fed

  1. TradeLikeAPro

    ECB is two steps behind the Fed, digging a hole under the euro

    As expected, euro buyers' optimism faded immediately after the ECB press conference began, returning EURUSD to a repeat of 1.0600. Shortly after the initial surge in reports of an actual reversal in ECB policy, investors and traders delved into assessments of how slower the policy reversal in...
  2. TonOanda

    Rapid tightening on the way - the week ahead

    Central banks playing catchup There has been incredible resilience in equity markets in recent weeks as central banks have ramped up interest rate expectations, particularly at the Fed, and bond markets have at times priced in a recession. While there have been wobbles in stock markets, they’ve...
  3. fullertonmarkets

    Oil Surging Toward $140 Amid Geopolitical Tension May Force Fed To Do More Later

    Stocks and U.S. equity futures slid on Monday, while havens including sovereign bonds rose, amid fears of an inflation shock in the world economy as oil soared on the prospect of a ban on Russian crude supplies. S&P 500 contracts fell 1.5%, Nasdaq 100 some2% and European futures about 3%. Brent...
  4. fullertonmarkets

    Think Deeper! Sell-Off Driven By Russia-Ukraine Conflict Is An Excuse

    Is the stock sell-off all about Russia and Ukraine? The current geopolitical threat is casting a psychological shadow over the markets and becoming an excuse for investors to resist taking on more risks, despite lower prices almost across the board. Wall Street is contending with the...
  5. fullertonmarkets

    Fed Members’ Talks On Valentine’s Day Means No Love For Traders

    Happy Valentine’s Day! Unfortunately, we are not expecting love from Fed this week. Stocks are likely to be volatile in the week ahead as investors watch the tension between Russia and Ukraine and debate how quickly the Federal Reserve can raise interest rates. Oil demand has outpaced...
  6. fullertonmarkets

    Focus On Fed’s Rate Hike Message This Week

    The Fed entered into the new year needing to reset its credibility to control inflation at nearly a 40-year high. It has been nimble since its hawkish turn last fall as it doubled the pace of QE taper, brought forward the date of rates lift-off, and increased the number of anticipated rate hikes...
  7. fullertonmarkets

    Earnings To Gain Focus From Fed This Week

    The market’s focus will be on fourth-quarter earnings this week. Stronger profit growth for economically sensitive stocks compared to technology players is expected. The earnings period could test a theory that value and cyclicals are set to outperform tech stocks. It will also be a time when...
  8. fullertonmarkets

    Fed Is Going To Double Down On Taper Pace Regardless of Inflation Data Being Above Or Below 7%

    The Labour Department said on Friday that inflation accelerated at its fastest pace in November, since1982, putting pressure on the economic recovery and raising the stakes for the Federal Reserve. In the end, such pressure may push the dollar further higher. The Consumer Price Index, which...
  9. fullertonmarkets

    US Inflation Data May Further Accelerate and Fed Will Allow That

    After the US reported better-than-expected nonfarm payroll data last Friday, the country’s CPI data for October will be due this week. With the labour market recovery back on track and likely to meet the Fed’s lowered bar for maximum employment by mid-2022, inflation may further accelerate. CPI...
  10. fullertonmarkets

    Fed Expected to Taper This Week as Inflation Pressure Weighs On

    The US Federal Reserve is expected to announce that it will begin winding down the bond-buying program put in place last year, at the end of its 2nd to 3rd November 2021 policy meeting. Investors increasingly expect Fed officials to start raising the benchmark interest rate, which is currently...
  11. fullertonmarkets

    A Weak NFP Won’t Delay Fed’s Taper Plan, But Who Will Benefit?

    A higher interest rate environment is expected, and the Fed has set the tapering timeline to happen within this year. If anyone were to benefit from such an environment, it would have to be the financial services sectors and banks. This week’s earning results should provide investors with deeper...
  12. fullertonmarkets

    Watch Dollar’s Upside After Jobs Report This Friday!

    As the Fed has made the message very clear that tapering is going to happen within the year, the payroll data this Friday will become a crucial gauge. Any weaker-than-expected reading may not trigger much sell-off in the dollar. Instead, if the reading is beyond the expectations, we may see...
  13. fullertonmarkets

    10 Key Factors You Need to Know About the FOMC Meeting

    The Fed said that it will “soon” start tapering its asset purchases, with Powell indicating that it could start in November and end in mid-2022. Powell also reiterated that the central bank will most likely wait until the end of the tapering process before raising interest rates. The FOMC voted...
  14. fullertonmarkets

    What US Jobs Report Can Tell Us About Fed and Dollar’s Direction?

    Last week’s price action was all about the US payrolls report, which turned out to be a massive miss. The S&P 500 fell, but later climbed back to almost unchanged on thin pre-holiday volume, while 10-year Treasury yields ended the week barely higher than where they started. If bonds know best...
  15. fullertonmarkets

    Dollar May Still Face Downward Pressure Ahead of Jackson Hole

    Markets appear to have decided that Jackson Hole will be the next key event in gauging the Fed’s path, in a week filled with a slew of US policy makers’ hints on US monetary policy’s next step. However, US Consumer Confidence Index suggested that the Fed may contemplate before officially kicking...
  16. fullertonmarkets

    Jobs Report Signals Fed’s Tapering Is Near

    The jobs data beat expectations last week, which led to both gold and silver selling off into the close. This morning we are seeing the overhang of that as perhaps those traders, who are a bit late to the party, are panic selling. With low liquidity at this time of the week combining with a...
  17. fullertonmarkets

    Prepare for High Volatility as the Fed Meeting Is Coming!

    It’s a currency seasonality thing for sure: the market gets calmer in June, only for price action to turn more volatile in July to August. It seems like 2021 could be another year that the Fed is going to take charge here. As the Fed begin its two-day meeting on 27 July, the Bank of England...
  18. fullertonmarkets

    Dollar to Continue Its Bullish Run as Fed Signals Tightening

    The US dollar has been on fire since last Thursday, extending gains one day after an unexpected shift in the Federal Reserve’s inflation and interest-rate outlook, and raising doubts about the earlier consensus view for a weaker currency in 2021. A stronger US dollar in the coming months were...
  19. fullertonmarkets

    Dollar Could Dive Below 90-Level If Fed Ignore Tapering Discussion

    If the Federal Reserve’s view on inflation prevails, a few key things must change, particularly when it comes to getting people back to work. Having said that, the Fed is unlikely to discuss about tightening this week, which may send dollar lower again. Solving the jobs puzzle has been the...
  20. fullertonmarkets

    US NFP Will Pressure Dollar Before Fed Meeting This Month

    US Treasury yield dropped on Friday amid signs of investors covering short positions in the wake of weaker-than-anticipated US jobs data, putting downward pressure on dollar. The move dragged the yield from the benchmark 10-year note down, as much as 5.8 basis points, to 1.567%. This is the...
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