Tifia Forex Broker Daily Market Analytics, Analytics and trading recommendations by Tifia Company

[Tifia FX]

Brent: oil prices rise

25/10/2017

Current dynamics

As reported on Tuesday by the American Petroleum Institute (API), oil reserves in the US last week rose by 0.5 million barrels. At the same time, stocks of gasoline and distillates dropped quite significantly: -5.8 million barrels and -4.9 million barrels, respectively.

Oil prices positively received this information after the prices rose during yesterday's trading day. The price for Brent crude oil rose by 1.7% on Tuesday to 58.27, adding about $ 1 per barrel. Brent crude futures for ICE increased by 1.7%, to 58.33 dollars per barrel.

On Tuesday, the Saudi Arabian Oil Minister confirmed his intention to do everything necessary to reduce the world's oil reserves to an average of 5-year level.

Last year, OPEC and a number of countries outside the cartel agreed on a total reduction in production of 1.8 million barrels per day. Now it is expected that at the November meeting the participants in the OPEC deal, which currently operates until the end of the first quarter of 2018, will again extend it. Oil prices also are supported by the dynamics of demand. Oil imports to India last month rose to a new high of 4.6 million barrels a day. China imported 37 million tons of oil in September (9% more than in August and 12% more in annual terms).

Analysts of the oil market forecast an even higher import of oil to Asian countries, in particular, to China and India.

Today, investors will wait for a weekly report on US reserves and oil production from the US Energy Ministry, which will be published at 14:30 (GMT). It is expected that oil and oil products stocks decreased by 2.578 million barrels last week, after a decrease of 5.731 million barrels the week before last. If the data is confirmed, the positive dynamics of oil prices will continue.

*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics


Support and resistance levels

At the beginning of today's trading session, Brent crude is trading in a narrow range near the level of $ 58.10 per barrel.

The price is rising in the ascending channel on the daily chart, the upper limit of which passes near the level of 60.00. In the event of a breakdown of the nearest resistance level of 58.80 (September highs), the target of further growth will be the resistance level of 61.50 (EMA144 on the monthly chart).

While the price is above the key support level of 54.70 (EMA200 on the weekly chart), long positions remain relevant.

The signal for the development of an alternative scenario to decline will be a breakdown of the support level of 57.00 (the bottom line of the ascending channel on the daily chart).

If the price returns to 54.70, the risks of resuming the downtrend increase with targets at 52.20 (EMA200 on the daily chart), 50.70 (the Fibonacci level 61.8% correction to the decline from the level of 65.30 from June 2015 to the absolute minimums of 2016 near the mark of 27.00), 50.00 (the lows of August), 48.75, 48.00, 46.20 (50% Fibonacci level), 44.50 (the lows of the year), 41.70 (the Fibonacci level of 38.2%).

Technical indicators (OsMA and Stochastic) on the daily, weekly, monthly charts are on the buyers side.

Long positions are preferred.

Support levels: 58.00, 57.00, 56.20, 55.55, 55.00, 54.70, 53.75, 52.20, 50.70, 50.00

Resistance levels: 58.80, 60.00, 61.50


Trading Scenarios

Sell Stop 57.75. Stop-Loss 58.30. Take-Profit 57.00, 56.20, 55.70, 55.30, 54.70, 53.75, 52.20, 50.70

Buy Stop 58.30. Stop-Loss 57.75. Take-Profit 58.80, 59.00, 60.00, 61.50

*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com

 

[Tifia FX]

EuroStoxx50: on the eve of the decision of the ECB

26/10/2017

Current dynamics

The focus of traders today is the ECB's decision on rates, as well as a follow-up press conference at which ECB leaders are expected to clarify the situation with the prospect of the QE program. It is expected that the ECB will keep the interest rate at zero level, and the deposit rate will leave negative, at the level of -0.4%.

Also, investors believe that the ECB will announce a reduction in the monthly purchases of European government bonds, supposedly from 60 billion euros to 30 billion euros, and this will be the second reduction this year.

The ECB leadership has stated more than once that stimulation can be extended, for example, for nine months, as inflation in the euro area remains weak, below the target level of just under 2.0%.

Even if the ECB declares a reduction in purchases, then, given that rates remain at the same level, in general, the monetary policy of the central bank will remain soft.

Nevertheless, the ECB can and disappoint today buyers, both the euro and European stock assets, unless it announces when it plans to complete the asset purchase program, saying that it still does not exclude any options.

On the other hand, the Eurozone economy is strong enough to cope with a gradual change in policy. The economy of the Eurozone can show the strongest annual growth since 2007, and the indicators of consumer sentiment reached the maximum marks for a decade.

Although inflation remains well below the ECB's target, the supply managers' indexes released this week showed that the employment growth rate in the Eurozone peaked in ten years. This allows us to hope that wage growth will support still weak inflation.

Thus, buying risky assets of the European stock market still looks more promising than putting the euro on further growth.

The decision on the interest rate will be published at 11:45 (GMT), the press conference of the ECB will start at 12:30 (GMT).

*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics


Support and resistance levels

After active growth in September, the current month, the EuroStoxx50 index is trading in the range near the level of 3600.0.

The positive dynamics of the EuroStoxx50 index persists while it trades above support levels of 3455.0 (EMA200 and the bottom line of the upward channel on the daily chart), 3440.0 (Fibonacci level of 23.6% of the downward correction to the wave of growth from July 2016 and from the level of 2675.0 and the bottom line of the upward trend channel on the weekly chart).

The signal to decline may be a breakdown of the support level of 3555.0 (EMA200 on the 4-hour chart, EMA50 on the daily chart).

The breakdown of the local resistance level of 3625.0 (October highs) will create prerequisites for further growth with targets at the annual maximum levels near the 3680.0, 3820.0 (absolute highs of 2015 and the upper line of the rising channel on the weekly chart).

The breakdown of support levels 3455.0, 3440.0 will be a turning point in the development of the bullish trend, which began in June 2016. The immediate goal of further decline is the support level of 3295.0 (Fibonacci level of 38.2%).

Support levels: 3590.0, 3555.0, 3455.0, 3440.0, 3415.0, 3400.0

Resistance levels: 3625.0, 3680.0, 3700.0


Trading Scenarios

Sell Stop 3570.0. Stop-Loss 3630.0. Take-Profit 3555.0, 3455.0, 3440.0, 3415.0, 3400.0

Buy Stop 3630.0. Stop-Loss 3570.0. Take-Profit 3680.0, 3700.0, 3820.0

*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com

 

[Tifia FX]

GBP/USD: pound drops against dollar after other currencies

27/10/2017

Current dynamics

On Wednesday, when a strong report on UK GDP for the third quarter was presented, the pound rose sharply in the foreign exchange market. Preliminary GDP of the UK, according to the data, in the third quarter increased by 0.4% (+ 1.5% in annual terms). The forecast was + 0.3% and + 1.5%, respectively. The data presented strengthened expectations of an increase in interest rates of the Bank of England at a meeting on November 2. The pair GBP/USD rose on Wednesday by 1% or 130 points, rising to 1.3260.

And yet, yesterday and today, the pound is down against the dollar after the other currencies, the rivals of the dollar. Despite the fact that the probability of an increase in the Bank of England's rate in November has grown, investors are less likely to believe that an increase in the Bank of England's key rate in November will lead to a series of increases. Today, the British pound / US dollar fell to its lowest level in 2.5 weeks at 1.3080, completely cutting off the growth of the pair, fixed on Wednesday.

According to many economists, the increase in November will be the only change in rates in 2017 and 2018. And this, against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar, makes it advisable to sell GBP / USD in the medium term.

The US dollar on Thursday reached its highest level for more than three months against the background of the fall of the euro and the pair EUR / USD. The index of the dollar WSJ, which displays the value of the US currency against a basket of 16 currencies, increased by 0.4%, to 87.53, the highest level since July 13.

At 12:30 (GMT) today a preliminary estimate of US GDP for the third quarter will be published.

In the previous quarter, GDP growth was +3.1%. The forecast for the 3rd quarter of this year is + 2.7%. This will be a fairly strong indicator, given the consequences of hurricanes sweeping over the country's south. GDP data will be key to the direction of the dollar's development ahead of the Fed meeting, which will be held next week and will end with the publication on November 1 of the interest rate decision.

Also, together with the GDP data, the inflationary price index and the price index for personal consumption expenditure will also be published, also for the third quarter. If the data prove to be worse than the forecast, the dollar may react with a decrease. Then, at the end of the last full trading week of the month, profit can be fixed in long positions on the dollar, which will cause its decline, including in the pair GBP/USD. If the data coincides with the forecast or will be stronger, the dollar will continue to grow.

Given the Fed's predilection for further tightening of monetary policy, the success of the US administration in implementing the new economic policy in the US (on Thursday the US Congress approved the draft budget, which would allow changes to the tax code), as well as strong macroeconomic indicators coming from the US, is likely further growth of the dollar in the medium term.

Support levels: 1.3000, 1.2975

Resistance levels: 1.3150, 1.3185, 1.3210, 1.3260, 1.3300, 1.3335, 1.3440, 1.3500, 1.3630, 1.3760

*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com

 

[Tifia FX]

USD/JPY: The Bank of Japan did not change its monetary policy

31/10/2017


Today, the Bank of Japan has decided not to change the current monetary policy and to maintain the key rate on deposits - at the level of -0.1%. The yen reacted quite restrainedly to this decision, which was, in general, the expected investors. Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said at a press conference that the bank will adhere to its plan of buying shares. "At the moment I do not think that it is necessary to change anything in the policy of managing the yield curve", Kuroda said.

For the second month in a row, the USD/JPY is developing an upward trend. A strong positive momentum continues to push the USD/JPY up to the upper boundary of the range between the levels of 108.10 and 114.40.

Today, the pair USD / JPY is trading in the upward short-term channel on the 4-hour chart, near the support level of 113.10 (the top line of the descending channel on the weekly chart, as well as the Fibonacci level of the 50% correction to the pair growth since August last year and the level of 99.90).

The signal to open short positions will be the break of the short-term support level of 112.45 (EMA200 and the bottom line of the uplink on the 4-hour chart). The goal of corrective decline is the key support level of 111.45 (EMA200, EMA144 on the daily chart, EMA50 on the weekly chart).

Nevertheless, while the USD/JPY is trading above the level of 111.45, its positive medium-term dynamics remains. In case of breakdown of the resistance level of 114.40 (October highs and the upper line of the range formed between the levels 114.40, 108.10), the target of the growth will be the level of resistance 116.00 (Fibonacci level 61.8%).

*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics


Support levels: 113.10, 112.45, 112.00, 111.45, 111.00, 110.15, 110.00, 109.20, 108.10, 107.30, 107.00, 106.50, 105.00

Resistance levels: 114.00, 114.40, 115.00, 116.00


Trading Scenarios

Buy in the market. Stop Loss 112.90. Take-Profit 114.00, 114.40, 115.00, 116.00

Sell Stop 112.90. Stop Loss 113.40. Take-Profit 112.45, 112.00, 111.45, 111.00, 110.15, 110.00, 109.20, 108.10, 107.30, 107.00, 106.50, 105.00

*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com

 

[Tifia FX]

NZD/USD: the pair remains under pressure, despite the correction

01/11/2017

Current dynamics

After the publication of data on the New Zealand labor market for the 3rd quarter, the New Zealand currency sharply increased in price during today's Asian session. According to the Bureau of Statistics of New Zealand, the unemployment rate in New Zealand fell again in the third quarter, reaching 4.6% compared with 4.8% in the second quarter. Thus, unemployment in the 3rd quarter fell to the lowest level since the global financial crisis.

Nevertheless, the growth of the NZD / USD pair is likely to be limited in the face of the strengthening US dollar.

Today (at 18:00 GMT) is expected to publish the decision of the Federal Reserve on rates. Most economists believe that the rate will be left at the current level of 1.25%. Attention of investors will be focused on the text of the press release from this meeting of the Fed.

*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics


Support and resistance levels

As a result of the active decline at the end of last month the NZD/USD again reached an important support level of 0.6860 (Fibonacci level of 23.6% and the lower limit of the range between 0.7550 and 0.6860).

Nevertheless, attempted breakdown of this level has not yet been crowned with success. On strong data from the New Zealand labor market for 3Q, published yesterday at the end of the trading day, the New Zealand dollar strengthened, and the NZD / USD pair was able to grow to a short-term resistance level of 0.6915 (EMA200 on the 1-hour chart).

The upward correction may extend to the resistance level of 0.7060 (EMA200 on the 4-hour chart) if the results of the Fed meeting or the choice of a new Fed governor will surprise and the US dollar will weaken on this information.

Only a return to the zone above the resistance levels of 0.7240 (the Fibonacci level of 38.2% of the upward correction to the global wave of decline of the pair from the level of 0.8800, which began in July 2014, here are the minimums of December 2016), 0.7280 (EMA200 on the weekly chart) will signal on the resumption of the medium-term upward dynamics.

So far, strong downward dynamics are prevailing.

Confirmed breakdown of the support level of 0.6860 will mean the end of the upward correction, which began in September 2015, and a return to the global downtrend.

So far, strong downward dynamics are prevailing.

Support levels: 0.6900, 0.6860, 0.6800

Resistance levels: 0.6980, 0.7060, 0.7150, 0.7200, 0.7240, 0.7280


Trading Scenarios

Sell in the market. Stop-Loss 0.6940. Take-Profit 0.6900, 0.6860, 0.6800

Buy Stop 0.6940. Stop-Loss 0.6890. Take-Profit 0.7000, 0.7060, 0.7100, 0.7150, 0.7200, 0.7240, 0.7280

*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com

 

[Tifia FX]

DJIA: financial markets are waiting important events

02/11/2017

Current dynamics

For several days in a row, the main US stock indexes are traded in a narrow range, while maintaining, in general, a positive dynamic.

As it became known, on Saturday Trump stopped on the candidacy of Powell. He is a Republican and since 2010 has been one of the central bank governors, well aware of the Fed's activities "from within". Powell is considered to be a supporter of the actions of the current head of the Fed, Janet Yellen, and is less inclined to aggressively tighten monetary and credit policy than other candidates. In his opinion, the Fed's actions to raise interest rates "should be carried out gradually, while the development of the economic situation in the country roughly corresponds to expectations". The appointment of Powell is likely to mean continuity in the conduct of monetary policy and, perhaps, a slight easing of measures to regulate financial markets.

In addition, the Fed on Wednesday, as expected, kept interest rates unchanged, but signaled that it could raise them one more time this year. Until the end of the year, another meeting of the Fed is scheduled, which should be held December 12-13.

"Economic activity is growing at a strong pace, despite the obstacles, made by hurricanes," the Fed said in a statement following the meeting that ended on Wednesday.

Markets with a high degree of confidence expect a rate hike in December.

At the beginning of the European session, the dollar partially recovered from the initial losses, but remained on the negative territory to most other major currencies. Yield of 10-year US government bonds, according to Tradeweb, fell to 2.371% from 2.378% recorded on Wednesday, and investors, just in case, buy gold in case of unforeseen events.

Today investors are waiting for a busy day. The Bank of England is expected to raise the key interest rate for the first time in more than a decade, while Republicans in the United States are preparing to publish a plan for changing the taxation system.

At 12:00 (GMT), the Bank of England's interest rate decision will be published, and at 12:30 the Bank of England head, Mark Carney, will make an explanation of the bank's further plans.

Thus, today, volatility in the financial markets is expected to grow rapidly. Nevertheless, the US stock market is expected to retain a positive momentum. In addition, analysts closely monitor corporate reporting, which many regard as the main driver of the rally in the stock markets this year

*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics


Support and resistance levels

Last month DJIA updated the absolute maximum near the mark 23460.0. Since January 2016 DJIA has been growing steadily. Especially remarkable are the last 8 almost recoilless weeks of growth.

Positive dynamics is maintained, and at the beginning of today's European session, the index is trading near the mark of 23400.0. In case of breakthrough of resistance level 23460.0, DJIA growth will continue until the price "gropes" for new resistance levels.

Consideration of short positions is possible only in the short term with targets at support levels 22900.0 (EMA200 on the 4-hour chart), 22720.0 (EMA50 on the daily chart).

The signal to open short positions will be a breakdown of short-term support level of 23340.0 (EMA200 on the 1-hour chart).

So far, the DJIA index is trading above the key support levels of 21610.0 (the Fibonacci level is 23.6% correction to the wave growth from the level of 15660.0 after the recovery in February of this year to the collapse of the markets since the beginning of the year. The maximum of this wave and Fibonacci 0% is near the mark 23460.0), 21460.0 (EMA200 on the daily chart), its long-term positive dynamics persists.

Support levels: 23340.0, 22900.0, 22720.0, 22410.0, 22140.0, 22000.0, 21610.0, 21460.0

Resistance levels: 23460.0


Trading scenarios

Buy Stop 23490.0. Stop-Loss 23300.0. Take-Profit 23600.0, 23700.0, 24000.0

Sell Stop 23300.0. Stop-Loss 23490.0. Take-Profit 23285.0, 22820.0, 22670.0, 22410.0, 22140.0, 22000.0, 21610.0, 21460.0

*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com

 

[Tifia FX]

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[Tifia FX]

GBP / USD: on the eve of NFP publication

03/11/2017

Current dynamics

The index of supply managers (PMI) for the UK services sector in October was 55.6 (forecast was 53.4, in September PMI for the UK services sector was 53.6). Such data was presented today by the Royal Institute of Procurement and Supply in conjunction with Markit Economics. This index is an indicator of the economic situation in the services sector of the UK and does not have such a strong impact on GDP, as PMI in the manufacturing sector. Despite the strong performance, the pound reacted rather sluggishly to the data presented. Investors continue to assess yesterday's decision by the Bank of England to raise interest rates and the speech of the head of the bank Mark Carney.

As you know, the rate was raised to 0.5% from 0.25%, for the first time in the last 10 years, which was not a surprise. Two of the 9 members of the Monetary Policy Committee David Ramsden and John Cunliffe voted against the decision, remaining dissatisfied with the low growth in the British salaries and the decline in domestic spending. The UK economy is largely oriented to the domestic market, and a weak growth or decrease in domestic consumption costs negatively affects the country's GDP growth.

The minutes of the meeting of the Bank of England also indicated the need for two stages of raising the rate by the same amount until 2020. In response, the rate of the pound and UK government bonds fell. On Thursday, the pound fell to the dollar by 1.4%.

The uncertainty that emerged after the vote for secession from the EU in June 2016 continues to have a negative impact on the country's economy. According to the forecast of the Bank of England, in 2018 and in subsequent years, GDP growth will be 1.7%.

Meanwhile, on Friday, the index of the dollar WSJ, assessing its rate to 16 currencies, grew by 0.1%. Investors continue to assess the details of the Republican project and the appointment of Jerome Powell to the post of head of the Fed.

Today, investors are preparing to publish (at 12:30 GMT) data on the number of jobs outside of US agriculture in October. This report is a key indicator of the state of the US economy, and favorable data will be taken into account by the Fed in the decision to raise rates at the meeting on December 13. It is expected that the number of jobs (indicator NFP) in October increased by 312,000. In September, for the first time in seven years, there was a decrease in the number of new jobs (by 33,000), which is explained by hurricanes.

If the data is confirmed, the dollar will continue to strengthen. If the data prove to be much weaker, for example, below 150,000 new jobs, the dollar will react with a decline throughout the currency market. In any case, a surge in volatility is expected in the period of publication of data from the labor market. Often there is a sharp jump in the dollar in one direction and no less sharp subsequent rollback. Many traders in the US call the day of publication of data on the labor market "pay day".

Also, important US macro data (business activity indices in the services sector and production orders) will be published at 14:45 and 15:00 (GMT), which can become a generator of either a rollback after a strong movement on the NFP, or an incentive to strengthen the dollar's movement to the same side.

*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics



Trading Scenarios

Sell Stop 1.3030. Stop-Loss 1.3110. Take-Profit 1.3000, 1.2975, 1.2590, 1.2365, 1.2110, 1.2000

Buy Stop 1.3110. Stop-Loss 1.3030. Take-Profit 1.3185, 1.3210, 1.3300, 1.3335, 1.3440, 1.3500, 1.3630, 1.3740, 1.3970, 1.4100

*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com

 

[Tifia FX]

NZD/USD: pair growth will be limited

07/11/2017

Current dynamics

Yesterday, the New Zealand dollar received support after New Zealand's finance minister Grant Robertson said he did not want to include targeting of the national currency in the new responsibilities of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

As it became known, the new government of New Zealand intends to new evaluate the policy of the RBNZ. At the first stage, changes will be recommended to the RBNZ policy aimed at increasing employment in New Zealand, and changes will be offered regarding the RBNZ leadership. Decisions in the central bank will have to be carried out by the vote of the committee, while the role of the manager will go to the background. Further changes in the RBNZ policy will be discussed with the involvement of independent experts.

It is still not clear how the planned changes in the activities of the RBNZ will affect the quotations of the New Zealand currency. Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters has already hinted that a weakening of the New Zealand dollar could help the country's exporters.

A survey of business circles conducted last week in the country showed a sharp drop in confidence, and it turned out to be much lower than its average. The last two weeks there has been a recovery of the New Zealand dollar, which became the leader of the fall last month after the results of the general elections in New Zealand, held at the end of September, became known.

Nevertheless, the growth of the NZD/USD is likely to be limited in the face of the strengthening US dollar and, therefore, the decline in commodity prices and the quotations of commodity currencies, which include the New Zealand dollar.

The US dollar continues to strengthen in the foreign exchange market as against the background of positive macroeconomic data coming from the US, and against the background of the appointment of a new Fed governor, who will take office in February next year. According to some economists, under the leadership of the new head of the Fed can raise rates not three, but four times in 2018. It is assumed that at the next meeting, which is scheduled for December 12-13, the interest rate will be increased by 0.25%. In the future, the Fed may raise the rate quarterly, starting in March 2018.

Thus, the fundamental factors testify to the further reduction of the NZD / USD.

From the news for today, we are waiting for the publication of the results of the dairy auction (in the period after 14:00 GMT). Two weeks ago, the price index for dairy products, prepared by Global Dairy Trade, came out with a value of -1% (against the previous value of -2.4%). Dairy products - one of the main exports of New Zealand, therefore, a decline in world prices for dairy products will hurt the quotes of the New Zealand dollar.

*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics


Trading Scenarios

Sell in the market. Stop-Loss 0.6970. Take-Profit 0.6900, 0.6860, 0.6800

Buy Stop 0.6970. Stop-Loss 0.6890. Take-Profit 0.7000, 0.7030, 0.7075, 0.7140, 0.7200, 0.7240, 0.7270

*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com

 

[Tifia FX]

Brent: prices remain on mid-2015 highs

08/11/2017

Current dynamics

Quotations of oil futures fell on Tuesday, however, they remained on the mid-2015 highs. January futures for Brent crude oil fell in price by 0.53%, to 63.35 dollars per barrel. The spot price for Brent crude at the beginning of today's European session is near the mark of 63.55 dollars per barrel after the day before the price reached the high of 2017 near the mark of 64.45 dollars per barrel.

Oil prices at the beginning of the week rose to their highest levels since 2015 due to the fact that the Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman ordered the arrest of more than 50 people on suspicion of corruption, including members of the royal family, ministers and big businessmen.

Oil prices also received support after Yemeni hussites rebels launched a ballistic missile in the vicinity of Riyadh, which was shot down in the vicinity of the capital. The tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran, which supports the hussites, intensified. Both countries are members of OPEC.

Investors are concerned that the power struggle in Saudi Arabia, which is the world's largest oil exporter, brings uncertainty to the market, and numerous conflicts in the Middle East can lead to disruptions in oil supplies.

Also, the rise in prices is fueled by the expectation that at the November meeting, OPEC will extend the deal. As you know, last year, OPEC and other oil exporters, including Russia, entered into an agreement to reduce total production by 1.8 million barrels a day. In Vienna on November 30, OPEC will hold a meeting, within which the extension of the agreement on the reduction of production, which expires in March 2018, will be discussed.

Today, traders are waiting for data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) of the US Department of Energy on oil reserves in the country. The weekly EIA report will be published at 15.30 (GMT).

According to the American Petroleum Institute (API), which was published on Tuesday evening, US oil inventories fell 1.6 million barrels last week. Gasoline stocks increased by 520,000 barrels, and distillate stocks decreased by 3.1 million barrels, according to the API report.

There is a strong positive impulse of a fundamental nature. The next target is resistance level 65.30 (Fibonacci level 100% correction to the decline from the level of 65.30 from June 2015 to the absolute minimums of 2016 near the mark of 27.00).

Technical indicators (OsMA and Stochastic) on the daily, weekly, monthly charts are on the buyers’ side. Long positions are preferred.

*)An advanced fundamental analysis is available on the Tifia Forex Broker website at tifia.com/analytics


Trading Scenarios

Sell Stop 62.90. Stop-Loss 63.90. Take-Profit 62.00, 61.50, 60.00, 58.80, 58.00, 57.00, 56.20, 55.55, 55.00, 54.70, 53.50, 52.20, 50.70, 50.00

Buy Stop 63.90. Stop-Loss 62.90. Take-Profit 64.45, 65.00, 65.30, 66.00

*) For up-to-date and detailed analytics and news on the forex market visit Tifia Forex Broker website tifia.com