Upcoming Signals Overview (November 29 ~ December 3, 2010)

Henry Liu

Former FPA Special Consultant
Messages
473
Hey folks:

I hope you all had a wonderful Thanksgiving holiday, or if you didn't celebrate Thanksgiving, a wonder weekend. This week is going to be more news oriented, but it won't be like a typical first week of the month, due to the end of the year schedule...

Looking at this week's major events, I'd focus on the ECB Trichet's Press Conference on Thursday and U.S. Non-Farm Payroll on Friday. Whatever trend the market ended up with, will probably last until the end of 2010...

Well, enough ranting, let's look at this week's tradable events.

1. Tue Nov. 30, 2010 8:30am EST - CA GDP m/m
Historical Chart & Data

2. Tue Nov. 30, 2010 7:30pm EST - AU GDP q/q
Historical Chart & Data

3. Wed Dec. 1, 2010 4:30am EST - UK Manufacturing PMI
Historical Chart & Data

4. Wed Dec. 1, 2010 8:15am EST - US ADP NFP Change
Historical Chart & Data

5. Wed Dec. 1, 2010 10:00am EST - US ISM Manufacturing PMI
Historical Chart & Data

6. Wed Dec. 1, 2010 7:30pm EST - AU Retail Sales m/m
Historical Chart & Data

7. Thu Dec. 2, 2010 7:45am EST - ECB Interest Rate Decision
Historical Chart & Data

8. Fri Dec. 3, 2010 4:30am EST - UK Services PMI
Historical Chart & Data

9. Fri Dec. 3, 2010 7:00am EST - CA Employment Changes
Historical Chart & Data

10. Fri Dec. 3, 2010 8:30am EST - US NFP (Nonfarm Payroll)
Historical Chart & Data

... There are also few untradable news releases, and with this week being a news driven week, we should especially stay away from 2nd tier news because market may be very unpredictable.

On a side note: With NFP being expected at 145K+ and Private Employment at 150K+, I believe a certain expectation of risk appetite sentiment should take place, prior to the NFP release. Which means that I'd expect some significant weakness in the JPY, if we don't get any risk aversion news to change the short-term sentiment...

In other words, if we don't get more sovereign debt news and the Koreans don't go to war, plus China dials back on raising the reserves or hiking interest rate, market is extremely likely to sell off JPY (LONG GBPJPY, USDJPY etc...) this week...

Thank you,


henry-sig.gif
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Thanks for your hard work Henry !

Folks,

I've put together a Google Calendar of Henry's tradable news releases which you can add to your iPhone or your own Google Calendar. This gives you the following:
  1. Translates the time into your local timezone
  2. Allows you to see your personal appointments alongside when the news releases are happening
  3. And if you have a Google Calendar account - notifications to your mobile phone via SMS (for free!)

Instructions (you only need to add this once and it will appear every week)

Adding to iPhone:
  1. Send an e-mail to your iPhone with the e-mail body of "webcal://www.google.com/calendar/ical/06nlopqpjr7nnehhgc99igak6k%40group.calendar.google.com/public/basic.ics" (without the quotes and remove the extra space before the '.com')
  2. On your iPhone, open the e-mail and click on the link.
  3. When prompted "Subscribe to the calendar: 'Henry Liu's Trading Signals'?", click "Subscribe".
  4. Open your calendar and it will say "The Calendar 'Henry Liu's Trading Signals' has been added"
  5. Click "Done".


Adding to your own Google Calendar and setting SMS notification (see accompanying screenshots attached):
  1. Log into your Google calendar and go to "Other Calendars"
  2. Type in "06nlopqpjr7nnehhgc99igak6k@group.calendar.google.com" (without the quotes and the .com should be one word - you'll need to remove the space)
  3. Now click on the drop-down for your newly added calendar "Henry Liu's Trading Signals". Click on "Calendar settings"
  4. Click on the tab "Notifications". Fill in the reminders you'd like - E-mail, SMS and Pop-up.

If you don't see "SMS" as a drop-down option, you need to configure the settings for your mobile phone in Google. Go to your "Settings" (top right) and choose "Mobile Setup" or check Google Calendar Help.

I'll try to update this calendar every week after Henry releases his weekly review, so you should only need to add the calenar once and from there on you'll get reminders every week to help you trade successfully :)

Hope this helps,

Huwee.
 

Attachments

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Henry, You Still Like USDJPY Long?

I got in today around 83.65. I was wondering if you still liked the trend?
Thanks!
 
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