EUR/USD Daily update, Wed 11, August
Hi Guys,
Well, now, I think, you understand why I do not like to have any position during FOMC. When FOMC has started their minutes market just blasted up, negated all previous move down and then returned back.
At the same time, our target at 1.31 level has been achieved before FOMC.
But let's look where we are now...
On daily chart market still holds at 1.31 support. Next strong support is around 1.2960-1.3020 (roughly 1.30 area). It includes two different Fib. supports level and previous highs. I think that this is the area that market should reach and from which it can show some solid retracement to the upside.
On the hourly chart there are many interesting moments. First of all, look at price action during FOMC - strong wide-range bars in one and other direction. Very often, when market shows such bars price action holds in this range for some time. Our range is even stronger because it's not just "range" - this is a range between Weekly Pivot and Weekly Pivot support 1.
Also please note, that market has tested 1.31 twice already. It's a week support now. When it will come to it on the third time - it can break it.
ABC-top pattern shows us a target at 1.30 area that coinsides with next daily support area. And I think, that market can reach it during the current week.
Ok, conclusion as follows - trend is bearish, I would like to be a seller. The bearish bias will be in game, until market stays below weekly Pivot. I will be looking for some sell signals around 1.3175 or weekly Pivot at 1.3220. with target at 1.30/ But, again, possibly market will coiling between two Pivots for some time.