Upcoming Signals Overview (July 3 ~ 8, 2011)

Henry Liu

Former FPA Special Consultant
Messages
473
Hey Folks:

Considering that July 1 is the start of a new quarter, new month, and new beginning for the second half of 2011, market reacted exactly as one would expect, with optimism and risk appetite...

The most important development for the week was undoubtedly the sovereign debt situation in Greece. With the passing of both bills (Asterity Plan and Implementation) in Greece Parliament, investors can feel relieved as default has been averted. The next important market mover will be ECB's rate decision on Thursday, followed by NFP from US on Friday.

Since most high impact news events are scheduled at the beginning of the month, next week will be one of the busiest week with 13 tradable releases, and that is after discounting Monday as a holiday (U.S. Independence Day).

Here's list of tradable releases:

1. Sunday July 3, 2011 - 9:30pm EST - AU Retail Sales m/m
Historical Chart & Data

2. Tuesday July 5, 2011 - 12:30am EST - AU Interest Rate
Historical Chart & Data

3. Tuesday July 5, 2011 - 4:30am EST - UK Services PMI
Historical Chart & Data

4. Wednesday July 6, 2011 - 10:00am EST - US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
Historical Chart & Data

5. Wednesday July 6, 2011 - 6:45pm EST - NZ GDP q/q
Historical Chart & Data

6. Wednesday July 6, 2011 - 9:30pm EST - AU Employment Change
Historical Chart & Data

7. Thursday July 7, 2011 - 7:00am EST - UK BOE Interest Rate
Historical Chart & Data

8. Thursday July 7, 2011 - 7:45am EST - EU ECB Rate Decision
Historical Chart & Data

9. Thursday July 7, 2011 - 8:15am EST - US ADP NFP Employment
Historical Chart & Data

10. Thursday July 7, 2011 - 8:30am EST - EU ECB Press Conference
Historical Chart & Data

11. Thursday July 7, 2011 - 10:00am EST - CA IVEY PMI
Historical Chart & Data

12. Friday July 8, 2011 - 7:00am EST - CA Employment Change
Historical Chart & Data

13. Friday July 8, 2011 - 8:30am EST - US Nonfarm Payroll Employment
Historical Chart & Data

... I will probably not trade on Sunday for the Retail Sales report from Australia, but if you are around, trade it because it is probably a good market mover.


Thanks,



henry-sig.gif
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Hey folks,

Sorry I didn't update my calendar for the Sunday evening release - I was away for the weekend and didn't realize. The calendar has not been updated with the release times above.

If you don't already have it, it gives you the following:
  1. Translates the time into your local timezone
  2. Allows you to see your personal appointments alongside when the news releases are happening
  3. And if you have a Google Calendar account - notifications to your mobile phone via SMS (for free!)

Instructions (you only need to add this once and it will appear every week)

Adding to iPhone:
  1. Send an e-mail to your iPhone with the e-mail body of "webcal://www.google.com/calendar/ical/06nlopqpjr7nnehhgc99igak6k%40group.calendar.google.com/public/basic.ics" (without the quotes and remove the extra space before the '.com')
  2. On your iPhone, open the e-mail and click on the link.
  3. When prompted "Subscribe to the calendar: 'FPA's Trading Signals'?", click "Subscribe".
  4. Open your calendar and it will say "The Calendar 'FPA's Trading Signals' has been added"
  5. Click "Done".


Adding to your own Google Calendar and setting SMS notification (see accompanying screenshots attached):
  1. Log into your Google calendar and go to "Other Calendars"
  2. Type in "06nlopqpjr7nnehhgc99igak6k@group.calendar.google.com" (without the quotes and the .com should be one word - you'll need to remove the space)
  3. Now click on the drop-down for your newly added calendar "Henry Liu's Trading Signals". Click on "Calendar settings"
  4. Click on the tab "Notifications". Fill in the reminders you'd like - E-mail, SMS and Pop-up.

If you don't see "SMS" as a drop-down option, you need to configure the settings for your mobile phone in Google. Go to your "Settings" (top right) and choose "Mobile Setup" or check Google Calendar Help.

I update this calendar based on news listed in the FPA & ForexFactory calendar (up to a few months in advance) and then update every week shortly after the official FPA trading signals come out, so you should only need to add the calendar once and from there on you'll get reminders every week to help you news trade :)

Hope this helps,

Huwee.
 

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Au employment

Hi,
I was wondering how tradable might Australian employment change be just 2 days after rate statement, as this is said to be the culmination of all indicators in a currency?

Yiehom
 
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