Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

DOGE Price Increases by 170% in Less Than 2 Months
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On February 1, 2024, the DOGE/USD rate was = 0.0783. On the last Friday of March, it rose to 0.2150. The rising price means Dogecoin is now the eighth-largest cryptocurrency in the world by market capitalization, overtaking Cardano (ADA) and Avalanche (AVAX) in recent days.

The reason for the positive sentiment is the support of the token from Elon Musk.

As the Independent writes:
→ Rumors have intensified that Elon will integrate DOGE into his social network X (Twitter), which he planned to make “an app for everything.” Musk's other companies, SpaceX and Tesla, already support payments in Dogecoin.
→ According to Elon, Dogecoin has the potential to become the main online currency due to its ease of use and efficiency.
→ The billionaire also said that DOGE could become the official currency on Mars if SpaceX can establish a permanent human colony there.
→ The price of DOGE/USD is also supported by the general bullish trend in the cryptocurrency market.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
Although UK-100 Index Is Near All-time Highs, UK Economy Slips into Recession
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Technically, a national economic recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction, and yesterday's Office for National Statistics data confirmed that this has happened — UK GDP fell in the third and fourth quarters of 2023 by 0.1% and 0.3% respectively.

The Guardian writes that the recession may be deeper than it seems at first glance:
→ Increased government spending (including for the military) masks a deep and persistent decline in production.
→ The economy is shrinking despite population growth;
→ In the fourth quarter of 2023, the deficit widened to £26.3 billion, or 3.9% of GDP, up £5.9 billion from the third quarter.
→ The big problem is the decline in goods exports. Soaring prices for imported raw materials and energy have played a major role in increasing the cost of producing goods in the UK and making it difficult to sell them abroad.

However, the price of the UK-100 index (or FTSE-100) is near all-time highs. This is because the Bank of England may ease monetary policy to avoid worsening the recession. And this will be a positive factor for the development of the top 100 companies whose shares are included in the index — this expectation is included in the current quote.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
Watch FXOpen's 25 - 29 March Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: NIKKEI-225, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, Gold


Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights.

  • NIKKEI-225 Analysis Indicates Possibility of Correction from Historically High Levels #NIKKEI225
  • USD/JPY Price Analysis: Consolidation ahead of US News #usdjpy
  • Market Analysis: GBP/USD Dives While USD/CAD Gains Bullish Pace #MarketAnalysis #GBPUSD #USDCAD
  • XAU/USD Analysis: The Price is Forming an Important Bearish Pattern #GOLD #XAUUSD #MarketAnalysis

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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The US Dollar Declines against Major World Currencies
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The US dollar is weakening against the euro, yen and pound. In February, the core personal consumption expenditure index fell from 0.5% to 0.3% on a monthly basis and from 2.9% to 2.8% on an annual basis, justifying preliminary estimates. Thus, the slowdown in inflationary pressure continues at a steady pace, convincing investors that the US Federal Reserve will keep interest rates the same in May and begin lowering them in June. In addition, personal income increased by 0.3%, less than expected by 0.4%, and expenses by 0.8%, significantly exceeding the expected 0.5%: this may mean continued risks of rising consumer prices, but for now investors don't pay any attention to these statistics.

EUR/USD
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The EUR/USD pair is moving in a narrow range around the 1.0780 level. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0860, a break higher could trigger a rise towards 1.0880. On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0768, a break below could take the pair towards 1.0750.

Market activity is reduced because Friday was a public holiday in most eurozone countries, so financial institutions are closed and investor activity is reduced. However, market participants were monitoring comments from European Central Bank (ECB) officials regarding its future actions. Thus, the head of the Bank of France, François Villeroy de Galhau, said that the regulator will probably start with a moderate reduction in interest rates, but it does not matter much whether this happens in April or June. The official added that after the first cut in borrowing costs, it would not necessarily continue at the next ECB meeting. This position coincides with the expectations of most economists surveyed by Reuters.

Based on the technical analysis of EUR/USD, a new downward channel has formed at the lows of last week. It is now in the middle of the channel and may continue to decline.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
E-mini S&P-500 Start Quarter at Historic Highs
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On Friday, data from the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index was published. According to Trading Economics, the PCE price index report showed that inflation is slowing. On a monthly basis, it grew by 0.3% in February, forecast = 0.4%, a month ago = 0.4%.

Following the release of the PCE index, Jerome Powell stated that:
→ the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates;
→ the latest PCE inflation data is in line with what the Fed wants to see.

Market participants received a portion of fundamental information positively. And since Friday was a day off on the stock market, the news is taken into account by the price on Monday.

The E-mini S&P-500 opened with a gap this morning, and at a historical peak. The S&P 500 rose 10.2% in the first quarter, its best performance since 2019. The bull run is fueled by both expectations of Fed interest rate cuts and enthusiasm surrounding the adoption of AI.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
5 Stocks To Consider For April 2024
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As if it were comparable to the blink of an eye, the first quarter of 2024 is now complete.

It would perhaps be fair to consider that this year's first three months were relatively uneventful compared to the undulations of the past few years in which rampant inflation across many Western nations, tech stock volatility, US bank collapses, a need to raise the debt ceiling, and the demise of FTX have punctuated the news.

By contrast, this year began with a steady rebuilding of the fiscal structure, a noticeable acceleration in the value of major stock market indices, and even talk of a reduction in interest rates by central banks across Europe and North America.

As we head into the second quarter of the year, it is earnings season, and the large, publicly listed companies whose stock is listed on the prominent stock exchanges are about to reveal their corporate performance for the beginning of this financial year.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
US Dollar Strengthens after Strong ISM Manufacturing PMI Report
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Yesterday, news was published on the state of the US manufacturing sector, namely the Purchase Manager Index (PMI), which is calculated by The Institute for Supply Management (ISM).

The data turned out to be strong: fact = 50.3, forecast = 48.5, a month earlier = 47.8.

Since readings above 50 indicate manufacturing growth, yesterday's news showed the health of this sector in the US. Consequently, it reduced the pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates.

And since the current tight monetary policy may last longer, the value of the US dollar has increased relative to other financial assets:
→ Regarding currencies. For example, the NZD/USD rate set a minimum of 2024.
→ Regarding cryptocurrencies. The decline in BTC/USD that began yesterday led to the Bitcoin rate dropping to USD 66.5k today.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
High Hopes for Amazon as Analysts Look at Earnings Call Potential
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Amazon, one of the most successful e-commerce businesses in the world, entered its 30th year in 2024 with its relatively humble yet ingenious origins as an online bookseller based out of Jeff Bezos' garage in Washington State, a distant memory.

Today's Amazon is completely unrecognizable. A global giant among Silicon Valley's big-cap internet moguls, dominating the internet services and retail delivery sectors in most markets worldwide.

Not resting on its laurels, Amazon, one of the 'Magnificent 7' tech stocks, has been actively sharpening its remit recently, with a commitment to the development of AI being one of the areas of innovation that the company is now heavily invested in.

Amazon's stock has been doing very well so far this year, and when the US market closed yesterday after its first trading day following a long holiday weekend, trading appeared to continue where it left off on Thursday, March 28, which was the final trading day of the first quarter of this year, with Amazon stock being at its highest value since November 2021 when it spiked to just over $183 per share before climbing down shortly afterwards.

The tech stock doldrums of 2022 ensued, and Amazon, despite its evergreen parcel delivery enterprise being its distinguishing factor from other internet and high technology giants, was not immune. The lull in value during that period was sustained, but as investor appetite for tech stocks came back, Amazon began to grow its share price once again.

This year so far, Amazon stock has been one of the top risers, and according to FXOpen pricing, Amazon closed yesterday at a lofty $180.38, which represents the highest point since it began this particular rally on January 9, at which point it was trading at $127.22. That is a considerable increase within the space of just under two months.

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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
The Dollar Resumes Growth after the Release of Positive Macroeconomic Statistics
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Weak market volatility associated with the celebration of Catholic Easter and a strong foundation from the United States contributed to a sharp strengthening of the dollar against commodity and European currencies. Thus, the pound/US dollar currency pair is trading below the key support at 1.2600, euro sellers are preparing to test 1.0700, and the US dollar/yen pair is as close as possible to recent extremes at 152.00.

GBP/USD
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The data on the US manufacturing business activity index for March published yesterday was at the level of 50.3 points, which significantly exceeded the analysts' forecast of 48.3 points. The released data reduces the likelihood of a reduction in the base interest rate at the next Fed meeting and naturally leads to strengthening of the American currency in almost all directions.

The GBP/USD pair traded between 1.2700 and 1.2600 for about a week. Yesterday, sellers of the pound were stronger than buyers and the pair lost about 100 pp in just a couple of hours. If the current mood in the market continues, the price on the GBP/USD chart may test the low of February of this year at 1.2518. We can consider canceling the downward scenario if we confidently consolidate above 1.2700.

Today at 11:30 GMT+3, we are waiting for data on the volume of consumer lending from the Bank of England for February. Also at the same time, the manufacturing business activity index (PMI) for March will be published.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
Gold Price XAU/USD Sets Another All-time High
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The XAU/USD gold chart today indicates that the price of the metal has exceeded USD 2,250 per ounce.

Causes:
→ Geopolitical tensions. Military conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East do not subside, the threat of terrorist attacks is growing, and new hot spots may appear on the world map.
→ Concerns about a new round of inflation due to rising commodity prices.

In both cases, gold acts as a safe-haven asset.

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TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
 
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