Recent content by Zilvinas

I don't know, Sive, I'm not an expert or prophet, but I believe what I see. I you look in history on every FX pair and compare it with CB's hike cycles, you see, that major pair moves always happens before rate cycle (first hike rate). I tried to think why. And made a simple conclusion. Just...

Because in speculation (not investing) trading is about expectations not the facts (buy the rumours, sell the facts). Everyone already knew that NFP probably would be good and they traded into that, and then after NFP took a profit. The same will be with FED on Wednesday if FED won't be hawkish...

Sive, this Friday won't be US jobs report ;)

Hi, Sive, why do you always as measure for CAD direction use Brent but not WTI? Brent is from the North Sea and WTI is from the North America. Shouldn't be WTI oil chart a better comparison to CAD than Brent? Thanks.

Hi, Sive, maybe this trendline starting from this week will trigger slow but gradual upside action to Fib 38,1 and then on Dec the 8th with B&B sell we go down to Parity? :)

Sive, if I understand correctly, you expect in medium term Kiwi to go down, because of H&S? But in GOLD PRO WEEKLY(AUD/USD) , November 07-11, 2016 which you analyzed Aussie, you expect in medium term Aussie to go up. But if is it really possible? Aussie and Kiwi are just like "sisters", because...

Sive, you probably meant 1 hike in Dec. 2016 not in 2017?

Hi, Sive, what do you think of forming possible H&S and DRPO buy on D1 GBP/USD? Their completed targets would be great opportunities to short Cable in August after BOE easing?

I didn't quite understand this statement. Shouldn't it be that if EU and UK economies go bad, colapse etc. then gold go up, because of uncertainty and turmoil, so positive for gold?

Hi Sive, I still don't get it, why just of one piece information market rejects a possible hike in summer. You can say that economy in one sector is deteriorating when in that same sector you have a downward trend (I mean for example 3 times bad NFP data). Another thing, what doeas markets...

Just interesting point that this week not only WPP and MPP coincides, but also almost perfectly coincides all Weekly PP and all Monthly PP. Hmm, I don't remeber when was the last time I ever seen that :)

Hi Sive, could we assume the same conclusion for Gold retracement as on your analysis on JPY, I mean CFTC report? Cause if we look closely on Gold CFTC report we could see that the last time "long" positions were so high is in 2012. At the same time on monthly chart we can see that in 2012 gold...

Hi, Sive, can we consider DRPO buy on D1 USD/JPY after monday close? I'm confused about monday candle - it opened down by 3x3, and closed up by 3x3, but do we really can such a candle (especially with a gap) consider as valid? I'm very wary of that :/

Hi Sive, what do you think about possibility of D1 Gartley sell? If I look at W1 and D1 charts closely, I see that D1 Gartley sell target expansion 100 coincides with fibo W1 38.1, MPS1 and ABCD W1 target 100 is nearby (which should be for retracement after such high bullish reversal on W1...

Or... if I rephrase this sentence in another way: "FED would like to safe as more room for further hawkish steps as possible..". So, if we put this sentence like that what possible another (alternative) view we can get? IMO, then logical chain maybe would be that after ECB massive stimulus plus...