31.10.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Yesterday, GBP fell against USD and updated lows since August 17.

Presented by Chancellor Philip Hammond on Monday, the 2019 UK draft budget did not impress investors significantly. As expected, it contains some new taxes, including alcohol and tobacco ones. On the other hand, expenses for work benefits and investments in infrastructure and health care should be increased. Next year, the government plans the economy to grow by 1.6% (against the previous value of 1.3%), while the budget deficit is expected to reach 25.5B GBP. In case of the Brexit negative outcome, some budget parameters may be revised in March 2019.

Also, investors are waiting for Thursday’s BoE interest rate decision. Experts agree that the key parameters of the British monetary policy would not be changed. Most likely, the regulator will wait for the development of the Brexit situation.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands are steadily declining. The price range is expanding almost as fast as the active “bearish” trend develops in the short term. MACD indicator is falling, keeping a strong sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). Stochastic is directed downwards but is close to its lows, reflecting that GBP may become oversold.

It is better to keep current short positions until the situation is clear.

Resistance levels: 1.2732, 1.2796, 1.2866, 1.2920, 1.2953.

The levels of support: 1.2693, 1.2659, 1.2634, 1.2600.

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Trading tips

Long positions can be opened after a rebound from 1.2693 and the breakout of 1.2732 with the targets at 1.2866 or 1.2920–1.2953. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions can be opened after the breakdown of the level of 1.2693 with the target of 1.2634 or 1.2600. Stop loss is 1.2732–1.2750. Implementation period: 1–2 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on GBP/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
AUD/USD: general analysis 05.11.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

On Friday, the AUD/USD pair moved horizontally. September Australian Retail Sales release was poorer than market expectations. The indicator fell from 0.3% to 0.2% MoM and from 1.0% to 0.2% QoQ due to insufficient growth in incomes of Australian citizens and a decline in the country's real estate market. USD was supported by the release of positive for the American economy data from the labor market: in October, Nonfarm Payrolls rose from 118K to 250K. Average wages grew from 2.8% to 3.1% YoY. The Unemployment Rate remained the same – 3.7%.

Today, Markit and ISM service PMI releases may affect the pair’s dynamics, moderate volatility is expected on the market.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, the instrument was corrected to the upper border of Bollinger bands, the price range was expanded, indicating a possible development of the correction. MACD histogram is in the negative area, maintaining a weak signal to open short positions.

Resistance levels: 0.7200, 0.7238, 0.7258, 0.7290, 0.7314, 0.7340, 0.7381.

Support levels: 0.7181, 0.7158, 0.7130, 0.7103, 0.7085, 0.7065, 0.7040, 0.7020.

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Trading tips

Long positions can be opened from the level of 0.7200 with the target at 0.7250 and stop loss 0.7170.

Short positions can be opened from the level of 0.7158 with the target at 0.7103 and stop loss 0.7190.

Implementation period: 1–3 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal:аnalytics. You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
NZD/USD: the instrument is strengthening 07.11.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the NZD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

NZD is rising steadily against USD, updating local highs of 2 August.

Investors are focused on midterm elections in the US: the American voter must decide who will take 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 33 seats in the Senate; besides, governors will be elected in some states. For the current administration, the most important election is the one for the House of Representatives. If the Democrats win, President Donald Trump’s position, especially in domestic politics, may noticeably weaken.

Today, NZD is supported by strong data on the labor market in New Zealand. Employment Rate rose by 1.1% QoQ in Q3 2018, with the forecast of 0.5% QoQ. Unemployment Rate decreased sharply from 4.5% to the record low of 3.9%.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show active growth. The price range is expanding, but the instrument is currently trading outside its boundaries, indicating that the instrument is overbought. MACD indicator is growing keeping a stable buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic retains an upward direction, but is located in close proximity to its maximum levels, which signals in favor of the appearance of a downward correction.

It is necessary to wait for the trade signals from technical indicators to become clear.

Resistance levels: 0.6788, 0.6820, 0.6849.

Support levels: 0.6760, 0.6725, 0.6688, 0.6662.

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Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 0.6788. Take profit — 0.6849. Stop loss — 0.6750. Implementation period: 1-2 days.

The rebound from the level of 0.6788 as from resistance with the subsequent breakdown of 0.6760 or 0.6750 can become a signal to begin correctional sales with target at 0.6662 or 0.6628, 0.6609. Stop loss should be placed no further than 0.6800. Implementation period: 2-3 days.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on NZD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
EUR/USD: wave analysis 12.11.2018

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

The pair may grow.

On the 4-hour chart, the upward correction of the higher level develops as a wave B of (2) in a form of a flat. Now the development of the wave c of B has begun, within which the first wave of the lower level i of (i) of c has formed, and the local correction ii of (i) is ending. If the assumption is correct, the pair will grow to the levels of 1.1623–1.1813. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.1300.

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Main scenario

Long positions will become relevant during the correction, above the level of 1.1300 with the targets at 1.1623–1.1813. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 1.1300 will let the pair go down to the levels of 1.1200–1.1100.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic indicators. Regular monitoring of global economic indicators plays an important role in trading, because of their strong influence on FOREX market and possibility to provoke significant price fluctuations. For the convenience of traders the "Education" section on the NPBFX portal contains the most popular and significant world economic indices with a detailed description, their possible impact on the economy and exchange rates (GDP, consumer price index, unemployment rate, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), etc.).

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
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