Dax 30; Ftse 100; SP 500 - Market View

[psaTrading]

Asian indices closed with sharp falls, especially the Nikkei, because the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have not changed the general lines of monetary policy. In the market there was some expectation that the BoJ would reduce the reference rate (currently at -0.10%) or increase its quantitative easing program (currently in M.USD 720,000 / year). However, the BoJ did not alter the main lines of its policy. BoJ reduced the its projections for GDP and inflation.

 

[psaTrading]

An excellent trading day! The fall was inevitable.
Which you all a nice weekend.

 

[psaTrading]

Some critics say low rates are a mistake that could trigger an asset bubble or inflation.

 

[psaTrading]

Asian indexes closed mostly up, after the Reserve Bank of Australia has lowered key interest rates by 0.25% to 1.75%. This decision has overshadowed the fall of Caixin PMI index, which measures the manufacturing activity in China. In April, this index fell from 49.7 to 49.4, against the 49.9 estimated. Interestingly, the Shanghai stock market was among the best performers while the Hong Kong stock market closed with losses of more than 1%. The Japanese market was closed, having started the Golden Week. Apart from today (Constitution Day), in the next two days will be celebrated two holidays: the Environment Day and Children’s Day.

 

[psaTrading]

In addition to the negative effect on the Nikkei and the Japanese export sector, it is important to note that the Yen is considered an haven asset and its assessment could mean that the forex market is to consider some risks that are not immediately obvious.

 

[psaTrading]

The main event of the Asian session was the publication of the Index Caixin PMI (published by Markit) concerning services. The activity of this sector fell from 52.2 to 51.8, confirming the decline already marked by the official index of the Chinese Government. Despite this setback, the services sector (almost exclusively dependent on domestic consumption) has shown a strong resilience to industry weakness and public investment.

 

[psaTrading]

We had a reversal day in the equity markets.
I guess Monday will be good for the bulls.

Happy trading.

 

[psaTrading]

In recent weeks, Greece and other European countries have not been able to sketch an agreement to allow unlock tranches of financial support program. According to the statements of some European leaders, such support may not be available without Greece adopts new austerity measures. Recall that late last week a significant part of the country was paralyzed by a general strike of 48 hours.

 

[psaTrading]

People are slightly less risk averse now than they were end of April, still, the optimism is a little premature. Economic data hasn’t been very convincing.

 

[psaTrading]

Among the risks that stock markets face include the decrease for the 4th consecutive quarter of profits of American companies, the questions about the growth of the American economy, the recovery of the Chinese economy, political uncertainty in several countries (UK, Spain, USA , etc.), uncertainty about the future of interest rates in the US and the weakness of corporate bonds of higher risk companies (which have a high correlation with the stock indices).