Bitcoin Price Analysis

So for those of you who have been following the trend of Bitcoin for a while now, btc levels have been in a downward trend since the start of 2018. However recently it looks as though that trend has started to reverse in 2019, after a year of slow and painful decline in 2018. In this BTC analysis article, I will be conducting a brief Bitcoin price analysis for you. I will look at the 200 day moving average Bitcoin, Bitcoin chart analysis including the support and resistance zones Bitcoin, and Bitcoin market analysis.

So here is the current Bitcoin trend graph in USD, showing the price over the last year. I have marked with the blue lines what I think are the critical levels of Bitcoin support and resistance on the below Bitcoin technical analysis graph.

If you look at the above Bitcoin price trend analysis graph, currently we are $5738. It looks like we have a Bitcoin support price at the $5050 level, and will start hitting some stiff resistance at around $6200. If we can break through that then it’s likely we should hit $7000 relatively shortly after.

I would be surprised if we broke through the $6200 resistance on the first attempt and expect us to bounce off and hover between $5100 and $6200 for a while first. However, the trend is quite clearly a bullish one from about February 2019 onwards.

For those of you who look at moving averages as well as Bitcoin support resistance graphs, those are positive too. We broke above the Bitcoin 200 day moving average, 100 day moving average, and 50 day moving average in March for the first time since 2018. All of these are very positive indicators of the current btc trend. The current Bitcoin moving average for the past 200 days is $5115. It is worth noting that rather than plot your Bitcoin chart with moving averages you can look at the Bitcoin trend line at https://www.barchart.com/crypto/quotes/%5EBTCUSD/technical-analysis.

I also find the Mayer Multiple a great tool for Bitcoin price technical analysis, and a great alternative to Bitcoin technical analysis charts. For those who are not familiar with the Mayer Multiple as a form of Bitcoin trend analysis, it is the multiple of the Bitcoin price and the 200-day moving average. At the time of writing the Mayer Multiple is 1.31 and has historically been higher than current levels just 34.89% of the time. This is an excellent indicator of just how bullish the Bitcoin price trend is currently.

Market sentiment seems to have shifted also. Anyone who spends a significant amount of time on ‘crypto twitter’ is likely to have noticed a shift of sentiment from the majority of the large accounts from bearish to bullish. This is also reflected in the Bitcoin price technical analysis/Bitcoin graph analysis they have been posting.

If we are now in an uptrend instead of a downtrend, this is good for those wanting to buy in. The majority of Bitcoin trading analysis experts would advise against trying to catch the exact bottom (which we may have seen already based on Bitcoin chart technical analysis) and start buying in once an upwards trend is confirmed. It looks like this is starting to occur so although the price has almost doubled from the $3200 lows, if an upward trend has been confirmed, the $5000s (where we are currently), could still be a great place to buy in. So if you have been sitting on the sidelines until things start looking more bullish, I would say we have reached that point based on the above.

In conclusion, while a pullback is likely based on the btc technical analysis, given how bullish things are looking based on the Mayer Multiple, moving averages, and chart analysis Bitcoin should break through the above resistance shortly, and continue the uptrend we seem to be in.

Of course, Bitcoin is extremely volatile and often moves in ways that are extremely difficult to predict (except in hindsight), so none of this should be taken as investment advice. Please make sure you do your research before buying Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency and make sure you have the temperament required to weather any storms we may incur. For example, if you buy at current levels and we do fall through the support in the above Bitcoin cash price analysis, you should be willing to hold all the way back down to $3200 and potentially even further.

Author Profile

Fat Finger

Hello everyone!

My name is Phat Fin Ge, but most people just call me Fat Finger or Mr. Finger.

Many years ago, I was a trader on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. I became so successful that my company moved me to their offices on Wall Street. The bull market was strong, but my trading gains always outperformed market averages, until that fateful day.

On October 28th, 1929, I tried to take some profits after Charles Whitney had propped up the prices of US Steel. I was trying to sell 10,000 shares, but my fat finger pressed an extra key twice. My sell order ended up being for 1,290,000 shares. Before I could tell anyone it was an error, everyone panicked and the whole market starting heading down. The next day was the biggest stock market crash ever. In early 1930, I was banned from trading for 85 years.

I went back to Hong Kong to work at my family's goldfish store. Please come and visit us at Phat Goldfish in Kowloon, only a 3 minute walk from the C2 MTR entrance.

I thought everyone would forget about me and planned to quietly return to trading in 2015. To my horror, any error in quantity or price which cause a problem kept getting blamed on Fat Finger, even when it was a mix up and not an extra key being pressed. For example, an error by a seller on the Tokyo Stock Exchange was to sell 610,000 shares at ¥6 instead of 6 shares at ¥610,000. That had nothing to do with me or with how fat the trader's finger was, but everyone kept yelling, "Fat Finger! Fat Finger!" In 2016, people blamed a fat finger for a 6% drop in the GBP. It really was a combination of many things, none to do with me or anyone else who had a wider than average finger.

Now that I can trade again, I'm finding forex more interesting than stocks. I've been doing some research on trading forex and other instruments and I'll be sharing it here.

If you see any typing errors, you can blame those on my fat finmgert. If you see any strange changes in price, it's not my fault.