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USD/JPY: USD falls ahead of the publication of the Fed's Minutes 7.07.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

USD shows a moderate decline against JPY in trading in Asia, updating local lows since June 22.

The development of the "bearish" trend for the instrument is facilitated by yesterday's publication of uncertain macroeconomic statistics from the US, which turned out to be worse than market expectations. The data reflected a further decline in business activity in the services sector in June, although it is still at a fairly high level.

In turn, JPY rose slightly after the publication of data from Japan. In May, Labor Cash Earnings increased by 1.9% YoY, accelerating from +1.4% YoY. Experts expected a slowdown to +1.3% YoY. But today's statistics from Japan turned out to be negative. Leading Economic Index in May slowed down from 103.8 to 102.6 points, and Coincident Index corrected from 95.3 to 92.7 points.

Support and resistance

In the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing, pointing to the appearance of multidirectional dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is going down, keeping a fairly stable sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic is showing similar dynamics; however, it is rapidly approaching its lows, which signals the risks of an oversold USD in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 110.81, 111.00, 111.34, 111.70.
Support levels: 110.38, 110.18, 109.83, 109.29.

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Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 110.38. Take-profit – 109.83. Stop-loss – 110.70. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 110.38 as from support followed by a breakout of 110.81 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 111.34. Stop loss – 110.50.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
“You can earn 5-7% a month on Forex, without constantly checking monitor”. Interview with the winner of the April’s Battle of Traders from Magnitogorsk

He is a successful businessman with clear goals, who is used to rely primarily on himself. He has a favorite job, family and he is really interested in trading, which adds adrenaline to his life and brings additional income. This is how we can briefly describe the winner of the April’s Battle of Traders – Alexei Alexandrovich Bardakov from Magnitogorsk. He has been trading Forex since 2015. He admits that at first it was bumps and bruises, that’s why he wanted to quit trading, but overcame his doubts and came up with his own individual trading strategy. The winner’s trading portfolio includes currency pairs, indices, precious metals, cryptocurrencies. He emphasizes that the market is not limited with EUR/USD, one can earn money using any instruments. Alexey Alexandrovich does not trust analysts too much, relies on his own considerations about the market and predicts an active rise in cryptocurrency prices. Which principles of the winner’s trading strategy can be called fundamental, why monitoring the Battle can not only help the participants, but also prevent their success, as well as how one can earn 5-7% profit per month on Forex – all of these details we present in a big interview with Alexey Alexandrovich. We present you a script of an interesting conversation, from which you can borrow valuable ideas for yourself and achieve the same impressive results on your own trading account.

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- Alexey Alexandrovich, please tell us how did you learn about the Battle of Traders and why did you decide to take part in it?

- I know the guys from My Everest project (myeverest.org) for a long time. Following their recommendation, roughly speaking, I found your company. And everything on your webpage is clear and understandable.

- As far as I know, you previously participated in the Battle, but were not among the winners. Did your experience help you to win in April?

- Actually, I took part three times, achieved different results. As you can understand, that this is not an ordinary trade, this is a demo account, therefore, I put all eggs in one basket and took the risk. The first two times I realized that there was a chance to win. The third time I devoted a little more time.

- What did you feel and what were your first words when you knew about your victory in the Battle of Traders? Did you share this news with someone?

- To be honest, the emotions were absolutely positive: I couldn’t say that I was so proud of my trade and myself, but I was very pleased. I took part in the Battle not for the prize, but to understand what niche I could occupy in this traders’ community.
There was no one to share the news with, because I have no friends involved in trading. Nobody would understand me. If a person is not a trader, how can I explain the essence of my victory?

- Alexey Alexandrovich, how long did it take you to register in the Battle of Traders? What’s your feedback about the conditions of the Battle held by NPBFX?

- Speaking about the terms of the Battle, I have nothing to complain about, everything is fair, everything is fine. It took about a minute, probably one and a half to subscribe for the Battle and open a demo account.

- How often did you monitor other participants’ accounts? Was it somehow useful to you?

- Sure, it is very useful. However sometimes monitoring makes everything worse. If, in general, one does not pay attention to the frantic jumps in people’s deposits, then, generally speaking, it can be helpful. If you chase after someone, then such monitoring interferes more than helps. It depends on the person. It helped me personally. Almost every day, I followed the participants and tracked their trading, how they trade, manually or using automated algorithms.

- You were able to increase your initial deposit of $5000 by 29 times (up to $147,872)! Please tell us more about your trading strategy: what is it based on?

- I probably won’t be able to explain it briefly. In principle, the market conditions are the same for everyone, everyone sees it the same way, but, at that, trades differently. I don't know, maybe my experience helped me, maybe it was my intuition. But intuition can hardly be the key tool, of course, because everything is tough there. Everything is the same as within any other trading strategy – stop loss, take profit. Everything is probably like in classical trading. When I trade on my demo account, I don’t treat thousands of dollars as money. I don’t count $100 as 7,500 rubles: I consider $100 like 100 score units on my deposit. It helps. Honestly, I would never trade like this on a real account. If, according to my strategy, it is clear that there is a 80-90% chance that a trade will be profitable, I can increase the risks, but on real account this risk cannot be more than 5% of the deposit. Well, I have 2% risk per trade. Although I will not say that I wasn’t nervous at all while trading on demo account, I still wanted to win and to not go into the red, this is a competition. Therefore, a certain adrenaline was present, even though it was a demo account.

- During the Battle you made 36 transactions. As can be seen from the statement, you had quite diverse trading portfolio: currency pairs, American and European indices, silver, oil. How do you choose assets for trading?

- It doesn’t matter to me which instrument to choose, if I see what gives me profit, I go into it and buy or sell. Therefore, I do not trade just on EUR/USD. Many traders use just one instrument and then try to catch their goldfish. I observe the whole market, because it is alive, it is dynamic. And it’s not just EUR/USD that can be used in trading. If an instrument allows me to enter the market, I enter. The only exception is that I don’t trade stocks, because I don’t really like gaps there, but any other instruments can be used. I can trade any instrument except stocks.

- You also had transactions with Litecoin and Ethereum. In your opinion, are there any peculiarities in trading crypto? How active are you as a crypto trader?

- I trade cryptocurrency like any asset, because it also functions according to market trends. I entered cryptocurrency market because its conditions were favorable. Still, I am not an active crypto trader, I rarely deal with cryptocurrency on charts, although it also gives me profit. I believe that cryptocurrency will grow, and the levels will be much higher than now, and the price will be even higher.
I have a “cold” wallet: I just buy and hold cryptocurrency. I invested $5000 in cryptocurrency. I started investing in it when cryptocurrency was worth around $6000- $8000. I sold a part for $20,000 and now I'm starting to buy little again. Even if it falls by 2 times from today’s price, then I will not lose much, $5000 max. I doubt that cryptocurrency will leave the market.

- The most profitable trade on your account was 20 lots of silver (XAG/USD) and brought more than $42,000 in profit. Do you use indicators, technical analysis, or ready-made trading indicators to determine the entry point?

- No, I trade only on technical analysis. I don’t have any indicators, I don’t even understand them and I don’t know how they work. I don't use them. There is a trend – I work on it.

- Do you use mobile version of MT4 or trade through the desktop version of the terminal?

- I use mobile version, but I do not trade from it: I track my transactions. If I am unable to approach PC, I track transactions on my mobile phone. After that I close or don’t close, depending on the market conditions.

- How much time per day did you usually spend on trading in the Battle?

- Specifically, I devoted a lot of time to the last Battle. You can see that the volumes of trades were huge there. Accordingly, you should be extremely precise to cope with such a volume. It was very hard to wait for a profit for transaction with silver, when I saw that the price was already so high. I don't usually enter into transitions like this. Usually the process consists of a trade entry, stop loss and take profit. Then, at most, I can track the progress of my transactions anywhere using my phone. And here I had to spend a lot of time and effort. It was not easy and simple.

- Perhaps you already managed to get acquainted with other popular services of our company, for example, with NPBFX Analytical portal?

- I am not guided by any analytics at all. I would not say that I completely ignore it, but I just do not use it directly in trading. I can pause trading, for instance, for six months, I do not have transactions for six months or a year, so I cannot apply fundamental analysis. That is, an analytical data may be helpful for someone, but not for me. All my trades are short, with a maximum duration of a week. I can take two trades, if it makes sense, and in this case analytics usually is not helpful, when you are told that the euro rate will rise, and you see from technical analysis that it will fall. Such contradictions challenge trading, so I haven’t taken analytics into account for more than two years. That’s it.

- The global economy situation, lockdowns due to the coronavirus pandemic, in your opinion, have somehow changed the structure of financial markets in the last year and a half?

- I do not see any significant changes. The only rumor is that volatility has increased, but it seems to me that it has not. My strategy has not changed. For trade – nothing has changed, for the global economy – maybe there are certain changes.

- $1000 has already been credited to your real NPBFX trading account. Do you plan to conduct the same trading on it as on a demo account in the Battle?

- I think I’ll be more careful. I don’t trade like that on a real account. The first time I participated in your Battle, I lost control and almost lost my real deposit. Of course, I managed to get out from this situation, but that was risky.

- Alexey Alexandrovich, how long have you been trading Forex? How did you study?

- I have been trading for a very long time, 5 years, since 2015. The first time I got more bumps and bruises. There was even a time when I wanted to give up and calm down. Somehow I managed to cope with this feeling. I have been trading on real account and earning real money for the last couple of years. I learned step by step by myself, sometimes I analyzed the experience of other traders. Trading is still an individual matter, everyone builds their own strategy and trades as best they can. There are traders who earn 5-7-10-20% a year, and they are satisfied with it, but for someone 20% a day is not enough.

- In your opinion, what qualities should a person possess to become a successful trader?

- At least – there should be no emotions, everything should be based on a careful thought. You have a strategy and rigid rules. You must obey them, even if you invented them for yourself. If you do not obey, it means that you don’t have a strategy, if there is no strategy, there is no trade. Generally speaking, you should be disciplined, that’s it.

- How would you answer the question: “Today Forex for me is ...?”

- This is not my main profession, but it is an opportunity to make money. But this is not my main occupation. If you want to make good money on Forex, you must dismiss all other activities. If you are satisfied with 2-3% per month, then you can not be distracted from your main work, and 5-7% can be earned without checking up your computer at all. I can do it, however, someone can’t afford that.

- Tell us a little about yourself: what do you do besides trading, what is your profession?

- I am a constructor. I am the CEO of a construction engineering organization. A businessman, in short.

- Please tell me, where are you from, what is the name of the city where you live? How old are you, are you a family man?

- Russia, Magnitogorsk. Yes, I am a family man, I have children. I am 40, I have been trading since 35.

- Do you have any hobbies, besides Forex market?

- My hobby is my job. I love my job, sometimes it doesn't like me very much. I am not the kind of a man who enjoys knitting or collecting stamps.

- Alexey Alexandrovich, would you advise your friends and acquaintances to join the Battle of Traders? Why?

- Probably, I would advise if I had friends who trade.

- What would you like to wish NPBFX and the participants of the next Battle of Traders?

- I would like to wish the participants a victory, because this is so satisfying. Of course everyone there cannot win. But it is possible to win. Really. Without any particular knowledge I took part and first place. I am an ordinary trader, and I will emphasize that trading is not my profession, not my main job. I had a month of vacation, and I subscribed and made certain effort to win. Victory be yours! Stay calm and proceed!

- Alexey Alexandrovich, thank you for participating in the Battle and answering the questions. May your trading on real account with NPBFX be as successful as it was in your contest account in April!
 
AUD/USD: updating December lows 9.07.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

AUD has fallen tentatively against USD on Friday being near new record lows since December 2020. The instrument lost in value the day before, despite the publication of rather weak statistics on jobless claims in the US, which, in part, was provoked by technical factors of the correction.

The main reason for the sale of AUD was the statements of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor, Philip Lowe, who hastened to calm the markets, agitated by the recent decision of the regulator to cut the quantitative easing program to 4B dollars a week. The official stressed that in the face of existing economic risks, the Australian economy still needs support, and the RBA will try to respond to the changing situation with some anticipation. Lowe also paid special attention to the labor market, noting that the pace of growth in wages has slowed down recently and does not allow inflation to reach target levels.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate active decrease. The price range is expanding; however, it fails to catch the surge of the "bearish" sentiment at the moment. MACD is going down preserving a moderate sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic keeps a confident downtrend but is already approaching its lows, which indicates the risks of oversold instrument in the ultra-short term.

Current showings of the indicators do not contradict the further development of the downtrend in the short term.

Resistance levels: 0.7443, 0.7475, 0.7500, 0.7531.
Support levels: 0.7400, 0.7373, 0.7338, 0.7300.

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Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the rebound from the support level of 0.7400 with the subsequent breakout of 0.7443. Take-profit – 0.7531. Stop-loss – 0.7400. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The breakdown of 0.7400 may serve as a signal to new sales with the target at 0.7300. Stop-loss – 0.7443.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
USD/JPY: US dollar is recovering 12.07.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today, USD is trading in both directions against the Japanese yen, consolidating near 110.00 and developing a weak upward momentum that formed at the end of last week. Despite the general weakness of the American currency in the market, it looks rather confident against the yen.

It is also curious that macroeconomic statistics from Japan, published on Monday, practically do not support the yen. However, the volume of orders for engineering products in May showed an increase of 7.8% MoM after rising by 0.6% MoM last month. Analysts were expecting a rise of only 2.6% MoM. YoY, the indicator added 12.2% YoY after growing by 6.5% YoY in April. Market forecasts assumed a slowdown to 6.3% YoY.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands on the D1 chart are reversing horizontally. The price range is widening from below in response to a strong "bearish" surge last week. MACD is going down preserving a stable sell signal (histogram being located under the signal line). Also, the indicator is preparing to test the zero line on the breakdown. Stochastic, having reached its minimum values, reversed upwards, signaling the emergence of corrective growth in the ultra-short term.

To open new transactions, one should wait for additional signals to appear.

Resistance levels: 110.38, 110.81, 111.00, 111.34.
Support levels: 110.00, 109.52, 109.29, 109.00.

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Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 110.38. Take-profit – 111.00. Stop-loss – 110.00. Implementation period: 1-2 days.

The return of "bearish" dynamics with the breakdown of 110.00 may become a signal to new sales with the target at 109.52 and stop-loss at 110.25.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
USD/CHF: ambiguous trading dynamics 14.07.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today, during the Asian session, the USD/CHF pair shows ambiguous trading dynamics, consolidating near the level of 0.9200, which the “bulls” did not manage to consolidate above.

On Tuesday, consumer sentiment for the dollar was supported by statistics on consumer inflation, which showed further growth despite the forecast of a slowdown. The June index accelerated from +0.6% MoM to +0.9% MoM, while analysts expected only +0.5% MoM. Also, the indicator rose from +5% to +5.4% YoY, which also was worse than the market forecasts of +4.9% YoY.

Manufacturing inflation statistics from Switzerland met the expectations of experts. The producer and import price index for June slowed sharply from +0.8% MoM to +0.3% MoM and decreased from +3.2% YoY to +2.9% YoY.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands are moving flat. The price range remains practically unchanged but remains spacious enough for the current level of activity. The MACD indicator is going down, maintaining a poor sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). Stochastic, having retreated from its lows, is rising moderately, signaling in favor of the development of corrective growth in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.9200, 0.9237, 0.9273, 0.9300.
Support levels: 0.9153, 0.9100, 0.9050, 0.9000.

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Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of the level of 0.9200 with the target at 0.9300. Stop loss – 0.9153. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions may be opened after the rebound from the level of 0.9200 and the breakdown of the level of 0.9153 with the target at 0.9100. Stop loss – 0.9190.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CHF and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
USD/CAD: the instrument is retreating from local highs 16.07.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today, during the Asian session, the USD/CAD pair declined, retreating from the local highs from April 21, renewed yesterday.

Investors are in a hurry to close profitable long positions on the instrument, and also react to yesterday's speech by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in Congress, showing some disappointment. The official repeated that the US economy was far from tightening monetary policy, so the market revised its medium-term plans, and even the most daring forecasts now did not imply a reduction in the quantitative easing program until next year.

On Friday, statistics from Canada on the dynamics of wholesale sales for May and the volume of started construction of houses for June will be published. In the US, retail sales data for June will be released. Also, traders are awaiting the publication of the Consumer Confidence Index from the University of Michigan for July.

Support and resistance

Bollinger bands are growing steadily on the daily chart. The price range expands from above, letting the “bulls” renew local highs. The MACD indicator is showing growth, maintaining a relatively strong buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic maintains the upward trend but is rapidly approaching highs, signaling that USD may become overbought in the ultra-short term.

It is better to keep the current long positions until the signals from technical indicators are clarified.

Resistance levels: 1.2600, 1.2650, 1.2700.
Support levels: 1.2554, 1.2500, 1.2439, 1.2400.

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Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after the rebound from 1.2600 and the breakdown of 1.2554 with a target at 1.2439. Stop loss – 1.2610. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 1.2600 with the target at 1.2700. Stop loss – 1.2554.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation on USD/CAD and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CAD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
AUD/USD: AUD hits record lows 19.07.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

AUD has seen a fairly strong decline against USD during the Asian session, hitting record lows since December 7, 2020.

USD continues to gain momentum, despite the fact that macroeconomic statistics and statements by officials do not always contribute to the growth of "bullish" sentiment. In particular, last Friday, the market received statistics on the dynamics of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. In July, the indicator unexpectedly fell from 85.5 to 80.8 points, while analysts expected it to rise to 86.5 points.

Last week, the Chair of the US Fed Jerome Powell made a speech, in which he noted that the American economy still needs incentives, and therefore the regulator will not rush to reduce the quantitative easing program, as well as to raise the interest rate.

Macroeconomic background on Monday remains quite calm, so trading activity is likely to remain low.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a stable decrease. The price range is expanding, but it fails to catch the development of "bearish" trend at the moment. MACD is declining keeping a weak sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic retains stable downward direction but is located in close proximity to the zero level, which indicates the oversold AUD in the ultra-short term.

Existing short positions should be kept until technical indicators are clarified.

Resistance levels: 0.7400, 0.7443, 0.7475, 0.7500.
Support levels: 0.7371, 0.7338, 0.7300, 0.7265.

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Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 0.7371. Take-profit – 0.7300. Stop-loss – 0.7410. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.7371 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.7400 may become a signal for new purchases with the targets at 0.7475–0.7500. Stop-loss – 0.7350.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
EUR/USD: EUR remains under pressure 21.07.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

EUR shows a slight decline against USD during the Asian session, developing a fairly stable "bearish" trend, which pushes the instrument to new local lows since April 5. The atmosphere of risk distrust still prevails in the market. Investors are alarmed by another increase in the incidence of coronavirus in the world, fearing that the pace of economic recovery may slow down again, and some countries will introduce new restrictive measures.

Yesterday's macroeconomic statistics from Germany and the eurozone did not provide any additional support for EUR. Producer Price Index in Germany accelerated in June from +7.2% YoY to +8.5% YoY, in line with analysts' forecasts. On a monthly basis, the indicator slowed down from +1.5% MoM to +1.3% MoM, being slightly better than forecasts at +1.2% MoM.

At the moment, investors are preparing for the meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB), which will take place tomorrow. Analysts do not expect any changes in the vector of the regulator's monetary policy, but comments from officials and updated forecasts for the near future will be very interesting.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a moderate decrease. The price range expands from below, making way for new local lows for the "bears". MACD is declining keeping a weak sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic is declining somewhat more confidently, indicating growing risks of oversold EUR in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.1800, 1.1846, 1.1900, 1.1950.
Support levels: 1.1754, 1.1700, 1.1657, 1.1600.

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Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 1.1754. Take-profit – 1.1657. Stop-loss – 1.1800. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 1.1754 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.1800 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 1.1900. Stop-loss – 1.1754.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic indicators

Regular monitoring of global economic indicators plays an important role in trading, because of their strong influence on FOREX market and possibility to provoke significant price fluctuations. For the convenience of traders the "Education" section on the NPBFX portal contains the most popular and significant world economic indices with a detailed description, their possible impact on the economy and exchange rates (GDP, consumer price index, unemployment rate, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), etc.).

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
AUD/USD: the instrument is consolidating at local highs 23.07.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

AUD shows ambiguous dynamics of trading against USD during the Asian session, consolidating near the local highs and the level of 0.7400. The instrument is supported by the weak positions of USD, which is under pressure from the disappointing macroeconomic statistics from the US on jobless claims.

At the same time, the further growth of the pair is hindered by the data from Australia, released today. Commonwealth Bank Services PMI in July fell sharply from 56.8 to 44.2 points, which turned out to be worse than the forecasts. Commonwealth Bank Manufacturing PMI also fell from 58.6 to 56.8 points. In turn, the Composite PMI in July fell from 56.7 to 45.2 points.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a moderate decrease. The price range is narrowing from below, reflecting the instrument's attempt to reverse the downtrend in the short term. MACD indicator is growing preserving a weak buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic shows a slightly more confident uptrend, signaling in favor of the development of the "bullish" trend in the ultra-short term.

Technical indicators do not contradict the further development of the full-scale uptrend in the short and/or ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.7400, 0.7443, 0.7475, 0.7500.
Support levels: 0.7338, 0.7300, 0.7265.

AUDUSD230721-33.png


AUDUSD230721-333.png


Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 0.7400. Take-profit – 0.7500. Stop-loss – 0.7350. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The return of a "bearish" trend with the breakdown of 0.7338 may become a signal for new sales with the target at 0.7265. Stop-loss – 0.7375.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
AUD/USD: AUD is going down 26.07.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

AUD has been declining against USD in the morning session, developing the "bearish" momentum that formed at the end of last week, when the pair reversed downwards near its local highs since July 19.

The development of the downtrend, in addition to technical factors for the correction of long profits at the end of the week, was facilitated by weak macroeconomic statistics from Australia. Commonwealth Bank Services PMI in July fell sharply from 56.8 to 44.2 points against the background of the introduction of new restrictive measures in certain regions of the country. Commonwealth Bank Manufacturing PMI for the same period also fell from 58.6 to 56.8 points, which was worse than projected.

In addition to the start of the two-day meeting of the US Fed, investors are awaiting the publication of statistics on consumer inflation in Australia for Q2 2021 on Wednesday. It is expected that prices may show a slight increase, which, however, is unlikely to put additional pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) when choosing a vector of monetary policy.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate a stable decrease. The price range is narrowing, remaining rather spacious for the current level of activity in the market. MACD indicator is trying to reverse upwards and form a new buy signal (the histogram has to consolidate above the signal line). Stochastic maintains a steady uptrend and practically does not react to the appearance of a correctional decline in recent days.

Resistance levels: 0.7400, 0.7443, 0.7475, 0.7500.
Support levels: 0.7338, 0.7300, 0.7265, 0.7200.

AUDUSD260721-33.png


AUDUSD260721-333.png


Trading tips

To open short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 0.7338. Take-profit – 0.7265. Stop-loss – 0.7370. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.7338 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.7400 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 0.7475. Stop-loss – 0.7360.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on AUD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.
 
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