fed

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Last night, the Federal Reserve (Fed) adhered to expectations by keeping its policy interest rate unchanged within the range of 5.25-5.50%. According to the Fed's projections, there is a prospect of a cumulative 75 basis point interest rate reduction next year. The likelihood of an interest...

As expected, euro buyers' optimism faded immediately after the ECB press conference began, returning EURUSD to a repeat of 1.0600. Shortly after the initial surge in reports of an actual reversal in ECB policy, investors and traders delved into assessments of how slower the policy reversal in...

Central banks playing catchup There has been incredible resilience in equity markets in recent weeks as central banks have ramped up interest rate expectations, particularly at the Fed, and bond markets have at times priced in a recession. While there have been wobbles in stock markets, they’ve...

Stocks and U.S. equity futures slid on Monday, while havens including sovereign bonds rose, amid fears of an inflation shock in the world economy as oil soared on the prospect of a ban on Russian crude supplies. S&P 500 contracts fell 1.5%, Nasdaq 100 some2% and European futures about 3%. Brent...

Is the stock sell-off all about Russia and Ukraine? The current geopolitical threat is casting a psychological shadow over the markets and becoming an excuse for investors to resist taking on more risks, despite lower prices almost across the board. Wall Street is contending with the...

Happy Valentine’s Day! Unfortunately, we are not expecting love from Fed this week. Stocks are likely to be volatile in the week ahead as investors watch the tension between Russia and Ukraine and debate how quickly the Federal Reserve can raise interest rates. Oil demand has outpaced...

The Fed entered into the new year needing to reset its credibility to control inflation at nearly a 40-year high. It has been nimble since its hawkish turn last fall as it doubled the pace of QE taper, brought forward the date of rates lift-off, and increased the number of anticipated rate hikes...

The market’s focus will be on fourth-quarter earnings this week. Stronger profit growth for economically sensitive stocks compared to technology players is expected. The earnings period could test a theory that value and cyclicals are set to outperform tech stocks. It will also be a time when...

The Labour Department said on Friday that inflation accelerated at its fastest pace in November, since1982, putting pressure on the economic recovery and raising the stakes for the Federal Reserve. In the end, such pressure may push the dollar further higher. The Consumer Price Index, which...

After the US reported better-than-expected nonfarm payroll data last Friday, the country’s CPI data for October will be due this week. With the labour market recovery back on track and likely to meet the Fed’s lowered bar for maximum employment by mid-2022, inflation may further accelerate. CPI...

The US Federal Reserve is expected to announce that it will begin winding down the bond-buying program put in place last year, at the end of its 2nd to 3rd November 2021 policy meeting. Investors increasingly expect Fed officials to start raising the benchmark interest rate, which is currently...

A higher interest rate environment is expected, and the Fed has set the tapering timeline to happen within this year. If anyone were to benefit from such an environment, it would have to be the financial services sectors and banks. This week’s earning results should provide investors with deeper...

As the Fed has made the message very clear that tapering is going to happen within the year, the payroll data this Friday will become a crucial gauge. Any weaker-than-expected reading may not trigger much sell-off in the dollar. Instead, if the reading is beyond the expectations, we may see...

The Fed said that it will “soon” start tapering its asset purchases, with Powell indicating that it could start in November and end in mid-2022. Powell also reiterated that the central bank will most likely wait until the end of the tapering process before raising interest rates. The FOMC voted...

Last week’s price action was all about the US payrolls report, which turned out to be a massive miss. The S&P 500 fell, but later climbed back to almost unchanged on thin pre-holiday volume, while 10-year Treasury yields ended the week barely higher than where they started. If bonds know best...

Markets appear to have decided that Jackson Hole will be the next key event in gauging the Fed’s path, in a week filled with a slew of US policy makers’ hints on US monetary policy’s next step. However, US Consumer Confidence Index suggested that the Fed may contemplate before officially kicking...

The jobs data beat expectations last week, which led to both gold and silver selling off into the close. This morning we are seeing the overhang of that as perhaps those traders, who are a bit late to the party, are panic selling. With low liquidity at this time of the week combining with a...

It’s a currency seasonality thing for sure: the market gets calmer in June, only for price action to turn more volatile in July to August. It seems like 2021 could be another year that the Fed is going to take charge here. As the Fed begin its two-day meeting on 27 July, the Bank of England...

The US dollar has been on fire since last Thursday, extending gains one day after an unexpected shift in the Federal Reserve’s inflation and interest-rate outlook, and raising doubts about the earlier consensus view for a weaker currency in 2021. A stronger US dollar in the coming months were...