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[Antony_NPBFX]

AUD/USD: multidirectional trend 23.04.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

AUD has strengthened significantly against USD during today's Asian session, recovering from a strong decline the day before, when USD gained momentum after the publication of strong data on jobless claims. The number of initial jobless claims decreased from 586K to 547K, which was the lowest level since the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic.

In turn, the instrument is supported by upbeat statistics from Australia on Friday. Commonwealth Bank Services PMI in April rose from 55.5 to 58.6 points. Commonwealth Bank Manufacturing PMI for the same period rose from 56.8 to 59.6 points. Commonwealth Bank Composite PMI in April reached 58.8 points against 55.5 points in March.

With the opening of the American session, the markets are awaiting the release of statistics on business activity in the US, which should also demonstrate positive growth rates.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show stable growth. The price range is almost unchanged, but it follows the price upwards, freeing the way to new local highs for the "bulls". MACD reversed downwards having formed a weak sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic is declining much more actively and is currently approaching the level of "20", indicating the risks of oversold AUD in the ultra-short term.

To open new trading positions, it is necessary to wait for the signals from technical indicators to be clarified.

Resistance levels: 0.7770, 0.7804, 0.7848, 0.7900.
Support levels: 0.7700, 0.7675, 0.7636, 0.7600.

Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 0.7770. Take-profit – 0.7848. Stop-loss – 0.7735. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

The return of "bearish" trend with the breakdown of 0.7700 may become a signal for new sales with the targets at 0.7636–0.7600. Stop-loss – 0.7740.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

USD/CHF: the instrument returned to decline 26.04.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

USD is showing a slight decline against CHF during today's morning session, building on the "bearish" momentum following the speech of US President Joe Biden.

Last Friday, the Head of the White House made a proposal to sharply raise the tax rate on long-term capital gains for wealthy Americans, which triggered a wave of sales on stock exchanges and put significant pressure on a number of cryptocurrencies.

Today, investors are focused on macroeconomic statistics from the US on the dynamics of durable goods orders. Forecasts are very optimistic in this regard, given the pace of recovery in the American economy and the rapid growth of consumer purchasing activity. In addition, investors are preparing for the US Fed's meeting on the interest rate, which will be held on April 28. The regulator is expected to clarify its plans to tighten monetary policy, as the pace of recovery exceeds initial forecasts.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a stable decrease. The price range is narrowing, reflecting the emergence of flat dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is declining keeping a weak sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic is showing fluctuations near the level of "20", signaling the previous risks of USD being oversold in the ultra-short term.

Existing short positions should be kept until technical indicators are clarified.

Resistance levels: 0.9163, 0.9200, 0.9244, 0.9300.
Support levels: 0.9100, 0.9050, 0.9000.

Trading tips

To open short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 0.9100. Take-profit – 0.9000. Stop-loss – 0.9163. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.9100 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.9163 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 0.9244. Stop-loss – 0.9110.

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You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CHF and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

XAU/USD: downward correction 28.04.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on XAU/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Gold prices are declining during today's morning trading session, building on the correctional momentum that formed the day before.

The instrument is under slight pressure ahead of the publication of the results of the US Fed's meeting, which, as many expect, will bring some tightening of the regulator's rhetoric regarding economic stimulus measures. So far, the prospects for reducing quantitative easing programs are discussed, but even this will be enough for the markets.

In addition, this week investors will pay attention to the publication of data on the dynamics of US GDP. Forecasts assume that the US economy will grow 6.5% YoY in Q1 2021 after increasing by 4.3% YoY over the previous period.

Support and resistance

On the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are gradually reversing horizontally. The price range is slightly narrowing, remaining rather spacious for the current level of activity in the market. MACD is declining keeping a weak sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic shows a more confident decline and is currently rapidly approaching its lows, indicating the risks of oversold gold in the ultra-short term.

Technical indicators do not contradict the further development of the correctional decline in the short and/or ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1785.00, 1800.00, 1810.29, 1830.00.
Support levels: 1758.48, 1749.16, 1720.00, 1703.07.

Trading tips

To open short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 1758.48. Take-profit – 1720.00. Stop-loss – 1780.00.

A rebound from 1758.48 as from support followed by a breakout of 1785.00 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 1810.29. Stop-loss – 1770.00.

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[Antony_NPBFX]

USD/CAD: USD remains under pressure 30.04.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

USD is marginally lower against CAD during today's Asian session, preparing to record negative trend in the trading week, which led to the renewal of record lows since February 2018.

The macroeconomic statistics from the USA published yesterday failed to reverse the stable downtrend for the instrument, although some traders still preferred to fix their profits on short positions.

CAD, in turn, finds support in strong retail sales data. In February, sales volumes increased by 4.8% MoM after falling by 1.1% MoM in January. Analysts expected positive dynamics to appear, but hoped for only +4.0% MoM. Excluding car sales, the indicator also increased by 4.8% MoM, beating market forecasts at +3.7% MoM.

Today, investors are awaiting the publication of February statistics on the dynamics of GDP growth in Canada on a monthly basis. In addition, the Raw Material Price Index and Industrial Product Price data for March will be released.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a stable decrease. The price range is expanding from below; however, it fails to catch the surge of the "bearish" sentiment at the moment. MACD is going down preserving a stable sell signal (located below the signal line). Having approached its lows, Stochastic is reversing into the horizontal plane indicating risks of overbought USD in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.2300, 1.2353, 1.2400, 1.2439.
Support levels: 1.2245, 1.2200, 1.2129, 1.2060.

Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 1.2245. Take-profit – 1.2129–1.2100. Stop-loss – 1.2300. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 1.2245 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.2300 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 1.2400. Stop-loss – 1.2245.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation on USD/CAD and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CAD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

NZD/USD: USD received a new growth impetus 03.05.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on NZD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

NZD has been declining against USD during today's Asian session, remaining under pressure after a strong "bearish" momentum emerged at the end of the previous week.

The new sales were prompted by strong macroeconomic statistics from the USA, which once again confirmed the fact of the rapid recovery of the American economy after the coronavirus crisis. Obviously, all the support measures taken by the authorities turned out to be effective, and now one of the central issues is only the timing of the curtailment of stimulus programs, first of all, the quantitative easing program from the US Fed, while it is still somewhat premature to count on an increase in interest rates.

Today, investors will be focusing on the April US Manufacturing PMIs. Noteworthy data from New Zealand will appear only on Wednesday, when the quarterly report on the labor market is released and the speech of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor, Adrian Orr, takes place.

Support and resistance

In the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD reversed downwards having formed a new sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic keeps a confident downward direction but is already approaching its lows, which indicates the risks of oversold NZD in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.7200, 0.7250, 0.7305.
Support levels: 0.7150, 0.7100, 0.7050, 0.7000.

Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 0.7150. Take-profit – 0.7050. Stop-loss – 0.7200. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.7150 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.7200 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 0.7305. Stop-loss – 0.7150.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on NZD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

EUR/USD: EUR quotes remain under pressure 05.05.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

EUR shows a slight increase against USD during today's Asian session, correcting after yesterday's decline, which led to the renewal of local lows of April 22.

USD retains its previous growth momentum, which was formed at the end of last week, receiving additional support after the speech of the US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who did not rule out the possibility of an early rate hike in order to avoid overheating the American economy, which is demonstrating impressive growth rates. Investors are also optimistic about news of the gradual reopening of the US states against the backdrop of an active vaccination campaign and a general stabilization of the epidemiological situation.

Market participants are focused on statistics on business activity in the services and manufacturing sectors of the eurozone from Markit. In addition, a speech by the European Central Bank representative Philip Lane is expected, who may hint on tightening monetary policy in the region.

Support and resistance

In the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is going down preserving a stable sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic, having approached its lows, is trying to reverse upwards, indicating the risks of oversold EUR in the ultra-short term.

To open new positions, it is necessary to wait for the trade signals to become clear.

Resistance levels: 1.2037, 1.2087, 1.2148, 1.2200.
Support levels: 1.2000, 1.1945, 1.1900, 1.1850.

Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the rebound from the support level of 1.2000, with the subsequent breakout of 1.2050. Take-profit – 1.2148. Stop-loss – 1.2000. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The breakdown of 1.2000 may serve as a signal to new sales with the target at 1.1900. Stop-loss – 1.2050.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

AUD/USD: consolidation at local highs 07.05.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

AUD is slightly declining against USD in trading this morning session, consolidating near the local highs, updated the day before.

Traders are not opening new positions ahead of the publication of the US labor market report for April. The forecasts are quite optimistic. In particular, it is expected that the number of Nonfarm Payrolls will grow by 978K after rising by 916K in March. The Unemployment Rate for the first time in a long period may fall below 6%, to 5.8%.

In the meantime, moderate support for the instrument is provided by statistical data from Australia and published comments of the country's regulator on monetary policy, which, however, remains very restrained. Anyway, AiG Services index went up from 58.7 to 61 points in April.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate flat dynamics. The price range is slightly changing, reflecting ambiguous dynamics of trading in the ultra-short term. MACD has reversed to growth having formed a new buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic keeps its upward direction but is rapidly approaching its highs, which reflects the risks of overbought instrument in the ultra-short term.

Existing long positions should be kept until technical indicators are clarified.

Resistance levels: 0.7800, 0.7840, 0.7883.
Support levels: 0.7756, 0.7700, 0.7675, 0.7650.

Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 0.7800. Take-profit – 0.7883. Stop-loss – 0.7756. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.7800 as from resistance, followed by a breakdown of 0.7756 may become a signal for new sales with the target at 0.7700. Stop-loss – 0.7800.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

USD/CAD: the likelihood of a trend change is still low 10.05.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The USD/CAD pair is showing a downtrend, trading at 1.2115.

CAD continues to look strong against the backdrop of the declining USD; however, Friday's labor market data from Canada made analysts question the strength of CAD. The Unemployment Rate in April rose from 7.5% to 8.1%, showing the most significant deterioration since March 2020. The Net Change in Employment decreased by 207.1K, which turned out to be much worse than the expected decline by 175.0K. Participation Rate fell to 64.9% from 65.2%.

The USD/CAD pair did not change the trend only due to the fact that the situation on the US labor market turned out to be even worse. The Unemployment Rate in April rose from 6.0% to 6.1%. In turn, the employment rate fell in almost all sectors. The number of jobs in the manufacturing industry decreased by 18K, with a projected increase of 55K, and the number of Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 266K, with an expected increase of 978K. Thus, the target indicators for employment were again not reached, so raising interest rates by the US Fed is out of the question.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, the price continues to form a global descending channel. Technical indicators are in a state of sale: the range of EMA fluctuations on the Alligator indicator continues to expand, and the histogram of the AO oscillator is trading in the sales zone.

Resistance levels: 1.2260, 1.2610.
Support levels: 1.2050, 1.1800.

Trading tips

If the asset continues declining and the price consolidates below 1.2050, short positions can be opened with the target at 1.1800. Stop-loss – 1.2150. Implementation time: 7 days and more.

If the asset reverses and grows, and the price consolidates above 1.2260, long positions with the target of 1.2610 will be relevant. Stop-loss – 1.2150.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation on USD/CAD and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CAD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

AUD/USD: positive financial statements supported the pair's quotes 12.05.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The AUD/USD pair is correcting, trading at 0.7796.

AUD continues to trade with confidence against its major competitors. The situation with the spread of coronavirus in the country has been taken under control, and since the beginning of the week, the number of new cases has not exceeded 10. Against this background, macroeconomic indicators began to recover. Australian Retail Sales rose 1.3% in March, while the National Bank of Australia's business confidence rose to 26 points in April from 17 points in March. The number of Building Approvals came in line with analysts' expectations, increasing by 17.4%.

In turn, USD is trading without a pronounced dynamics, being near the psychological support level of 90.000 in the USD Index. The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has approved Pfizer's coronavirus drug for teens aged 12 to 15. Vaccination of this category of the population may begin this week.

US CPI data for April will be released today. Analysts expect the growth rate to remain at the March level of 0.3%. Investors' attention will also be focused on the 10-Year Note Auction.

Support and resistance

On the global chart of the asset, the price continues to form an ascending channel. Technical indicators are in a state of purchase: the range of EMA fluctuations on the Alligator indicator is expanding, and the histogram of the AO oscillator is trading in the positive zone.

Resistance levels: 0.7847, 0.8000.
Support levels: 0.7696, 0.7560.

Trading tips

If the asset continues growing and the price consolidates above the local resistance at 0.7847, long positions will be relevant with target at 0.8000. Stop-loss – 0.7750. Implementation time: 7 days and more.

If the asset reverses and declines and the price consolidates below the support at 0.7696, short positions can be opened with the target at 0.7560. Stop-loss – 0.7780.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

 

[Antony_NPBFX]

EUR/USD: US labor market data put pressure on the pair

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Quotes of the EUR/USD pair slowed down their growth, trading in a corrective trend at 1.2090.

The day before, European Commission published the spring forecast for the development of the EU economy, according to which the economic indicators of the region will be able to return to pre-crisis levels only by the end of 2022 and the beginning of 2023. Eurozone GDP is projected to grow by 4.2% in 2021 and 4.4% in 2022. Today, the European Central Bank is to publish a statement on monetary policy. Investors do not expect changes, as key indicators have not yet approached the "decision-making levels": inflation is at 1.6%, and the unemployment rate is far from the target range of 7.0%–7.4%.

For the first time this week, the quotes of USD showed acceptable growth. After serious fears about high inflation, investors expected a fall in the labor market, but yesterday's data showed positive dynamics. The number of Initial Jobless Claims decreased from 507K to 473K against the forecast of 490K. In turn, the Producer Price Index in April rose by 0.6% with an expected increase of 0.3%.

Support and resistance

On the global chart of the asset, the price continues correctional growth. Technical indicators maintain the buy signal: the range of EMA fluctuations on the Alligator indicator stays wide and the histogram of the AO oscillator is trading in the purchase zone.

Resistance levels: 1.2162, 1.2336.
Support levels: 1.2000, 1.1842.

Trading tips

If the asset continues growing and the price consolidates above the local resistance at 1.2162, long positions will be relevant with target at 1.2336. Stop-loss – 1.2100. Implementation time: 5 days.

If the asset declines and the price consolidates below the local support at 1.2000, short positions can be opened with the target at 1.1842. Stop-loss – 1.2060.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.