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WorldWatch - August 2012

Discussion in 'Market Predictions and Reports' started by f-man, Aug 3, 2012.

  1. f-man

    f-man 4Xangels Representative

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    Africa
    AlgeriaUncertainty continues over President Bouteflika's successor.
    AngolaExports of crude oil will soon regain momentum.
    BotswanaThe short-term economic outlook weakens as global growth slows.
    CameroonThe economic outlook remains broadly positive.
    Congo, D.R.The political situation remains fragile as violence escalates in the country's east.
    Cote d’IvoireSizeable foreign debt relief gives a boost to the risk outlook.
    EthiopiaEconomic growth remains brisk but rapid inflation continues to generate risk.
    GabonState control and corruption remain major concerns.
    GhanaExchange rate risk has increased, threatening macroeconomic stability.
    KenyaA recent terrorist attack highlights the risks to the security environment.
    LibyaDespite a short postponement, a National Assembly election looks set to go ahead.
    MalawiA resumption of IMF funding signals a decline in economic risk.
    MauritiusThe monetary authorities take protective measures against increased external risks.
    MoroccoForeign investment remains relatively buoyant, despite global uncertainty.
    MozambiqueGovernment programs are threatened by reduced fiscal resources.
    NamibiaThe domestic economy remains positive amid heightened global uncertainties.
    NigeriaEconomic growth is slowing but progress is made on a new petroleum bill.
    SenegalThe president's coalition wins the election, boosting reform prospects.
    Sierra LeoneForecast rapid economic growth is augmented by strong inflows of foreign financial assistance.
    South AfricaGrowth forecasts have been revised downwards amid weakening economic prospects.
    SudanContinuing disagreements with South Sudan weigh heavily on the risk outlook.
    TanzaniaGrowth prospects have been marginally revised down.
    TunisiaThe economic situation is weak amid rising political tension.
    UgandaThe recommencement of monetary policy easing will help support economic growth.
    ZambiaThe short-term outlook remains under pressure from negative political and economic factors.
    ZimbabweNegotiators reach agreement on a new draft constitution.
    Asia Pacific
    AfghanistanThe government prepares for an uncertain future without NATO-led combat troops.
    AustraliaThe mining sector shows strong growth but is exposed to a slowdown in China.
    BangladeshPayment risks remain elevated amid struggling exports and protests over wages.
    CambodiaThe dominance of the ruling party was reaffirmed by its one-sided victory.
    ChinaData indicates a slowdown in heavy industry but uncertainty over data quality adds to concerns.
    FijiFlooding and deteriorating external demand impact economic growth.
    Hong KongD&B downgrades Hong Kong's country risk rating amid economic concerns.
    IndiaThe economy suffers amid persistent inflationary pressures, high interest rates and political paralysis.
    IndonesiaWeaker external demand is a source of concern.
    JapanPost-tsunami reconstruction continues to assist the economic trajectory.
    Korea (South) Fragile external and domestic demand undermines the economic outlook.
    MalaysiaTensions rise ahead of the election as the ruling coalition's hold is threatened.
    MyanmarThe risk outlook has stabilised amid further broad improvements.
    NepalFailure to meet the deadline to draft a constitution plunged the country into deeper political crisis.
    New ZealandThe outlook remains stable but increasing signs of a slowdown warrant caution.
    PakistanThe political situation has deteriorated once again.
    Papua New GuineaPolitical uncertainty is high ahead of election results.
    PhilippinesElectronics exports, a high revenue contributor, are still shrinking.
    SingaporeThere are mixed signals in terms of domestic demand.
    Sri LankaA change in policy stance helps ease sizeable external risks.
    TaiwanLatest statistics confirm an economic slowdown.
    ThailandAntipathy towards the government increases again.
    VietnamPolicymakers turn their focus to stimulating economic growth.
    Eastern Europe
    AlbaniaAdverse external developments take their toll on the economy.
    AzerbaijanThe economic outlook remains mixed as the non-oil sector grows.
    BelarusImproved short-term economic prospects stabilise the risk outlook.
    Bosnia & HerzegovinaThe risk outlook improves following budget approval.
    BulgariaStrong interlinks with the crisis-hit euro zone weigh on the outlook.
    CroatiaThe risk outlook is threatened by worsening economic factors.
    Czech RepublicMonetary easing follows deteriorating growth prospects.
    EstoniaOfficial data indicate a significant slowdown in growth in 2012.
    GeorgiaGrowth remains buoyant despite downside risks.
    HungaryThe outlook improves as the IMF returns to the negotiating table.
    KazakhstanRobust economic expansion is anticipated, despite some negative developments.
    Kyrgyz RepublicOverall growth remains negative but a recovery is expected.
    LatviaEconomic activity expands at a satisfactory pace.
    LithuaniaD&B changes the country ratings trend from 'deteriorating' to 'stable' on the back of unexpected expansion.
    MacedoniaThe country is relatively well placed to withstand a shock from the euro zone.
    PolandInflation accelerates despite a marked slowdown of economic growth.
    RomaniaD&B downgrades Romania's country risk rating following heightened political risk.
    Russian FederationPressing social responsibilities reduce the state's flexibility in a low oil price environment.
    SerbiaPolitical risk declines but economic risk is still high.
    Slovak RepublicFiscal tightening should result in an improved budgetary performance in 2012.
    SloveniaThe outlook remains negative despite approval of the government's austerity budget.
    TajikistanGrowth remains significant but will be slower than 2011.
    TurkmenistanThe booming gas sector continues to drive strong economic growth.
    UkraineEconomic activity slows overall.
    UzbekistanA strong fiscal position supports high public expenditure but economic freedom is lacking.
    Middle East
    BahrainThe economy slows considerably following socio-economic problems.
    EgyptThe risk outlook is undermined by the prospect of a prolonged period of political turmoil.
    IranInternational sanctions increase domestic pressure to stop uranium enrichment.
    IraqThe political situation remains fragile and uncertain as the government's authority is challenged.
    IsraelFurther signs emerge of a domestic economic slowdown.
    JordanDespite stronger-than-expected growth, other economic factors weigh on the risk outlook.
    KuwaitA static political environment is undermining the risk outlook.
    LebanonFallout from the Syrian conflict weighs negatively on the risk outlook.
    OmanThe risk outlook is positive but undermined by growing political tension.
    QatarQatar is set for strong fiscal expansion.
    Saudi ArabiaThe long-awaited mortgage law is approved against a backdrop of regional turmoil.
    SyriaTensions increase with former ally Turkey after downing of Turkish jet.
    UAESubsidies begin to put pressure on public accounts.
    YemenYemen struggles with multiple challenges.
    The Americas
    ArgentinaDraconian policies undermine popular support for the administration.
    BoliviaThe short-term risk outlook is dominated by escalating socio-political unrest.
    BrazilThe expansionary monetary policy is maintained despite inflationary pressures.
    CanadaThe economy experiences a shaky start in 2012.
    ChileThe economy is performing well and the president's popularity is improving.
    ColombiaThe weakening global economy, increasing security threats and rising political risks weigh on the risk outlook.
    Costa RicaThe outlook deteriorates as fiscal consolidation stalls.
    CubaThe nascent private sector continues to expand.
    Dominican RepublicThe centre-right will rebuild relations with the IMF following its presidential victory.
    EcuadorGrowth will be lower this year than previously forecast.
    El SalvadorPolitical risks rise as the ruling party is defeated in congressional elections.
    GuatemalaMining law reforms aim to raise government revenue to fund security spending.
    HondurasShort-term growth prospects remain positive amid healthy demand for exports.
    JamaicaThe new government aims for a budget surplus through increased taxation.
    MexicoThe outlook for the political risk environment remains under downward pressure.
    NicaraguaDynamic domestic demand leads to economic growth.
    PanamaElevated political risk impacts adversely on the overall country risk rating.
    ParaguayMonetary policy will remain neutral in light of a weaker global outlook.
    PeruThe government unveils another fiscal stimulus package.
    Trinidad & TobagoInflationary problems continue to worsen.
    USARecent indicators suggest the economic recovery has lost momentum.
    UruguayThe outlook continues to be broadly positive on the back of expanding exports.
    VenezuelaMembership of MERCOSUR finally seems likely.
    Western Europe
    AustriaLatest data indicate that the economy looks set for a contraction.
    BelgiumIndicators suggest sluggish economic activity through the remainder of the year.
    CyprusCyprus becomes the fifth euro-zone country to ask for EU financial assistance.
    DenmarkThe economy is exposed to the euro zone crisis but remains a safe haven.
    FinlandEconomic activity is a mix of expansion and contraction.
    FranceTax increases target wealthy individuals and large businesses.
    GermanyPessimism in the manufacturing and service sectors grows.
    GreeceWeak domestic demand weighs on the country's outlook.
    IcelandThe economy shows signs of consistent progress.
    IrelandFlagging global demand weighs on the country's recovery.
    ItalyWeak business confidence weighs on the country's outlook.
    LuxembourgFollowing a sharp downturn, the economy has shown further signs of weakness.
    MaltaFaltering exports weigh on the country's outlook.
    NetherlandsPolitical risk is elevated in the run up to snap elections.
    NorwayEconomic growth is robust but a series of strikes disrupt oil output.
    PortugalEconomic indicators point to subdued economic activity.
    SpainSpain's economic health depends on measures directed towards EU integration.
    SwedenEconomic growth surprises on the upside, despite a drop in industrial production.
    SwitzerlandExport growth will slow amidst the escalating euro-zone crisis.
    TurkeyThe growth outlook looks uncertain as downside risks remain high.
    United KingdomImbalances in the UK economy delay the recovery process.
     

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