Dax 30; Ftse 100; SP 500 - Market View

Among the many positive consequences of the meeting of the Fed stood a particularly negative for European markets: the appreciation of the Euro. This effect should penalize, in time, the European export sector. Among the most correlated with the Euro figure index DAX.
 
Today, as in Europe, will expire futures contracts and options called quadruple witching. Quadruple witching days are usually accompanied by considerable volatility in stock and derivative prices, as well as increased trading volume, with the occurrence of erratic movements. The most most volatile time of day shall be 13h30 (open) and 18h00. Statistically, the sessions of quadruple witching are positive for the equity markets.
 
The rally performed by the price of oil in recent days continued to support the stock market. In fact, this upward trend of oil not only boosted the energy sector as well as the financial sector since eased some fears that have been hovering in the market regarding the impact of the growing number of oil companies bankruptcies in banks.
 
The view of the members of the Fed in face of external economic and financial environment is now seen as less optimistic.
 
US markets were also affected by the Attacks in Brussels, and the stock market indices reflected all the concerns surrounding this issue of geopolitical nature. Thus, initially the market was penalized by these events, with a clear preference for defensive sectors as opposed to riskier assets. However, and as in Europe, gradually this feeling was being absorbed, with the indexes recovering ground. The stock indices were pressured by financial stocks and cyclical consumer companies. Yesterday, the fears regarding the effects of negative interest rates in Europe and low interest rates in the US in bank balance sheets influenced, once again, the behavior of the titles of major financial institutions. Moreover, to aggravate the pessimism of investors was the decline in Crude prices after the recent trend of a strong correlation between this raw material and oil prices. The price of oil declined from the maximum achieved after the data for this industry have revealed that US crude inventories rose more than expected. Still, the price of this raw material have managed to maintain some support before the return of some risk appetite. Today will be published by the Energy Information Administration’s the inventories of oil and gasoline. At the macroeconomic level, the PMI index for the manufacturing sector improved slightly, from 51.3 in February (the minimum of the last 28 months) to 51.4 in March. The dollar, which was initially pressed by the reaction to the terrorist attacks in Brussels recovered subsequently, boosted by rising yields on sovereign bonds, after the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Charles Evans, has said he expects two more increases in interest rates this year, based on the current economic outlook.
 
Today at the end of the session is not excluded that European investors reduce their exposure to equity markets to the fact that the European markets only reopen on Tuesday and so are exposed to hypothetical adverse events during the four days they are closed.
 
At the moment, we only see some warning signs. But if the S & P breaks the area of 2020 and the DAX the 9750 this will power up a correction, at least in the short term.
 
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