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[Antony_NPBFX]

USD/CHF: wave analysis on 22/05/2017

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The trend is downward.

On the 4-hour chart the downward trend within the third wave 3 of the highest level is forming. Locally the downward momentum as a third wave of the lower level (iii) of iii of 3 is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will lower to the level of 0.9700. The level of 0.9760 is critical for this scenario.

Trading scenario

Sell the pair from the correction below the level of 0.9760 with the target at 0.9700.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 0.9760 will let the pair to grow to the level of 0.9860.

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[Antony_NPBFX]

AUD/USD: wave analysis on 25/05/2017

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair can grow.

The downward correction as a wave ii of 3 of the highest level has formed. Locally the first entering wave of the lower level (i) of iii is ending. If the assumption is correct, the pair will grow to the level of 0.7740 and further after the end of the correction (ii). The level of 0.7330 is critical for this scenario.

Trading scenario

Buy the pair after the end of the correction above the level of 0.7330 with the target at 0.7740.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price below the level of 0.7330 will let the pair to lower to the level of 0.7250.

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[Antony_NPBFX]

GBP/USD: general review on 29/05/2017

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The rate of the pound rapidly fell against USD in the end of the previous week dropping by 230 points. The pair closed trading at the level of 1.2808 which is the lowest closing price in the previous four weeks. The fall of GBP was caused by the polls taken in view of the upcoming UK election. The positions of the conservative wavered after Manchester events.

Last week the price failed to overcome an important level of 1.3030 which would have given the "bulls" an additional impulse. Today is a holiday in the UK and USA, therefore no activity in the market should be expected due to low liquidity. This should keep the pair GBP/USD within the narrow range and in the consolidation regime.

In the USA FOMC statement on the interest rate was more cautios than expected. The regulator pointed out that the increase of interest rates will depend on the information received by it. Therefore the release of the data on the nonfarm payrolls schedulled in the end of the week shall determine yet another direction for USD. The pound, in turn, may be under pressure in view of the news about another referendum in Scotland on its exit from the UK in case of the victory of the dominant party at the election on June 8.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 1.2830, 1.2800.

Resistance levels: 1.2850, 1.2900, 1.2930, 1.2975, 1.3015, 1.3045.

Trading tips

Short positions may be opened from the level of 1.2790 with target at 1.2700 and stop-loss at 1.2820.

Long positions may be opened from the level of 1.2850 with targets at 1.2900 and stop-loss at1.2820.

The period of implementation is 2-5 days.

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[Antony_NPBFX]

USD/JPY: wave analysis on 01/06/2017

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair can lower.

The downward correction ii of C, within which the zigzag (a)(B)(c) is developing, is forming. Locally the wave (с), within which the first wave of the lower level i of (c) has formed, is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will lower to the level of 109.50 after the end of the correction ii. The level of 111.92 is critical for this scenario.

Trading scenario

Sell the pair from the correction below the level of 111.92 with the target at 109.40.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 111.92 will let the pair to grow to the level of 112.80.

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[Antony_NPBFX]

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[Antony_NPBFX]

WTI Crude Oil: technical analysis on 06/06/2017

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on WTI Crude Oil for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

WTI Crude Oil, D1

On the D1 chart the instrument broke through the middle line of Bollinger Bands and continued the movement to their lower border. The fall of the price is hindered by a strong support level of 47.15. MACD histogram is near the zero level, and its volume is minimal. Stochastic is in the neutral zone close to the border with the oversold zone and gives a signal for the opening of short orders. The lines of the oscillator are directed downwards.

WTI Crude Oil, H4

On the H4 chart the instrument is moving in the narrow range formed by middle and lower lines of Bollinger Bands. MACD histogram is in the negative zone keeping a signal for the opening of sell positions. Stochastic is in the neutral zone keeping a signal for the opening of short positions, and the lines of the oscillator are directed downwards.

Key levels

Support levels: 47.15, 46.50, 45.80, 44.00.

Resistance levels: 48.00, 49.30, 50.00, 51.70, 51.70, 52.50, 53.00, 53.50, 54.10, 54.50, 55.00.

Trading tips

According to technical indicators, short positions could be opened from the current level with targets at 46.50, 45.80 and stop-loss at 47.50. The period of implementation is 1-2 days.

Long positions may be opened from the level of 48.20 with target at 49.00 and stop-loss at 47.80. The period of implementation is 1-2 days.

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[Antony_NPBFX]

AUD/USD: wave analysis on 07/06/2017

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The upward trend is still strong.

Presumably, the third wave iii of 3 of the higher level is forming. A downward correction of the lower level (ii) of iii was completed, and the development of an upward impulse as a wave (iii) began. If the assumption is true, it is logical to expect continuation of the pair's growth to the levels of 0.7650-0.7740. The level of 0.7370 is critical for this scenario.

Trading scenario

Buy during the corrections, above the level of 0.7370 with a target in the range of 0.7650-0.7740.

Alternative scenario

Breakdown of the level of 0.7370 will allow the pair to continue the decline to the level of 0.7260.

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[Antony_NPBFX]

USD/CAD: general review on 12/06/2017

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Last week in Canada the index of business activity was worse than the forecast, moreover, the negative statistics on the number of building permits and the volume of construction of new houses were released. On the other hand, pessimistic data was balanced by the speech of the head of the Bank of Canada Stephen Poloz, who assessed positively the Canadian economy? and by the figures from the labor market, which turned out to be better than the forecast. The fall in oil quotes over the past two weeks weakens the Canadian dollar and in the dynamics of the pair USD/CAD is expressed as a flat with the range of 100 points: between the levels of 1.3410 and 1.3510. The lower limit of the black channel on H4 serves as support level and also has been working as an uptrend line for three months.

In the first half of this week there are no releases from Canada. The main impact on the movement of the pair will be investors' reaction to the decision of the US Federal Reserve on the interest rate on Wednesday, June 14, at 20:00 (GMT+2).

Today from the important news traders should pay attention to the data from the US at 19:00 (GMT+2) the auction of 10-year treasury notes and at 20:00 (GMT+2) the report on the implementation of the US federal budget – the forecast involves an increase in the budget deficit by more than 80 billion US dollars.

Most likely, before the decision of the Fed, investors' activity will not be enough to change the trend, therefore in the next two days, we expect the consolidation of the pair.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 1.3510, 1.3580, 1.3640, 1.3710.

Resistance levels: 1.3410, 1.3380, 1.3300, 1.3220.

Trading tips

Short positions can be opened at the market price with targets at the levels of 1.3410, 1.3380 and a stop loss at 1.3500.

Alternative scenario: long positions from the level of 1.3510, targets – 1.3580, 1.3640, stop loss – 1.3450.

The implementation period is two to three days.

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Make right trade decisions on sell or buy USD/CAD and other popular instruments using trading signals on the NPBFX portal. All registered users have free access to signals from the top 10 trading indicators (MA10, BBands, Ichimoku, Stochastic, ZigZag, etc.) with also general recommendations on the portal.

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[Antony_NPBFX]

EUR/USD: wave analysis on 16/06/2017

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NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

The pair can lower.

On the 4-hour chart the third wave of the highest level 3 is developing. At the moment the downward correction as a wave iv of 3, within which the downward momentum as a wave (c) is forming, is developing. If the assumption is correct, the pair will lower to the level of 1.1100-1.1060. The level of 1.1158 is critical for this scenario.

Trading scenario

Sell the pair below the level of 1.1158 with the target at 1.1100-1.1060.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.1158 will let the pair to grow to the level of 1.1230.

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[Antony_NPBFX]

USD/JPY: general analysis on 19/06/2017

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on the USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

During the second week the USD/JPY pair is trading within the narrow range between the levels of 109.00 and 110.50. The support level 109.00 is additionally strengthened by the lower border of the blue channel on the D1. Last week the USA FRS interest rate decision and the following FOMC commentaries attracted the investors to the USD, so the USD/JPY pair reversed upwards from the 2 weeks flat.

In Friday the Bank of Japan decision to leave the interest rate on the minimal level confirmed the super mild BoJ policy, and the growth of the pair was expected, but despite all the positive got fro, the FRS the USD has suddenly fallen. The new week began with the downward gap, which confirms the investors’ uncertainty in the Yellen’s commentaries, which are diverging with the real economic situation in the USA. In addition the Japan Trade Balance data were published tonight, which was much lower than expected, which made the JPY fall faster than the weakening USD, and USD/JPY pair began this week with the strengthening.

The BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes will be published this week on Wednesday. The Fed's William Dudley speech is due at 14:00 (GMT+2) in the USA.

In the nearest two days the consolidation of the pair is expected.

Support and resistance

Support levels: 110.50, 109.00, 108.10, 107.40.

Resistance levels: 111.40, 112.50, 114.40.

Trading scenario

Open short positions at the current price with the target at 109.00 and 108.10, stop loss is at 111.60.

Buy the pair at the level of 111.40 with the target at 112.50 and 114.40, stop loss is at 110.60.

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