Short term jitter. Long term there are significant risks for Japan, including any Fed action that pushes interest rates up, or escalations in the Fukushima disaster (like a major evacuation of Tokyo). 124 is a conservatively low figure in those scenarios.
No way they can taper. Any tapering will push up interest rates - no debate about that. Consequences for strategic partners like Japan would be dire. The Fed simply cannot afford the domino effect caused by a major collapse like that. We're in the Weimar Republic x1000.
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