Henry Liu
Former FPA Special Consultant
- Messages
- 473
Hey folks:
Sorry for the delay in posting the upcoming signals overview, but I decided to take it easy this week since I had to write 12 analysis (and trade them) last week, so I just couldn't resist the extra long-weekend off
Anyways, we only have one tradable release for this week.
1. Wed November 10, 2010 7:30pm EST - AU Employment Change
Historical Data & Chart
Of course there are lots of untradable releases, such as the Trade balances, Home Loan, Housing Start, etc... most of them are just 2nd tier news that won't affect the market unless we get a huge deviation...
Therefore, if you are planning to take some time off from news trading, or take your family on a mini vacation, this week would be ideal.
***
As the week started carrying the momentum from last Friday's NFP, I have to say that by now it is clear that most traders are second guessing whether or not Bernanke did the right thing by announcing the 800 Billion QE 2 measure on Wednesday... Or the real question is, if big Ben had access to Friday's data, which showed 2 months of positive revision plus a stellar headline release, would he and the rest of the FOMC still go ahead with the QE 2? or would they have delayed it until 2011?
I think the answer is very obvious and it is being played out in the currency market this week as traders unwind their EURO long trades and begin to take on USD... this may turn into a trend if we keep on getting positive US news in the next few days or weeks, and in the meantime, my focus will be to go LONG on anything USD... but one word of caution, there would be no chasing of trades... As market is still very volatile, any one with a bit of patience would do well.
Until next time,
Sorry for the delay in posting the upcoming signals overview, but I decided to take it easy this week since I had to write 12 analysis (and trade them) last week, so I just couldn't resist the extra long-weekend off
Anyways, we only have one tradable release for this week.
1. Wed November 10, 2010 7:30pm EST - AU Employment Change
Historical Data & Chart
Of course there are lots of untradable releases, such as the Trade balances, Home Loan, Housing Start, etc... most of them are just 2nd tier news that won't affect the market unless we get a huge deviation...
Therefore, if you are planning to take some time off from news trading, or take your family on a mini vacation, this week would be ideal.
***
As the week started carrying the momentum from last Friday's NFP, I have to say that by now it is clear that most traders are second guessing whether or not Bernanke did the right thing by announcing the 800 Billion QE 2 measure on Wednesday... Or the real question is, if big Ben had access to Friday's data, which showed 2 months of positive revision plus a stellar headline release, would he and the rest of the FOMC still go ahead with the QE 2? or would they have delayed it until 2011?
I think the answer is very obvious and it is being played out in the currency market this week as traders unwind their EURO long trades and begin to take on USD... this may turn into a trend if we keep on getting positive US news in the next few days or weeks, and in the meantime, my focus will be to go LONG on anything USD... but one word of caution, there would be no chasing of trades... As market is still very volatile, any one with a bit of patience would do well.
Until next time,
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