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The thing about complexity
There are 2 aspects to how the complexity issue will affect you. The trading system is precise and this is something you really really WANT to have in a trading system, don't you?
In order to be precise you must convey details. This does not mean that the details are complex but they must be expressed in a language. Here is where you begin to throw in shades of the understanding issue.
My two boys each had the same 10th grade math honors teacher. These boys both excel in their studies and one liked the teacher and did well and the other did not like the way the teacher taught and though he did well he struggled all year and did not do as well as he usually does. The older one who likes the teacher conveyed that he was astonished at this and cannot believe that his brother does not like the teacher in the first place.
I think that both boys were right about their preference. They were both genuine as illustrated by the rest of their academic attitudes and accomplishments. But where does that leave the teacher? She has demonstrated her ability to convey the material in a way that some do just fine with and yet others may even fail.
Another interesting aspect comes to mind about the older brother. He struggled with his English teacher. Not just one, but pretty much all of them and even did a summer class in college - you guessed it, English Comp. Now mind you this boy can express himself JUST FINE!! He even had a job doing telephone surveys in which expression plays a key role and moved way up in what they rank by, "completions".
I believe his English teachers may have been at least passable in their craft. We all struggle with one aspect of learning and excel in others. Is this indicative of the arrangement or clarity of the material or how we interact with it? I think there are aspects of both in play.
However the existence of successes by some individuals based on the same material exhibits that the material is at the very least passable. There is always room for improvement when it comes to language. Large corporations have whole departments which explain and re-explain things. How many times has someone said to you in the last month, "Did you mean .... when you said ...?"
What's the problem? Surely you meant to be clear. You may have stated it in the absolutely best phraseology possible. Or perhaps not but the fact remained that what you thought was clear was sent back for an explanation. Anybody reading this have a significant other or children or in-laws? Enough said!
I think the problem is that our individual makeup and language interpretation make a fair jumble of things on the whole.
Now comes the other aspect of complexity in this issue of trading systems. The market is complex. Trading without a system is complex. Trading with a system is complex. If this was not the case we would
ALL be retired because we have computers which can duplicate definable tasks. Is this not a truth?
What's the hottest thing these days in Forex? Robot trading systems! If I've been asked one consistent question it is, "Can you program it?". The answer is no. This system was designed to take the performance to a level that is beyond what an algorithm can accomplish but achieve what a human can. It has accomplished this goal.
Now that means that what is required is a practice of manual system methods. I make no pretense that this is an automated system. You apply the steps yourself. You have tools, you have a structure and you have definite results coming out of this practice.
Is this strictly a mathematical calculation? If it were then it would fall under the category of definable tasks for a computer.
Mathematical relationships are involved in the construction of the tools which has already been done. The part that is not definable for a computer is a visual measurement you make using these tools. This is where the market's complexity comes into play.
But this does not translate into a complex task. In fact it is very simple. That does NOT mean easy - you do have to think and observe and meet criteria. If you don't keep track you can get stopped out as almost happened to me were it not for rpaco who, from across the pond and another well let's just call it "time zone", spotted my mistake using his same tools and let me know and I was spared some loss and embarassment.
A method has been devised whereby the frequency of the market, which is entirely based on fibonnacci in all aspects of time and size and formation, has been "heard". Possibly for the first time ever this natural occurence has been put together in a unified analysis for all those elements.
Just follow the steps. Have you followed what I wrote in the preceeding section about the complexity of understanding? You think you do. The way we would find out is if I devised a systematic method whereby you would be required to arrive at consistent, defineable results. Would it work? The answer is yes, for the determined.
I'll not bother with that system, I've got enough to do but the consistent, definable result of the trading system was proven by rpaco showing me that I had been awake too many hours in a row and had stumbled at the very first criteria so my trade had no basis. The trade was bound for failure but the signal for success.
Speaking of proof, I get asked for it all the time and that is expected. I get a chuckle out of some of this. If I were to show a set of pictures of an indicator which consistently showed itself catching bounces and reported that this indicator has a 50% success rate at hitting an exact bounce point it would be all the rage. That is all the proof that would be required and endless folks would try it. The fact is I have a whole toolbox full of those.
But if I show a set of pictures which shows this same phenomenon where consistently the indicator is seen catching retracements and then say that it is going to catch the prime retracement on the actual trend reversal this is suspect. Is that because I say it has 100% success or is that because I charge a fee for the trading system which will put you on location for that signal?
I'll tell you what. I'll just keep posting pictures. They are supposed to be worth a thousand words. Now I have in my first section severely lowered the percieved value or "market" for words so we'll see how much weight the continued flow of pictures have but we'll just make more and flood the market.
Ultimately you have to decide. Do I believe this looney? If I do then how hard am I willing to work to achieve those results?
I am sure this will cause more questions to be asked rather than answer a single one for some people but that is just what makes the world go round.
Cheers,
Cyclon
