Sive Morten Blog

CRYPTO * FOREX * GOLD

DEBT CEIL TANTRUM May is rather specific month not only for Bitcoin and whole cryptocurrency industry, but for all global markets. The asset-specific valuation now takes the back seat, clearing space for more important fundamental factors – fears and nervousness around US debt ceil saga and potential default.  This is rather big topic and what you …

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30K – TO BREAK OR NOT TO BREAK? This month is passing under the sign of banking turmoil in the US. We could argue whether this is a full-sized crisis or just few “occasional” cases of banking insolvency, but this is definitely the precedent. The precedent that keeps frozen ~ 500 Bln of Fed/Treasury cash …

Continue reading “Bitcoin Fundamental Briefing, April 2023”

No doubts, the major topic that are interested everybody is for how long the BTC rally stand.  Optimists tell that this is major trend reversal and start seriously discussing of 50K, 60K and even 70K upside targets. While more careful traders still have some doubts, suggesting that rally might be temporal because of banking crisis …

Continue reading “Bitcoin Fundamental Briefing, March 2023”

Concerning Regulation February has become a specific month for Bitcoin market. After the big FTX crush, investors have got a strong psychological punch and were not able to wake up from knockdown for some time. But, at some moment everything has changed. The US economy starts to show signs of inflation slowdown, while job market, …

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ARE THINGS GOING TO CHANGE? Since the beginning of the January Bitcoin and other crypto assets show great upside performance, so that market participants start asking – wether the bottom is achieved and market is in the stage of direction changing? There are many reasons to think so. Inflation shows decreasing for 2nd consecutive month, …

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Careful look in 2023 Previous two reports we’ve dedicated to the changing market sentiment, and right in time have shown that splash of positivity in October was mostly emotional and had no foundation. November month has confirmed our conclusion. We suggest that market makes big mistake, trying to look at cryptocurrencies with “old eyes”, segregating …

Continue reading “Bitcoin Fundamental Briefing, December 2022”

CRYPTO’s DOWNFALL? Today, guys, I would like to start our discussion with the final words of our previous monthly report: All major BTC analysis agencies, such as Glassnode, Bloomberg Intelligence, Arcane research,LookIntoBitcoin, a lot of private analysts start talking about the Pivot. Media gives more headlines on this subject as well.  As it was correctly been said above …

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“UPTOBER?” So, another month has passed. Bitcoin has not shown any significant dynamic, mostly coiling between 19 and 20K levels. But although market stands the same on a first glance, recent headlines tell that investors’ sentiment is changing slowly. Despite that BTC price has not changed – big events have happened in October. Few central …

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Time of uncertainty I do not know, guys, have you signed that in recent month there were significantly less amount of analysis and especially forecasts on Bitcoin perspectives, even from big banks. I’ve checked for the last month’s new and found no single more or less argumentative analysis or forecast on BTC price, or any …

Continue reading “Bitcoin Fundamental Briefing, September 2022”

TO SHOW WHAT IS HIDDEN… So, another month is almost past. Market society now stands focus on coming Wyoming meeting. Here and there we’re getting gentle hints that maybe cryptocurrencies are ready to reverse up, as market stands too oversold, comes to 200 MA etc. But we should not pay attention to this. The fundamental …

Continue reading “Bitcoin Fundamental Briefing, August 2022”