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USD/JPY: macroeconomic statistics did not support JPY 23.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

USD has shown moderate gains against JPY during the Asian session, flat in the short term. As a safe-haven asset, investors are interested in USD much more than in JPY, but the growth of the instrument is still not so aggressive.

The statistics on consumer inflation in Japan released on Friday turned out to be ambiguous and did not contribute to an additional strengthening of JPY's position. The National Consumer Price Index fell 0.3% YoY in July after falling 0.5% YoY in June. Analysts had expected growth by 0.6% YoY.

At the beginning of the week, additional pressure on the position of JPY comes from the decline in the Manufacturing PMI from Jibun Bank. In August, the indicator fell from 53 to 52.4 points against the forecast of growth to 53.4 points.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show weak growth. The price range is narrowing, pointing at the ambiguous nature of trading in the short term. MACD indicator is growing preserving a weak buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic is showing a more confident growth, signaling in favor of the development of the uptrend in the ultra-short term.

Existing long positions should be kept until technical indicators are clarified.

Resistance levels: 110.00, 110.29, 110.68, 111.00.
Support levels: 109.57, 109.34, 109.00, 108.71.

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Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 110.00. Take-profit – 110.68. Stop-loss – 109.65. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The breakdown of 109.57 may serve as a signal to new sales with the target at 109.00. Stop-loss – 109.80.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
EUR/USD: EUR quotes are reversing into correction 25.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

EUR is decreasing against USD during today's Asian session, correcting after an active increase early in the week, which led to the renewal of local highs of August 17.

EUR continues to receive support from the weak positions of USD, which came under pressure from uncertainty around the further policy of the US Fed. At the moment, investors are awaiting the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, but it is likely that the Chair of the US Fed, Jerome Powell, will confine himself to updated forecasts and assumptions, especially in light of the latest macroeconomic statistics.

Additional support for EUR yesterday was provided by a very optimistic macroeconomic statistics from Germany. In Q2 2021, GDP grew by 1.6% QoQ, which turned out to be better than the previous estimate by 0.1% QoQ. In annual terms, the growth rates of the largest European economy were also revised upward from +9.6% YoY to +9.8% YoY.

Support and resistance

In the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing from above, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics in the short term. MACD indicator is growing, while preserving a rather stable buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic keeps its upward direction but is rapidly approaching its highs, which reflects the risks of overbought EUR in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.1764, 1.1800, 1.1849, 1.1900.
Support levels: 1.1700, 1.1657, 1.1600.

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Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 1.1764. Take-profit – 1.1849. Stop-loss – 1.1715. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The breakdown of 1.1700 may serve as a signal to new sales with the target at 1.1600. Stop-loss – 1.1750.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
USD/JPY: yen falls amid deteriorating COVID-19 situation 27.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Due to Japan's introduction of the next emergency regime, the USD/JPY pair corrects, trading around 109.93.

The situation with the spread of the COVID-19 virus in the country is getting more complicated. The authorities record an increase in new cases of the disease every day. Therefore, at a meeting of the expert commission held yesterday, it was decided to introduce an emergency regime in 8 more prefectures. Thus, it already operates in 21 out of 47 districts, which implies significant restrictive measures and a curfew. The country's economy is in stagnation, and activity indicators have not changed for the third month in a row: the core CPI in Tokyo in August remained at 0.0%, while the CPI excluding food and energy increased by 0.1%. If the government continues to impose restrictions, the economy may slow down again, negatively affecting JPY.

USD remains neutral. At the US Federal Reserve Symposium, held in Jackson Hole, the first day ended. The speeches of the heads of the regional Federal Reserve banks were quite predictable for the market. Thus, the head of the bank of Kansas City, Esther George, as expected, recommended starting the curtailment of the asset purchase program as early as possible since the US economy is growing at a significant pace. Investors are awaiting today's speech by the head of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, hoping to receive a detailed answer regarding the next steps of the regulator.

Support and resistance

The asset moves within the global upward channel. Technical indicators are uncertain, preparing for growth: the Alligator indicator’s fast EMAs crossed the signal line upwards, and the AO oscillator histogram approached the transition level.

Support levels: 109.00, 107.45.
Resistance levels: 110.53, 111.63.

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Trading tips

After reversal and growth or consolidation above 110.53, buy positions with the target at 111.63 are relevant. Stop loss – 110.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

After decline or consolidation below 109.00, sell positions with the target at 107.45 are relevant. Stop loss – 109.50.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation on USD/JPY and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
GBP/USD: the pound consolidates, waiting for new drivers 30.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today during the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair grows, developing an upward momentum.

Positive dynamics formed at the end of last week when USD began a downward correction due to the speech of the head of the US Federal Reserve Jerome Powell at the annual symposium of the regulator in Jackson Hole. As expected, the official did not go into specifics, although he stressed that the volume of the quantitative easing program might be reduced by the end of the current calendar year. Powell paid a lot of attention to the reasons for high inflation and also explained why, in his opinion, price pressure would begin to subside soon.

On Monday, markets in the UK are closed for a national holiday, so trading activity is expected to be moderate. There are no US key macroeconomic statistics scheduled during the day. It is worth paying attention only to the July Pending Home Sales.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger Bands smoothly reverse horizontally. The price range narrows from below, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous trading dynamics in the short term. MACD grows, maintaining a poor buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic, reached the level of 80, tries to reverse downwards, indicating that GBP may become overbought in the ultra-short term.

It is better to wait for the signals from technical indicators to be clarified.

Resistance levels: 1.3800, 1.3857, 1.3900, 1.3960.
Support levels: 1.3750, 1.3700, 1.3650, 1.3600.

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Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 1.3800 with the target at 1.3900. Stop loss – 1.3750. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions may be opened after the rebound from 1.3800 and the breakdown of 1.3750 with the target at 1.3650. Stop loss – 1.3800.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on GBP/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
GBP/USD: the pound develops a corrective downward trend 01.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today, during the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair declines, developing unstable corrective dynamics of recent days and testing the level of 1.3730 for a breakdown. Yesterday, GBP grew actively and renewed local highs of August 17 but then the “bullish” dynamics weakened.

Yesterday’s macroeconomic statistics from United Kingdom and the USA were ambiguous, and therefore did not have a noticeable effect on the pair. Thus, British investors were disappointed with the July decrease in consumer lending with a simultaneous decrease in the number of approved mortgage applications from 80.272K for June to 75.2K for July.

On Wednesday, investors are awaiting the release of data on British and US PMI for August. Also, the US will publish a preliminary report on ADP Nonfarm Payrolls.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands steadily decline. The price range narrows, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous trading dynamics in the short term. MACD noticeably slows down its growth. However, it maintains a poor buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic has reversed downwards and indicates the prospect of a correctional decline in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.3750, 1.3800, 1.3857, 1.3900.
Support levels: 1.3700, 1.3650, 1.3600, 1.3552.

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Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after the breakdown of 1.3700 with the target at 1.3600. Stop loss – 1.3750. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 1.3800 with the target at 1.3900. Stop loss – 1.3750.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on GBP/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
Brent Crude Oil: OPEC+ decision supports oil quotes 03.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Brent Crude Oil for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Benchmark Brent Crude Oil prices grow, trading around $72.77 a barrel.

Market participants positively assess the efforts of OPEC+ to gradually return the oil production levels to the values of the end of 2019. However, at the moment, this figure is still below even the established quota. August data increased by 290K barrels against 400K, determined by the cartel members at the July meeting. Representatives of the organization noted that this was because some countries were still unable to maintain high energy production levels due to reduced production capacity and technical failures. First of all, they were talking about Nigeria and Angola.

The recent OPEC report also demonstrated commitment to the current agreements, according to which the volume of oil production began to rise smoothly. In Algeria, the figure rose to 0.91M barrels per day, in Iraq – to 2.49M, in Kuwait – to 2.43M, in Libya – to 1.17M, in Saudi Arabia – to 9.40M. In the United Arab Emirates, production rose to 2.72M barrels.

Support and resistance

Globally, the asset moves within the corrective downward channel. Technical indicators keep a buy signal: Indicator Alligator’s EMA fluctuations range actively expands, and the histogram of the AO oscillator grows in the buy zone.

Resistance levels: 75.10, 77.47.
Support levels: 70.72, 66.96.

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Trading tips

After global growth or consolidation above the local resistance level of 75.10, buy positions with the target at 77.47 are relevant. Stop loss is 74.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

After reversal and decline or consolidation below the local support of 70.72, sell positions with a target at 66.96 are relevant. Stop loss is 72.00.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: trading signals for commodities

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USD/CHF: the instrument shows corrective growth 06.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today during the Asian session, the USD/CHF pair actively grows, retesting the level of 0.9150 a breakout.

A noticeable pressure on USD is exerted by the report on the US labor market for August, published last Friday. US Nonfarm Payrolls were only 235K, while the consolidated market forecast assumed an increase of 750K. At the same time, the corresponding July indicator was revised upwards from 943K to 1,053K.

On Monday, Trading activity is expected to be low as US markets are closed for Labor Day. Nevertheless, investors have enough macroeconomic statistics at their disposal for further analysis. Important data from Switzerland will appear only on Tuesday when the August unemployment rate is released and the dynamics of foreign exchange reserves.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands are moving flat. The price range narrows slightly from above, remaining spacious enough for the current level of market activity. The MACD indicator stretches along the zero line, forming ambiguous trading signals. Stochastic shows a similar picture, developing ambiguous dynamics approximately in the center of its working area.

It is better to wait to clarify signals from technical indicators to open new trading positions for the instrument.

Resistance levels: 0.9166, 0.9200, 0.9241, 0.9273.
Support levels: 0.9126, 0.9100, 0.9073, 0.9036.

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Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 0.9166 with the target at 0.9241. Stop loss – 0.9126. Implementation period: 2-3 days.

Short positions may be opened after the breakdown of 0.9126 with the target at 0.9073. Stop loss – 0.9160.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CHF and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
GBP/USD: GBP is developing "bearish" momentum 08.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

GBP is slightly declining against USD during today's Asian session, developing a strong "bearish" momentum formed the day before. In addition to a number of technical factors, as well as growing corrective sentiment in favor of USD, GBP/USD was pressured on Tuesday by Boris Johnson's intentions to take an unpopular measure and raise taxes for a number of taxpayers in order to overcome the current health system crisis in the country. Johnson's proposal has already been criticized by his party members, but the COVID-19 epidemic has exposed significant healthcare system problems not only in the UK.

Meanwhile, yesterday's macroeconomic statistics from the UK provided minor support to GBP. Halifax House Prices index in August accelerated from +0.4% to +0.7% MoM. On an annualized basis, however, the indicator slowed down from +7.6% YoY/3m to +7.1% YoY/3m, which turned out to be better than market forecasts at +5.5% YoY/3m.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show active growth. The price range is narrowing rapidly, reflecting a sharp change of trend in the ultra-short term. MACD reversed downwards having formed a weak sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic shows a more confident and protracted decline and is currently rapidly approaching its lows, indicating the risks of oversold GBP in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.3800, 1.3857, 1.3900, 1.3960.
Support levels: 1.3750, 1.3700, 1.3650, 1.3600.

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Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 1.3750. Take-profit – 1.3650. Stop-loss – 1.3800. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 1.3750 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.3800 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 1.3900. Stop-loss – 1.3750.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on GBP/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
EUR/USD: EUR develops weak corrective impetus 10.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

EUR shows insignificant growth against USD during today's Asian session, developing a weak corrective impetus formed yesterday. Since the beginning of the week, EUR has been actively declining, like most other currencies paired with USD, waiting for new drivers to appear on the market.

Yesterday, investors were focused on the results of the meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) on the interest rate, which was expected to clarify the issue of reducing the existing incentives. The key interest rate remained unchanged at zero level, while the deposit rate remained at the level of –0.5%. As for the volume of ECB's pandemic emergency purchase program (PEPP), it has also been kept at the same level of EUR 1.85T. The volume of the quantitative easing program is supposed to remain unchanged at least until March, provided that the existing economic and epidemiological risks remain. As before, the European regulator promised to closely monitor the development of the situation and immediately take measures if necessary.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show weak growth. The price range is narrowing, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is declining keeping a weak sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic keeps a downward direction but is already approaching its lows, which indicates the risks of oversold EUR in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.1849, 1.1900, 1.1950, 1.2000.
Support levels: 1.1800, 1.1741, 1.1700, 1.1657.

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Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 1.1849. Take-profit – 1.1950. Stop-loss – 1.1800. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The return of a "bearish" trend with the breakdown of 1.1800 may become a signal for new sales with the target at 1.1741. Stop-loss – 1.1835.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
AUD/USD: AUD remains under pressure 13.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

AUD is trading near 0.7350 in the Asian session.

Market activity at the beginning of the week remains moderate, as the macroeconomic calendar is almost empty. Traders continue to discuss the prospects for reducing existing incentives from the world's leading financial regulators. It is assumed that this week the European Central Bank (ECB) may announce a reduction in the volume of the quantitative easing program, which will put additional pressure on the US Fed, which is still inclined to take a wait-and-see attitude.

The positive influence on the market sentiment had a telephone conversation between the US and Chinese presidents last Friday. Joe Biden and Xi Jinping spoke in favor of preventing competition from escalating into new trade conflicts, which strengthened the position of the Asia-Pacific region currencies.

Noteworthy statistics from Australia will appear on the market only tomorrow, when the speech of the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Philip Lowe, and the Assistant Governor (Economic) Luci Ellis.

Support and resistance

On the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are gradually reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing from below, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is going down, keeping a fairly stable sell signal (located below the signal line). The indicator is about to test the zero level for a breakdown. Stochastic retains a steady downtrend but is located in close proximity to its lows, which indicates the risks of oversold instrument in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.7370, 0.7414, 0.7443, 0.7475.
Support levels: 0.7328, 0.7300, 0.7268, 0.7221.

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Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 0.7328. Take-profit – 0.7268. Stop-loss – 0.7360. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.7328 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.7370 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 0.7443. Stop-loss – 0.7328.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation on AUD/USD and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
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