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[Julia NordFX]

Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for August 21 - 25, 2017


First, a review of last week’s forecast:



- EUR/USD. Only 35% of experts expected the pair to fall. However, graphical analysis and a number of oscillators on D1 sided with them. The support at 1.1685 was named as the nearest goal: it was reached by the pair by mid Tuesday. After that, the pair made several more attempts to break through this level, and it even managed to drop 25 points. This was not a true breakthrough, however, and the pair returned to the Pivot Point of the last two weeks in the 1.1755 zone. Thus, the week’s decline was only about 70 points;


- GBP/USD. 45% of analysts voted for the fall of this pair last week. As for the medium term, 65% of them sided with the bears. The pair itself went ahead of the curve and by Tuesday evening it lost 170 points. There, the bears' forces dried up, and it initiated a lateral movement along the 1.2875 Pivot Point, near which it completed the weekly session;


- Oscillators on H4 and D1 warned that USD/JPY was oversold. Graphical analysis also expected a correction. The rebound did indeed happen: the pair reached the height of 110.94 by the middle of the week, after which it turned sharply and returned to the values of the beginning of the week. As a result, the week’s chart looks like an isosceles triangle, at the base of which the support zone 108.90-109.20 is located;


- A similar triangle can be seen on the USD/CHF chart. As with the case of USD/JPY, a number of oscillators were giving signals that the pair was oversold, and one of the scenarios assumed its rise to resistance 0.9700, and in the event of its breakdown, another 70 points higher. That's exactly what happened: the pair reached 0.9765, and then left southwards to finish the week near a strong support/resistance zone at 0.9650, where it first visited back in March 2008.


***

As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of analysts from a number of banks and brokerages, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:


- EUR/USD. Like last week, the views of most experts (60%) face northwards, with the remaining 40% voting for the fall of the pair. Approximately the same alignment of forces can be observed with indicators on both H4 and D1. The support levels are 1.1685, 1.1600 and 1.1475. The resistance levels are 1.1845, 1.1910, 1.2010. As for the graphical analysis on D1, according to its readings, the pair will first move in the descending channel, and then, having reached the bottom at the level of 1.1610, it will turn and will go north again;


- Speaking about the future of the pair GBP/USD pair, 55% of analysts, supported by the absolute majority of indicators (80%), as well as graphical analysis on D1, vote for its fall to 1.2760. After that, the pair should change the trend to an ascending one.

An alternative point of view is shared by 45% of experts and graphical analysis on H4. In their opinion, the pair will go up from the very beginning of the week, basing on the support of 1.2840 The nearest targets are 1.2950 1.3025 and 1.3125;


- As for the USD/JPY, we can expect with a high degree of probability that, before reaching the April 2017 low (108.12), the pair, as was the case in the previous two cycles, will stay in the sideways trend for a while, fluctuating in the range 108.80-110.30. Approximately 40% of analysts and graphical analysis on H4 agree with this version. As for the indicators, 95% of them, as well as 35% of experts, continue to insist on the rapid fall of the pair. The goal is the same, the horizon of 108.00.

The growth of the pair to the area of 112.00 and above is expected by only 25% of analysts at the moment. However, if we move to the medium-term forecast, their number increases to 75%;


- And the last pair of our review is USD/CHF. The fall of this pair to the area of 0.9440-0.9500 is still expected by 60% of experts and the overwhelming majority (about 85%) of trend indicators and oscillators. The remaining 40% of analysts, together with graphical analysis on H4 and D1, do not exclude the fall of the pair and believe that for this to happen the pair must first reach the resistance at 0.9765.


Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.


#eurusd, #gbpusd, #usdjpy, # forex, # forex_forecast, #forex signals, # binary_options

https://nordfx.com/

 

[Julia NordFX]

Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for August 28 - September 1, 2017


First, a review of last week’s forecast: thanks to this forecast, traders who took into account the main recommendations of experts and technical analysis, could receive a significant profit. So:



- EUR/USD. The basic forecast, which was sounded by the majority of experts (60%) with the support of technical analysis, spoke about the growth of this pair. And it did go north, starting from Monday. Although at first this movement was not very strong and confident, on Friday, August 28, the pair shot up sharply, reaching the height of 1.1940, supported by the speech of the Federal Reserve Head, Janet Yellen, it finished the week at the height of 1.1921 - near the central level of resistance, indicated by analysts;


- Speaking about the behavior of the pair GBP/USD, the majority of experts, supported by the absolute majority of indicators (80%), as well as graphical analysis on D1, voted for its fall to the level of 1.2760. After that, the pair should have changed the trend to an ascending one. This forecast came true by all 100%. By Thursday, the pair had fallen to the level of 1.2772, then it turned and on Friday returned to the values of the beginning of the week;


- As for the USD/JPY, it was expected that the pair would stay in the sideways trend for a while, making fluctuations in the range of 108.80-110.30. With a slight adjustment, this forecast can also be considered absolutely true - the pair spent the whole week moving to the east in the channel 108.63-109.82;


- The analysts didn't make mistakes predicting the behavior of the pair USD/CHF either. Its fall to the level of 0.9500 was expected by 60% of experts and the overwhelming majority (about 85%) of trend indicators and oscillators. As a result, the local bottom was fixed at 0.9550. And although this horizon was 50 points higher than expected, all those traders who took into account this forecast benefited for sure, as the pair's fall for the week was about 100 points.


***

As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of analysts from a number of banks and broker companies, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:


- EUR/USD. Although a quarter of the oscillators on H4 and D1 are already signaling that the pair is overbought, the bulk of them, supported by 100% of trend indicators and 40% of experts, still insists on continuation of the uptrend. The nearest target in this case is 1.2040, the next one is 100 points higher. As for the bears' supporters, who are the majority among the analysts (60%), they, just like the graphical analysis on D1, expect a correction of the pair. The main support is 1.1780, the next one is 1.1740, and in case of a breakdown, it is 1.1680;


- Speaking of the future of the GBP/USD, about 35% of analysts are determined to buy this pair, 45% are for sale and 20% remain neutral. A similar discord is observed in the indicators as well. Out of the trend ones on H4, 70% are looking to the north, 30% to the south; on D1, the situation is exactly the opposite. Oscillators show the same picture: on H4, 75% are colored green, 25% indicate the pair is overbought, and on D1 90% of the indicators are colored red.

In such a situation, it makes sense to pay attention to the graphical analysis. Both on H4 and D1, its forecasts converge and speak first about the growth of the pair to the area of 1.3000, and then about the reversal of the trend and the fall of the pair first to the level of 1.2810, and in case of a breakdown, to support 1.2750 or another 100 points lower;


- As for USD/JPY, most analysts (70%) still expect the pair to fall to the April 2017 low (108.12). Approximately 90% of the indicators agree with this scenario. The resistance levels are 109.85, 110.60 and 111.00, the support zone is 108.60-108.75;


- The last pair of our review is USD/CHF. It is clear that most of the indicators here look to the south, but already about 20% of the oscillators on H4 and D1 signal that this pair is oversold. 70% of experts and graphical analysis on D1 also speak about its possible growth. The targets are 0.9615, 0.9700 and 0.9765. The support levels are 1.1685, 1.1600 and 1.1475.


- And in conclusion, here are some words about the major events that can seriously affect the indications of technical analysis. Thus, on Wednesday August 30, data on inflation in the UK and the US GDP will be released. Thursday will bring news on unemployment in Germany and the state of the consumer market of the Eurozone, in general. As for September 1, as it happens on the first Friday of each month, the market is expecting the US unemployment data.


Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.


#eurusd, #gbpusd, #usdjpy, # forex, # forex_forecast, #forex signals, # binary_options

https://nordfx.com/

 

[Julia NordFX]

Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for 04 - 08 September 2017


First, a review of last week’s forecast:



- EUR/USD. Recall that, although a quarter of oscillators were already signaling that this pair had been overbought, the bulk of them, supported by 100% of trend indicators and 40% of experts, insisted that the pair still had enough strength to rise at the very least to 1.2040. This is indeed what it did. On Tuesday, August 29, the pair overcame 1.2000, before rising another 40 points, and then, by inertia, by another 30. Having fixed a maximum at 1.2070, it turned and rushed downwards, having lost 250 points by the last day of summer. The pair completed the first day of autumn at 1.1860;


- As for the future of GBP/USD, the camps of both experts and indicators were full of discord – some were looking northwards, some to the west, and some southwards. In this situation, we advised paying attention to the readings of graphical analysis. This advice turned out to be correct. Both on H4 and D1, its forecasts predicted an initial growth of the pair to the zone of 1.3000, followed by a reversal and a fall. This is what happened. By Tuesday, the pair had risen by almost 100 points and, after failing to reach the coveted mark, it descended. Having fixed the local bottom at 1.2850, it took another leap upwards, coming close to the goal on Friday, when it reached 1.2995. It then rolled back to the lower boundary of the 1.2950-1.3000 range;


- The forecast for USD/JPY was very brief last week. It had been noted that the majority of analysts (70%), supported by 90% of the indicators, expected the pair to fall to the lows of April 2017 at 108.12. The pair obeyed this order, if not by 100%, then by 95%, having descended to 108.26. After that, like a spring, it quickly straightened up and, having overcome 240 points, conquered the height of 110.66 on August 31;


- USD/CHF. 70% of experts, graphical analysis on D1 and about 20% of oscillators spoke about the possible growth of this pair. It was not ruled out that, before moving northwards, it could drop to the support at 0.9430. That's exactly what happened: first the pair declined by 150 points, and then, pushing away from 0.9426, it rose, ending the five-day period in the long-term support/resistance zone near 0.9650.


***

As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of analysts from a number of banks and brokerages, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:


- EUR/USD. It is very difficult to give a forecast for this pair, as the opinions of analysts are divided equally, split 50%/50%. The same can be said about the indicators. The market does not expect any surprises from the ECB rate decision or from the comments of its leaders on Thursday, September 7. Therefore, focusing on the readings of graphical analysis on H4 and D1, one can expect this pair to continue its uptrend, which began as early as this January. The main support is around 111.60. Resistance is at the levels of 1.2000 and 1.2070, with the ultimate target being1.2150.

As for a longer-term forecast, almost 75% of analysts believe that the dollar will be able to regain some of its positions in the coming months, bringing the pair closer to 1.1600. Nevertheless, it is very difficult to make any concrete predictions whilst President Trump resides in the White House;


- Graphical analysis on H4 indicates a continuation of the uptrend for the pair GBP/USD. 45% of analysts and 80% of indicators agree with this. The nearest target is 1.3060, whilst the next target is 1.3115.

An alternative point of view is represented by 55% of experts and 20% of oscillators, who indicate that the pair is overbought. Graphical analysis on D1 agrees with them. According to its readings, the pair will drop first to the support of 1.2775, and only then, having beaten off from it, will depart to the height of 1.3060. In case of a break through 1.2775, the next support is 100 points lower;


- As predicted, USD/JPY continues the cyclical wave movement in the medium-term side channel in the range of 108.12-114.50. Last week, having fixed a minimum, the pair returned to the lower border of the Pivot-zone of the channel at the level of 110.25. At the same time, 55% of experts claim that before finally turning northwards, the pair will once again try to test the bottom of the channel and descend to at least 108.80;


- The last pair of our review is the USD/CHF. Here, most analysts (about 60%) expect that it will again fall to the minimum of August 29, at 0.9426. This development is supported by graphical analysis and more than half of the oscillators on D1, the readings of which indicate that this pair is overbought. The main resistance is in the 0.9700-0.9725 zone; the next one is at 0.9770.


Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.


#eurusd, #gbpusd, #usdjpy, # forex, # forex_forecast, #forex signals, # binary_options

https://nordfx.com/

 

[Stan NordFX]

Dear Clients,

Starting from September 4, 2017 it will become even more convenient to carry out transactions with cryptocurrencies. In addition to the CRYPTO account, trading with BTCUSD, LTCUSD and ETHUSD pairs is now available in the Standard account on the MetaTrader 4 platform as well.

This decision has been taken based on the results of a survey among traders. The absolute majority of the respondents have expressed the opinion that the possibility of simultaneous trading in currencies, cryptocurrencies and precious metals using one common account, the Standard account, opens up additional possibilities for creating new trading strategies, reducing risks and increasing profits.

The traders who prefer to separate transactions with Bitcoin, Litecoin and Etherium from transactions with traditional trading instruments can still use the dedicated CRYPTO account.

 

[Stan NordFX]

Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for 11 - 15 September 2017​

First, a review of last week’s forecast:

- EUR/USD. Since the opinions of the analysts were divided equally, we suggested to focus on the readings of the graphical analysis; both H4 and D1 indicated that the upward trend, which began in January, would continue. The target was the height of 1.2150, which the pair nearly missed, having turned around near the level of 1.2100, subsequently rolling down 70 points and finishing the week at 1.2035;

- Graphical analysis turned out to be right concerning the future of GBP/USD. Supported by 45% of analysts and 80% of indicators, it pointed to its growth to 1.3115. However, unlike EUR / USD, which did not reach the stated goal, GBP / USD, on the contrary, exceeded it, having fixed the maximum of the week at 1.3222;

- the US dollar also fell against the Japanese yen. The forecast for the USD/JPY said that the pair would once again try to test the bottom of the mid-term side channel 108.12-114.50. This was exactly what happened. Moreover, the pair tried to break through this support and descended to the level of 107.30. It will be clear in the near future whether this test has been successful or not;

- The forecast for USD/CHF turned out to be absolutely accurate. Here, the majority of analysts (about 60%), graphical analysis and more than half of the oscillators on D1 expected that it would again fall to the August 29 minimum at 0.9426. That's exactly what happened, and on Friday, September 8. the pair reached the local bottom at 0.9420.


As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of analysts from a number of banks and brokerages, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:

– EUR/USD. Forecasting the future of this pair, most analysts (60%), as well as graphical analysis and an absolute majority of indicators, voted for the continuation of the upwards trend of the pair, foreseeing a growth to 1.2150. The following target is 1.2325. Meanwhile, graphical analysis in H4, the quarter of oscillators on D1 signalling that the pair is oversold, and 40% of experts offer an alternative viewpoint. They suggest that the pair will transition to a sideways movement in the 1.1885-1.2070 channel.
As for the longer-term forecast, over 60% of analysts remain bearish in the expectation of the pair’s eventual return to 1.1600;

– Experts’ opinions regarding the future of GBP/USD have split almost equally: 30% support the growth of the pair, an equivalent amount believes in a sideways trend, and 40% believe that the pair will fall. 100% of trend indicators and graphical analysis on D1 look northwards, whilst 20% of oscillators are already expecting a southwards reversal. The support levels are at1.2930, 1.3040 and 1.3100. The resistance levels are 1.3265 and 1.3370. The bulls’ final target is 1.3440;

– USD/JPY. Here 85% of experts believe that once the pair penetrates the lower border of the intermediate-term sideways channel it will journey southwards, aiming to settle in the 106.00-107.00 area. The remaining 15% of analysts expect a correction and the pair’s return to the resistance at 108.80. The third of oscillators on D1 that indicate the pair is oversold support this scenario;

– “South and only south” summarises the view of the 90% of analysts who maintain that USD/CHF will continue to mirror the behaviour of EUR/USD and strive to the 0.9250-09.300 area.10% of experts, 20% of oscillators and graphical analysis on D1 disagree: they suggest that the pair has nearly reached its minimum (0.9425) and is now waiting to rebound up to the resistance at 0.9540. In the event it penetrates this resistance, they suggest the pair will rise even higher to 0.9260;

In conclusion, we offer a summary of the major events that may influence the directions of the trends and the volatility of the currency pairs discussed above. Starting on Tuesday, 12 September and through to the end of the week, we will observe a continuous release of data on the US consumer market. On Thursday, 14th September the central banks of Switzerland and England will announce their rate decisions: most likely these rates will remain unchanged.

Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#eurusd, #gbpusd, #usdjpy, # forex, # forex_forecast, #forex signals, #cryptocurrencies, #bitcoin
https://www.nordfx.com/

 

[Stan NordFX]

Bitcoin and others: start of the road or start of the end?

How soon will cryptolorrhagia end? And what awaits investors: wealth and thousands of percent of profit, or a funeral under the rubble of crashed cryptocurrencies?

The broker company NordFX offers to earn both on growth, and on the collapse of the cryptocurrency market.

Recently, the headlines of financial media have been firmly conquered by bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies:

"Parris Hilton," Bloomberg reports, "has been actively engaged in attracting investment in the cryptocurrency (ICO)."

"Swiss Railways start selling tickets for bitcoins"

"The post of Austria exchanges euro to bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies!"

"The Viberate Company has attracted more than $ 10 million in its ICO in just 4 minutes 42 seconds!"

Such headlines can not help attracting attention. And, in general, it is more than deserved. For example, the Etherium exchange rate only for the first half of 2017 grew by more than 250%, and the bitcoin, costing in September 2009. less than 0.1 cents, after just eight years, came close to the mark of 5.000 USD. That is, in just eight years, its price has grown 5 million times!

Indeed, there is something to ponder over for those who want to seriously increase their capital. Moreover, many forecasts of specialists look more than optimistic.

Thus, the British consulting company Juniper Research has calculated that in 2017 the total turnover of cryptocurrencies can overcome the level of 1 trillion US dollars, exceeding the similar result of the previous year by more than 15 times. In addition to bitcoins, a significant contribution has been made by the Etherium and lthe Litecoin.

Experts from Pantera Capital Management, Fundstrat Global Advisors and GFI Group Inc. believe that by the end of this year the bitcoin will reach the mark of 6.000 USD, while Standpoint Research predicts its growth in 2018 to $ 7,500.

As for a longer-term perspective, Fundstrat and Standpoint Research expects that by 2022 the value of this cryptocurrency will be about 25,000 USD, and after another five years, in 2027, it will reach the level of 50,000 US dollars!

But that's not all! For example, the CNBC TV channel has published a forecast of Saxo Bank analyst Kay Van-Petersen, according to which the bitcoin market capitalization in the next decade could reach 1.75 trillion dollars, as a result of which its exchange rate will grow to $ 100,000!

"All these forecasts," says John Gordon, leading analyst at brokerage company NordFX, "are warming the market pretty much, attracting new investors, making them cryptomaniacs. However, there are a lot of financiers who see cryptocurrencies as a pyramid that hangs in the air and can collapse at any moment. "

"Today, the cryptocurrency market continues to resemble Klondike, attracting speculators and scammers of all stripes," writes The Financial Times. The former director of Yahoo Brad Garlinghouse echoes the publication, according to him, this market requires strong regulation"

"Indeed," continues Gordon of NordFX, "the lack of regulation by state bodies discourages many serious investors who fear that cryptocurrencies can be outlawed overnight. Suffice it to recall that when in early September, the Chinese authorities banned the use of ICO to attract funding, the bitcoin suddenly lost 5%, and the Etherium lost 12% in price. "

Now the Central Banks of almost all leading financial powers are deciding whether or not to recognize cryptocurrencies at the state level. It will not work just to brush them off, because the regulators are under constant pressure, including by major commercial structures. Thus, according to the analytical company Autonomous, as of the end of August, 55 investment hedge funds have already been involved in cryptocurrency investments. And, according to the Fortune, thirty major banks, technical giants and other organizations, including JP Morgan Chase, Microsoft, Intel, BNP Paribas, BP, Cisco, Credit Suisse, etc. are uniting into a group called the Enterprise Ethereum Alliance to create a network basing on the Etherium.

It is said that cryptocurrencies have a great future, but a wild present. According to the strategists of Bank of America Merrill Lynch, the situation may change as they continue to grow and the liquidity increases. And, perhaps, the main boom is yet to come, when the giants of the retail sector, such as Amazon, Facebook, Visa and Mastercard, start to accept cryptocurrencies.

"Over the past 10 years, our company has earned a reputation as fairly conservative," says NordFX analyst J. Gordon. - We offer only proven products to our customers, but we cannot ignore such a phenomenon as cryptocurrencies. There are now thousands of them, and investments in most of them are excessively risky. Therefore, out of all this diversity, we have selected three of the most popular and promising ones - Bitcoin, Etherium and Litecoin, transactions with which can now be made on our platform.

I would like to note that in NordFX, transactions with cryptocurrencies are not exclusive for the elite. They are available not only to large investors, but also to ordinary people with 50 or 100 dollars. Moreover, these transactions can be aimed at both the growth of the crypto currency and its fall, which allows our clients to make profit at any market fluctuations. "

 

[Stan NordFX]

Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for 18 - 22 September 2017​

First, a review of last week’s forecast:

- EUR/USD. Recall that 40% of experts and graphical analysis on H4 expected the pair would transition into a lateral trend in the 1.1885-1.2070 range. At the same time, a number of oscillators on D1 signaled it was overbought, which indicated a possible fall at the beginning of the week. This is what happened. By the evening of Wednesday, 13 September, it had reached this lower border; on Thursday, it made an attempt to break through it. However, the bears' forces were already running out, and in just an hour the pair returned to the set limits, completing the week near 1.1960: the level of the central line of the side channel;

- 30% of experts, 100% of trend indicators, graphical analysis on D1 and 80% of oscillators voted for the growth of GBP/USD last week. 1.3440 was named as the bulls’ goal. However, on Thursday, 14 September, following the publication of the Bank of England's quarterly report and the speech of monetary policy committee member Gertjan Vlieghe in favor of raising the base rate at the next meeting of the Bank of England’s MPC, the pound received an additional upwards push. Having risen by 450 points, it reached the level of 1.3600;

- USD/JPY. Whilst the British pound showed impressive growth relative to the dollar, the Japanese yen demonstrated a fall that was equally impressive. Positive trends emerging in the Japanese economy contributed to the growth of its stock market, but simultaneously pressured the yen. The reduction in the volume of QE (quantitative easing) by the US Federal Reserve and the flow of investment from reliable but not profitable assets to less reliable but more profitable ones also played against the Japanese currency, causing it to lose more than 350 points against the dollar during the week;

- Only 10% of experts, 20% of oscillators and graphical analysis on D1 sided with the bulls, having calculated that USD/CHF had reached its bottom and would now grow to 0.9620. The pair did indeed immediately go up and reached the height of 0.9700 exceeding expectations. After that, it rolled back 100 points and finished in a strong support / resistance zone at 0.9600.


As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of analysts from a number of banks and brokerages, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:

- EUR/USD. After the slowing of the uptrend last week, the experts appear to be disorientated: 40% of them stand for the growth of the pair, 40% for its fall and 20% envisage a sideways trend. Indicators do not bring clarity to the forecast either, demonstrating a similar dispersion in their readings. Graphical analysis on both H4 and D1 is the only forecaster which unreservedly points northwards. Resistance levels are at 1.1985, 1.2075 and 1.2165, whilst supports levels are at 1.1915 and 1.1825.
Dollar pair trends may be influenced to a certain extent by the rate decisions and forecasts made by the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday, 20 September;

- As for the future of GBP/USD, most experts (65%), supported by graphical analysis and 40% of oscillators, expect a correction of the pair down to the level of 1.3500. In the event of a break through this level, the next supports would be 1.3440 and 1.3385.
An alternative point of view, represented by 35% of analysts, 100% of trend indicators and 60% of oscillators, implies a continuation of the uptrend to 1.3665, after which the pair will ascend yet another 100 points higher. The bulls’ final medium-term target is at the level of 1.4000;

- USD/JPY. The forecast for this pair is a lateral trend in which the bears have a slight advantage—at least 85% of analysts voted for this scenario. The support levels are 109.55 and 108.85; the resistances levels are 111.00 and 111.30.
A minority of experts (only 15%) and the majority (about 90%) of indicators side with the bulls. They believe that the pair has returned to the borders of the medium-term side channel. In this case, the short-term goal of the pair is to secure itself in the central zone of 111.00-112.20, whilst the medium-term goal is to reach the upper boundary of the 114.50 channel.
And, of course, we must not forget a Bank of Japan press conference is scheduled for Thursday, 21 September, where a rate decision is expected;

- "South and only southwards" was the forecast for USD/CHF last week. It also remains the forecast for this week. 75% of analysts and the same number of indicators on H4 vote for the scenario in which the pair will again rush to the support at 0.9415.
Meanwhile, 10% of experts and the indicators on D1 vote for a lateral trend.
The pair’s growth is supported by 15% of analysts and graphical analysis on H4. In their opinion, the pair should grow first to 0.9765, and then to 0.9845.

Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy #forex #forex_forecast #signals forex #cryptocurrencies, #bitcoin
https://nordfx.com/

 

[Stan NordFX]

Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for 25 - 29 September 2017​

First, a review of last week’s forecast:

– EUR/USD. Recall that experts appeared to be completely bewildered when giving last week’s forecast: 40% of them voted for the growth of the pair, 40% for its fall and 20% for a sideways trend. The indicators did not clarify the situation either, showing a very similar dispersion in their readings. Graphical analysis was alone in pointing unambiguously to the north, where the pair indeed went, having reached 1.2033 on Wednesday 20 September.
The main event of the day was an atypical meeting of the US Federal Reserve, which confirmed the expediency of another increase in the interest rate in 2017 followed by three increases in 2018. In addition, the Fed, finally, decided to start reducing its balance. All this led to a sharp increase in the dollar, and the EUR/USD suddenly fell 170 points, stopping at 1.1860. After that, the bulls vigorously won back the losses, and the pair finished the week practically at the same place where it started: near 1.1950, having performed the predicted scenarios of all three groups of experts;

– As for the future of GBP/USD, most experts (65%), supported by graphical analysis and 40% of oscillators, expected a correction of the pair down to the level of 1.3500. 1.3665 was named the main resistance. This forecast can be considered almost 100% fulfilled, since, adjusting for a standard backlash, the pair remained in this channel.
At the beginning of the week, it dropped to 1.3463. Then, on the back of data on UK retail sales, it began to grow. It then reacted to the Fed meeting, and eventually returned to 1.3500;

– Naturally, USD/JPY could not ignore the news from the US either. In the first half of the week, the forecast for this pair - a sideways trend, for which 85% of analysts voted - was brought to life with an accuracy of 1 point: having started the week at 111.09, it encountered the Fed speech on Wednesday, 20 September at the same position. After that, the yen began to fall and completed the five-day period in the central zone of the mid-term side channel, where it has been moving for more than six months, at 112.00;

– USD/CHF. Only 15% of analysts and graphical analysis on H4 took the side of the bulls, considering that the pair should grow to the level of 0.9765. But their few voices unexpectedly received active support from the hawks of the Fed, thanks to which the pair almost reached that goal, rising to the height of 0.9746. As for the end of the workweek, it found it in the region of a strong support/resistance level of 0.9700.



As for the forecast for the upcoming week, at the time of writing the results of the federal elections in Germany are not yet known.
The impact these elections may have on the movement of the major currency pairs requires no explanation. Meanwhile, summarizing the opinions of analysts from a number of banks and brokerages, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:


– EUR/USD. Thanks to the Fed decision on a fourfold increase in the interest rate in 2017-18, most experts (60%) have sided with the bears, expecting the dollar to initially rise and then fall. However, the range of fluctuations indicated by analysts is within the limits of 1.1800-1.2100, which allows us to speak about the continuation of the lateral trend that began in the last week of August.
As for graphical analysis, for the next two or three weeks it predicts a fall of the pair to 1.1650. But this can only be said if the elections in Germany do not bring unexpected surprises to the market;

– As for the future of GBP/USD, it is clear that most of the indicators on D1 are looking northward. As for their colleagues on H4, the vector is directed horizontally eastwards. Graphical analysis expects the continuation of the lateral trend in the 1.3460-1.3660 range as well. Experts' opinions for the next week are as follows: 35% side with the bulls, 45% side with the bears, and 20% give a neutral forecast. If we move to the medium-term analysis, we now see that 80% of experts vote for the growth of the dollar and the fall of the pound. The support levels are 1.3460, 1.3160 and 1.2850. The resistance levels are 1.3660, 1.3835 and 1.4000.

– USD/JPY. 85% of analysts, supported by one third of oscillators on D1, expect the pair to fall to 110.70, after which the uptrend may continue. The targets are 112.65, 113.50 and 114.50. Support is at the levels 111.10, 110.70, 109.85 and 109.40;

– 80% of indicators and graphical analysis on D1 predict the growth of USD/CHF to 0.9770 and, in the event of its breakthrough, 50 points higher to the level of 0.9820. The final target is the height of 0.9900. However, only 20% of experts agree with this point of view. The remaining 80% expect, instead, a fall of the pair and its movement in the 0.9585-0.9770 range. This scenario is supported by 25% of oscillators who signal this pair is overbought. If the pair breaks through the lower border of the channel, the next support would be at 0.9525.


Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy # forex #forex_example #signals forex #cryptocurrencies, #bitcoin
https://nordfx.com/

 

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[Stan NordFX]

Forex Forecast for EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY and USDCHF for 02 - 06 October 2017​

First, a review of last week’s forecast:

– The Fed decision on a fourfold increase in the interest rate in 2017-18 continued to dominate over the pair EUR/USD, as well as the results of the German elections, not ideal for Frau Merkel. Thanks to these factors, as predicted by most experts, the euro lost more than 230 points by the middle of the week. However, later it played back some losses, rising to the horizon of 1.1815;

– As for the GBP/USD, here again the dollar showed growth, but not as impressive as in the case of the euro. The British pound lost only about 100 points over the past week;

– USD/JPY. 85% of analysts, supported by one third of oscillators on D1, were expecting a correction of this pair down, after which the uptrend was supposed to continue. That is exactly what happened, however, the correction was less than expected. It was already on Monday, September 25, that the pair dropped to 111.50, after which it turned and continued its growth, reaching the height of 113.25 on Wednesday. As for the end of the week, it completed the five-day period at the level of 112.50, which gives grounds to speak about the gradual slowdown of the upward momentum;

– USD/CHF. 80% of the experts, the same number of indicators and graphical analysis on D1 indicated the level of 0.9770 as the weekly maximum for this pair. And they were 100% right: it was exactly this height that was reached on September 27, and it was there that the local trend reversed, resulting in the pair finishing even 20 points lower on Friday than at the beginning of the week.


As for the forecast for the coming week, summarizing the opinions of analysts from a number of banks and broker companies, as well as forecasts made on the basis of a variety of methods of technical and graphical analysis, we can say the following:

– the situation for the pair EUR/USD looks extremely uncertain, thus the opinions of the experts are split exactly in half, 50% of them are for the growth of the pair, 50% are for its fall. As for trend indicators, on H4, two thirds of them are colored green and one third are red, and on D1, it's the other way around. Oscillators on H4 give priority to the green colour as well, thus entering irreconcilable conflict with the red oscillators on the daily time frame.
As for graphical analysis, according to its readings, the pair will again try to get close to the height of 1.2100 in the next 2-3 weeks, after which it will turn to the south. The main target in this case will be support 1.1660.
One should bear in mind that the results of the ECB meeting on Wednesday, October 4, as well as the publication of data on new jobs created outside the US agricultural sector (NFP) on October 6, can influence the trend formation. As expected, this figure may fall from 156K to 98K, and even to 75K. It is generally believed that such a sharp decline in the NFP leads to a weakening of the dollar. However, large players have often played against this rule recently, as a result of which many traders incur serious losses;

– speaking about the future of the GBP/USD, most analysts (55%) look to the south. Trend indicators on H4 and graphical analysis support the bearish mood as well. On D1, graphical analysis suggests that by the end of autumn, the pair will fall to the lower boundary of the medium-term rising channel, which began this January. The target is 1.4670. The nearest resistance in this case is 1.3500.
As for the rest of the experts, only 20% of them voted for the rise to 1.3600, and 25% are for the sideways trend. All oscillators and trend indicators on D1 have taken a neutral position as well;

– USD/JPY. 55% of analysts, supported by graphical analysis and 25% of oscillators, believe that the pair entered the correction phase, and now it expects a temporary decline to the area of 111.00-111.50.
An alternative point of view suggests that there will be no correction, and the pair will continue to move north without stopping. This opinion is supported by 45% of experts. The ultimate target is the upper boundary of the medium-term horizontal channel at the level of 114.50.
The Japanese Prime Minister Abe also plays into the hands of the bulls, having decided to dissolve the lower house of parliament and hold early elections on October 22;

– The forecast for the pair USD/CHF assumes that the pair will move in the side channel 0.9585-0.9770 for a while. At the same time, one third of the oscillators are giving signals that it is overbought, proceeding from which one can expect first its fall to the lower border of the corridor, and then a rebound upwards. More than 60% of experts, trend indicators on H4 and graphical analysis on H4 and D1 agree with this point of view.

Roman Butko, NordFX


Notice: These materials should not be deemed a recommendation for investment or guidance for working on financial markets: they are for informative purposes only. Trading on financial markets is risky and can lead to a loss of money deposited.

#eurusd #gbpusd #usdjpy # forex #forex_example #signals forex #cryptocurrencies, #bitcoin
https://nordfx.com/