Forex majors analysis and opportunities

Usd/chf intraday: Under pressure.
Pivot 1.0055
Our Preference Short positions below 1.0055 with targets @ 0.998 & 0.9945 in extension.
Alternate Scenario Above 1.0055 look for further upside with 1.009 & 1.0125 as targets.
Comments A break below 0.998 would trigger a drop towards 0.9945
S1 0.998
S2 0.9945
S3 0.9915
R1 1.0055
R2 1.009
R3 1.0125
 

Attachments

  • usdchf.jpg
    usdchf.jpg
    169.6 KB · Views: 0
USD flat ahead of US retail sales

The U.S. dollar was flat against the yen in quiet Asia trade on Friday as investors refrained from taking lopsided positions ahead of key U.S. data later the day.

Around 0450 GMT, the dollar was at 122.61 yen, compared with Y122.62 late Thursday in New York.

The dollar had tracked a bout of selling overnight after comments by Federal Reserve officials dashed market hopes for stronger signals for a December rate increase.

Risk sentiment worsened slightly amid weakness in Tokyo stocks, with the benchmark Nikkei Stock Average down 0.8% at midday.

But the U.S. currency pared some of its earlier losses as “appetite for (dip) buying still remains strong amid expectations for a rate hike,” said Minori Uchida, head of Tokyo global markets research at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ.

Still, investors mostly sat on the sidelines ahead of U.S. October retail-sales data.

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley on Thursday declined to comment on the timing of a rate increase, though he said it was getting closer and that future rate increases would likely come at a slow pace.

Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer said Thursday a strong dollar had already delayed the Fed’s interest-rate increase, but said it “may be appropriate” for the central bank to begin raising rates next month.

Mr. Uchida said expectations for a Fed rate increase often worsens risk sentiment, especially because of the debilitating effect of U.S. monetary tightening on emerging economies.

This causes a higher dollar but also helps strengthen the yen, widely considered a safe haven in times of financial instability. As a result, “the dollar doesn’t go much higher against the yen,” said Mr. Uchida, making it top heavy around Y123 or Y124.

The euro declined to $1.0792 midday from $1.0808 late Thursday. It was at Y132.32 from Y132.52 previously.

The WSJ Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, was up 0.08% at 90.06.
 
Eur/usd intraday: The downside prevails.
Pivot 1.077
Our Preference Short positions below 1.077 with targets @ 1.067 & 1.0625 in extension.
Alternate Scenario Above 1.077 look for further upside with 1.083 & 1.086 as targets. Comments As long as 1.077 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
S1 1.067
S2 1.0625
S3 1.06
R1 1.077
R2 1.083
R3 1.086
 

Attachments

  • eurusd.jpg
    eurusd.jpg
    175.4 KB · Views: 1
USD/JPY INTRADAY: CAPPED BY A NEGATIVE TREND LINE.
Pivot 123.05
Our Preference Short positions below 123.05 with targets @ 122 & 121.6 in extension.
Alternate Scenario Above 123.05 look for further upside with 123.4 & 123.6 as targets.
Comments As long as 123.05 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
S1 122
S2 121.6
S3 121.35
R1 123.05
R2 123.4
R3 123.6
 

Attachments

  • usdjpy.jpg
    usdjpy.jpg
    174.8 KB · Views: 0
Gbp/usd intraday: The bias remains bullish.
Pivot 1.517
Our Preference Long positions above 1.517 with targets @ 1.524 & 1.5275 in extension.
Alternate Scenario Below 1.517 look for further downside with 1.514 & 1.5095 as targets.
Comments The next resistances are at 1.524 and then at 1.5275.
S1 1.517
S2 1.514
S3 1.5095
R1 1.524
R2 1.5275
R3 1.531
 

Attachments

  • gbpusd.jpg
    gbpusd.jpg
    181.1 KB · Views: 0
Usd/chf intraday: The bias remains bullish.
Pivot 1.002
Our Preference Long positions above 1.002 with targets @ 1.0095 & 1.0125 in extension.
Alternate Scenario Below 1.002 look for further downside with 0.999 & 0.9945 as targets.
Comments The RSI lacks downward momentum.
S1 1.002
S2 0.999
S3 0.9945
R1 1.0095
R2 1.0125
R3 1.015
 

Attachments

  • usdchf.jpg
    usdchf.jpg
    147.4 KB · Views: 0
AUD/USD INTRADAY: THE BIAS REMAINS BULLISH.
Pivot 0.708
Our Preference Long positions above 0.708 with targets @ 0.715 & 0.717 in extension.
Alternate Scenario Below 0.708 look for further downside with 0.704 & 0.7015 as targets.
Comments Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
S1 0.708
S2 0.704
S3 0.7015
R1 0.715
R2 0.717
R3 0.7195
 

Attachments

  • auusd.jpg
    auusd.jpg
    149.4 KB · Views: 0
EUR/GBP INTRADAY: KEY RESISTANCE AT 0.7075.
Pivot 0.7075
Our Preference Short positions below 0.7075 with targets @ 0.701 & 0.6975 in extension.
Alternate Scenario Above 0.7075 look for further upside with 0.71 & 0.713 as targets.
Comments As long as 0.7075 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.
S1 0.701
S2 0.6975
S3 0.695
R1 0.7075
R2 0.71
R3 0.713
 

Attachments

  • eurgbp.jpg
    eurgbp.jpg
    140.4 KB · Views: 0
NZD/USD INTRADAY: KEY RESISTANCE AT 0.6565.
Pivot 0.6565
Our Preference Short positions below 0.6565 with targets @ 0.65 & 0.6475 in extension.
Alternate Scenario Above 0.6565 look for further upside with 0.659 & 0.6625 as targets.
Comments As long as the resistance at 0.6565 is not surpassed, the risk of the break below 0.65 remains high.
S1 0.65
S2 0.6475
S3 0.6445
R1 0.6565
R2 0.659
R3 0.6625
 

Attachments

  • nzdusd.jpg
    nzdusd.jpg
    142.2 KB · Views: 0
USD/CAD INTRADAY: THE BIAS REMAINS BULLISH.
Pivot 1.3265
Our Preference Long @ 1.3315 with targets @ 1.335 & 1.338 in extension.
Alternate Scenario Below 1.3265 look for further downside with 1.3225 & 1.318 as targets.
Comments The next resistances are at 1.335 and then at 1.338.
S1 1.3265
S2 1.3225
S3 1.318
R1 1.335
R2 1.338
R3 1.343
 

Attachments

  • usdcad.jpg
    usdcad.jpg
    147.5 KB · Views: 0
Back
Top